$NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ stock is down more than 6% today despite promising news regarding Samsung’s fourth-generation high bandwidth memory (HBM3) chips. Indeed, the HBM3 chips have been approved by Nvidia for use in its processors for the first time ever.
For now, the chips will be used within Nvidia’s graphics processing unit (GPU), specifically its Chinese-market data center GPU called the H20. Interesting, the H20 has been developed speci...
For now, the chips will be used within Nvidia’s graphics processing unit (GPU), specifically its Chinese-market data center GPU called the H20. Interesting, the H20 has been developed speci...
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$Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$ $Alphabet-A(GOOGL.US$
My numbers are ahead of the street and risk / reward still attractive. 33% upside to 25x my 2025 GAAP EPS (trading at 25x 2024 today), 59% upside on 2026 EPS. -12% downside to 18x street 2025 GAAP EPS.
Search revs of 48.5b grew 13.8% yy. AI results seem to be doing just fine as users continue to click on ads above and below. They plan to launch integrated shopping ads soon, and meanwhile doubl...
My numbers are ahead of the street and risk / reward still attractive. 33% upside to 25x my 2025 GAAP EPS (trading at 25x 2024 today), 59% upside on 2026 EPS. -12% downside to 18x street 2025 GAAP EPS.
Search revs of 48.5b grew 13.8% yy. AI results seem to be doing just fine as users continue to click on ads above and below. They plan to launch integrated shopping ads soon, and meanwhile doubl...
![$GOOGL reported a solid qtr. Great assets at a good price.](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70040921/20240724/daddf61b63cc41a2b97276f9eaf191ed.png/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
![$GOOGL reported a solid qtr. Great assets at a good price.](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70040921/20240724/bba0b81c43ed481494e41fbaa0fed038.jpg/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
![$GOOGL reported a solid qtr. Great assets at a good price.](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70040921/20240724/f5fa12b8348a4a018c6dee7a8477e6d4.jpg/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
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Most sell side analysts and some buy side are buying the dip based on empiricism and betting on the momentum.
But I do think it can be very different this time.
TL;DR: multiple qtrs of headwind for $CrowdStrike(CRWD.US$ , tailwind for standalone BoB like Wiz and $SentinelOne(S.US$ , partially good for $Palo Alto Networks(PANW.US$ .
Most of them they are betting on the empirical notion that previous events like this, e.g. $Okta(OKTA.US$ 's brea...
But I do think it can be very different this time.
TL;DR: multiple qtrs of headwind for $CrowdStrike(CRWD.US$ , tailwind for standalone BoB like Wiz and $SentinelOne(S.US$ , partially good for $Palo Alto Networks(PANW.US$ .
Most of them they are betting on the empirical notion that previous events like this, e.g. $Okta(OKTA.US$ 's brea...
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$CrowdStrike(CRWD.US$ $SentinelOne(S.US$ $Palo Alto Networks(PANW.US$
We expect reputational damage for CRWD, recovery could take time, but we expect the stock will recover. Overnight, we learned that CRWD users have been experiencing global Microsoft outage issues related to a software update that seems to be connected to CrowdStrike’s Falcon platform for Windows. The company will need to deal with a reputational black eye as a result, but it is important t...
We expect reputational damage for CRWD, recovery could take time, but we expect the stock will recover. Overnight, we learned that CRWD users have been experiencing global Microsoft outage issues related to a software update that seems to be connected to CrowdStrike’s Falcon platform for Windows. The company will need to deal with a reputational black eye as a result, but it is important t...
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$Morgan Stanley(MS.US$ Analysts Keith Weiss and Josh Bae at Morgan Stanley have released a new research report stating that addressing return on investment (ROI) concerns may be $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ 's top priority at present.
The report notes that Microsoft's share price performance has lagged behind its large-cap peers and the broader market over the past three months, reflecting an undervaluation of the compa...
The report notes that Microsoft's share price performance has lagged behind its large-cap peers and the broader market over the past three months, reflecting an undervaluation of the compa...
![Morgan Stanley: Microsoft's Medium-Term Prospects in 'AI Monetization' Are Undervalued](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70040921/20240717/87417dd54540475bbf62e743c099b0f6.png/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
![Morgan Stanley: Microsoft's Medium-Term Prospects in 'AI Monetization' Are Undervalued](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70040921/20240717/45201a046aca456aa9df98638fbee6a2.png/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
![Morgan Stanley: Microsoft's Medium-Term Prospects in 'AI Monetization' Are Undervalued](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70040921/20240717/a1e28d61ca034a9788359f7e06479e14.png/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
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$NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ has raised orders 25% for $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ to manufacture its latest AI chips, Blackwell-architecture GPUs, on 4nm process, media report, citing unnamed supply chain sources, who also said production of the new chips will begin soon and could prompt TSMC to raise full year guidance. Strong demand for AI servers with the new Nvidia chips is being driven by $Amazon(AMZN.US$ , $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$ , $Meta Platforms(META.US$ , $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ , server maker $Dell Technologies(DELL.US$ , more. ...
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Third-party check w/ $Apple(AAPL.US$ employee on deployment of AI. Seemed only sort of in-the-know so would discount highlights accordingly. Also $Apple(AAPL.US$ employees are very siloed so commentary likely only applies to a single division.
Punchline is they are trying to get GenAI to power new features like app store review summaries. It has been expensive and slow-going. They sound all-in on $Alphabet-A(GOOGL.US$ cloud for this which they find to be the most performant data lake.
Hig...
Punchline is they are trying to get GenAI to power new features like app store review summaries. It has been expensive and slow-going. They sound all-in on $Alphabet-A(GOOGL.US$ cloud for this which they find to be the most performant data lake.
Hig...
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1) $PHLX Semiconductor Index(.SOX.US$ is up 40% YTD and while not all semis look expensive, many large-caps have become richly-valued, if not frothy. $Arm Holdings(ARM.US$ trades for 118x forward EPS and 48x forward EV/sales (nuts even if estimates look conservative), a bunch of major semicaps trade for 30-50x forward EPS (they have gen-AI tailwinds across leading-edge and memory, but China’s mature-node spend is a potential headwind) and $Texas Instruments(TXN.US$ and ...
![Why semis could be due for a breather:](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70040921/20240710/29c72288f2c94670858348e056b36324.jpg/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
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The surging tide of artificial intelligence (AI) technology has prompted tech giants like $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ and $Qualcomm(QCOM.US$ to vigorously promote "AI PCs" – laptops and desktops equipped with dedicated processors to accelerate AI functions such as personal assistants and automated task execution. However, despite the grand marketing campaigns, the actual shipment of AI PCs remains limited, with their market impact yet to be f...
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1. A lot of quality software names are reasonably valued, and investors should be able to pick up long term compounders here. I've been adding to a number of them over the last few months.
2. A handful or so of high-growth software names are trading at quite stretched multiples, however, they do have a strong story behind them - consolidation, structural demand, disruption, low market penetration rates, AI, etc. And there are plenty of historical examples of pic...
2. A handful or so of high-growth software names are trading at quite stretched multiples, however, they do have a strong story behind them - consolidation, structural demand, disruption, low market penetration rates, AI, etc. And there are plenty of historical examples of pic...
![Thoughts on tech valuations here:](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/70040921/20240705/4a271f4c316143bc98bce40ed54cbc05.png/thumb?area=100&is_public=true)
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