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Few thoughts on how to position yourself if this turns out to be another bear rally
So right now you have a lot of smart money talking about getting into bonds or getting into precious metals.
Recently you've seen that move play out, but here's the obvious risk. If indeed the fed plans to take us to that 5-5.25% area, then you will see bonds sell off again as well as precious metals.
Now some folks speculate that if inflation gets hot, they may hike even higher and I would argue to say that it ma...
Recently you've seen that move play out, but here's the obvious risk. If indeed the fed plans to take us to that 5-5.25% area, then you will see bonds sell off again as well as precious metals.
Now some folks speculate that if inflation gets hot, they may hike even higher and I would argue to say that it ma...
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JPow today: "Financial conditions have tightened considerably over the past year." Meanwhile, the Fed's own Financial Conditions Index:
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US$$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US$$S&P 500 index(.SPX.US$
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US$$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US$$S&P 500 index(.SPX.US$

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Bull market is 80-90% guaranteed
Going to keep my post short. Credit spreads. That's it. Investment grade credit spreads are the tightest since April 2022 and they made a leap tighter Friday. "High yield" credit spreads are also in the vicinity of where they were last April. Those are big moves from where they were in June.
S&P closed above the 50 week which has meant a sizeable pump every time since 1990 save one in early '02. 50 week will be somewhere around 401-401.25 next week so that's a key...
S&P closed above the 50 week which has meant a sizeable pump every time since 1990 save one in early '02. 50 week will be somewhere around 401-401.25 next week so that's a key...
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I think bear market could be over. What is your objective opinion?


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Euro Energy sector ... sweet Venn diagram with companies featuring strong balance sheets, positive EPS revisions that would benefit from green policies going forward in Europe ... $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US$$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US$

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Gartner Says Worldwide PC Shipments Declined 28.5% in Fourth Quarter of 2022 and 16.2% for the Year
$Apple(AAPL.US$ is again the most resilient out of the pack.
$Apple(AAPL.US$ is again the most resilient out of the pack.

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USD and inflation: How will latest CPI data bear down on DXY?
The Federal Reserve has the one big gun – the loading of interest rates. For close to a year the Fed has attacked inflation without flinching, lifting rates from near zero to 4.25-4.5%.
The sheer brutality of the front-loading hasn’t been seen since the 1980s. Inflation once thought fleeting is now entrenched across every US supply chain and consumer spending sector.
On Thursday crucial December CPI data lands. Come the late January F...
The sheer brutality of the front-loading hasn’t been seen since the 1980s. Inflation once thought fleeting is now entrenched across every US supply chain and consumer spending sector.
On Thursday crucial December CPI data lands. Come the late January F...

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Wall St Ends Higher, Powell Comments Avoid Rate Policy
- Investors await CPI data Thursday
- U.S. earnings season begins this week
- Jefferies shares rise after results
- Indexes: $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$ up 0.6%, $S&P 500 index(.SPX.US$ up 0.7%, Nasdaq up 1%
U.S. stocks ended solidly higher on Tuesday, led by a 1% gain in the Nasdaq, on relief that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell refrained in a speech from commenting on rate policy.
In his first public appearance of the year,...
- U.S. earnings season begins this week
- Jefferies shares rise after results
- Indexes: $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$ up 0.6%, $S&P 500 index(.SPX.US$ up 0.7%, Nasdaq up 1%
U.S. stocks ended solidly higher on Tuesday, led by a 1% gain in the Nasdaq, on relief that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell refrained in a speech from commenting on rate policy.
In his first public appearance of the year,...

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Jamie Dimon says Fed 'may very well' raise interest rates to 6%
Jamie Dimon expects the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates higher than most officials and Wall Street strategists have forecast as the U.S. central bank continues its fight against persistent inflation.
The chief executive officer of JPMorgan (JPM), the largest consumer bank in the U.S. by assets, said Tuesday in an interview with Fox Business Network that the Fed’s terminal rate may hit 6%, a level notably above the 5% many h...
The chief executive officer of JPMorgan (JPM), the largest consumer bank in the U.S. by assets, said Tuesday in an interview with Fox Business Network that the Fed’s terminal rate may hit 6%, a level notably above the 5% many h...

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