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Announced at 23:00 on 2024/6/14University of Michigan Consumer Confidence IndexThe result is 69.1 compared to the previous time65.6It was.
These are preliminary figures for June this month.
Final figures will be announced at the end of the month.
Because a decline in consumption will cause interest rate cutsStock heightIt's a factor.
University of Michigan Consumer Confidence IndexThe final figures for March, April, and May were higher than market expectations, but the current figures are lower than market expectations.
There is a high possibility that a full-scale decline in consumption will occur.
Announced on 6/18retail salesThere is a high possibility that the market is paying attention, and current stock price movements are slow.
Announced at 21:30 on 2024/6/13Number of new unemployment insurance claimsResults for 229,000 cases last time242,000It was.
This indicator is published every Thursday.
4 consecutive weeks of increaseIt is.
It became a material for interest rate cutsStock heightIt's a factor.
It was announced at the same timeNumber of people who continue to receive unemployment insuranceResults against 1.79 million people last time1.82 million peopleIt was.
It has remained almost flat for 5 consecutive weeks, but this week30,000 people increaseIt made a big move.
Number of new unemployment insurance claimsIf you can find employment right away even if it increasesNumber of people who continue to receive unemployment insurancewill not increase.
I was fired from my job and filed for unemployment...
These are preliminary figures for June this month.
Final figures will be announced at the end of the month.
Because a decline in consumption will cause interest rate cutsStock heightIt's a factor.
University of Michigan Consumer Confidence IndexThe final figures for March, April, and May were higher than market expectations, but the current figures are lower than market expectations.
There is a high possibility that a full-scale decline in consumption will occur.
Announced on 6/18retail salesThere is a high possibility that the market is paying attention, and current stock price movements are slow.
Announced at 21:30 on 2024/6/13Number of new unemployment insurance claimsResults for 229,000 cases last time242,000It was.
This indicator is published every Thursday.
4 consecutive weeks of increaseIt is.
It became a material for interest rate cutsStock heightIt's a factor.
It was announced at the same timeNumber of people who continue to receive unemployment insuranceResults against 1.79 million people last time1.82 million peopleIt was.
It has remained almost flat for 5 consecutive weeks, but this week30,000 people increaseIt made a big move.
Number of new unemployment insurance claimsIf you can find employment right away even if it increasesNumber of people who continue to receive unemployment insurancewill not increase.
I was fired from my job and filed for unemployment...
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Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) has risen to become one of Wall Street's most overbought stocks due to its recent surge due to its advance into consumer artificial intelligence (AI).
What happened: Apple's stock rose almost 8% this week after announcing new AI features at its annual developer conference.
As a result, the stock price was above $200 based on the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), making it the second-most overbought stock on Wall Street this week.
Apple's RSI is currently almost 83 and is expected to fall by more than 3% according to analysis. The sharp rise in Apple's stock price follows a strong week, with the S&P 500 rising 1.69% and the Nasdaq Composite rising 3.54%.
Other overbought stocks this week include Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. (NYSE: HPE) and The TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE: TJX) are included.
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO)...
What happened: Apple's stock rose almost 8% this week after announcing new AI features at its annual developer conference.
As a result, the stock price was above $200 based on the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), making it the second-most overbought stock on Wall Street this week.
Apple's RSI is currently almost 83 and is expected to fall by more than 3% according to analysis. The sharp rise in Apple's stock price follows a strong week, with the S&P 500 rising 1.69% and the Nasdaq Composite rising 3.54%.
Other overbought stocks this week include Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. (NYSE: HPE) and The TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE: TJX) are included.
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO)...
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A bullish position for the dollar will expand before the FOMC meeting - CFTC data
Bloomberg's dollar index has been rising for 4 consecutive weeks, for a long time since February.
A bullish position with the dollar, which had been declining since May, and changed to accumulation.
The dollar maintained an upward trend on a weekly basis in response to the US financial authorities' decision to leave interest rates unchanged. The development is as traders had set positions in preparation for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings on the 11th and 12th.
Bloomberg's dollar index has been rising for 4 consecutive weeks, for a long time since February.
A bullish position with the dollar, which had been declining since May, and changed to accumulation.
The dollar maintained an upward trend on a weekly basis in response to the US financial authorities' decision to leave interest rates unchanged. The development is as traders had set positions in preparation for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings on the 11th and 12th.
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4
Exchange traders prepare for low summer volatility - FOMC results received(some excerpts)
Uncertainty was somewhat removed by the US financial authorities' forecast to cut interest rates once within the year.
We are also watching closely to see if the US presidential debate on the 27th will increase volatility.
Options traders believe that investors who expected exchange rate volatility to increase drastically in the next few months due to interest rate changes in central banks in each country/region are likely to be disappointed.
When the Australian dollar, euro, and yen rose by around 1% in response to the May US consumer price index (CPI) announced on the 12th becoming a weaker figure than expected, there were signs that the exchange market would become turbulent.
Uncertainty was somewhat removed by the US financial authorities' forecast to cut interest rates once within the year.
We are also watching closely to see if the US presidential debate on the 27th will increase volatility.
Options traders believe that investors who expected exchange rate volatility to increase drastically in the next few months due to interest rate changes in central banks in each country/region are likely to be disappointed.
When the Australian dollar, euro, and yen rose by around 1% in response to the May US consumer price index (CPI) announced on the 12th becoming a weaker figure than expected, there were signs that the exchange market would become turbulent.
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オールドマン・サックスは、米国株式市場のベンチマークであるS&P500（SP500）指数の年末目標を5,200ポイントから5,600ポイントに引き上げた。
同証券会社は、UBSインベストメント・バンクとBMOキャピタル・マーケッツと並んで、ウォール街で最も高いS&P（SP500）の年末目標を発表した。
この動きはまた、ベンチマークが6月までに5,400ポイントを超えたという持続的な上昇を受けて、アナリストや証券会社がいかに市場予想の修正に躍起になっているかを浮き彫りにしている。
ゴールドマン・サックスの5,600は、S&P（SP500）の最終終値5,431.66ポイントから約3％の上昇を意味する。
「前回予想（5,200ポイント）は、年末の12ヶ月先倍率を19.5倍とし、年末までにボトムアップのコンセンサスである2025年のEPS予想がトップダウンの予想の半分に修正されることを想定していた。 ゴールドマン・サックスのアナリスト、デビッド・コスティン氏は金曜日のリサーチノートで、「我々の最新予想は、コンセンサス...
同証券会社は、UBSインベストメント・バンクとBMOキャピタル・マーケッツと並んで、ウォール街で最も高いS&P（SP500）の年末目標を発表した。
この動きはまた、ベンチマークが6月までに5,400ポイントを超えたという持続的な上昇を受けて、アナリストや証券会社がいかに市場予想の修正に躍起になっているかを浮き彫りにしている。
ゴールドマン・サックスの5,600は、S&P（SP500）の最終終値5,431.66ポイントから約3％の上昇を意味する。
「前回予想（5,200ポイント）は、年末の12ヶ月先倍率を19.5倍とし、年末までにボトムアップのコンセンサスである2025年のEPS予想がトップダウンの予想の半分に修正されることを想定していた。 ゴールドマン・サックスのアナリスト、デビッド・コスティン氏は金曜日のリサーチノートで、「我々の最新予想は、コンセンサス...
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF(SOXL.US$
Predictions for next week 😮💨I received a comment (opinion) from Ranku-san on the post
Please use it as a reference for next week and summer rallies![]()
I also commented on Ranku-san's point of view![]()
👇 Let's do our best next week by referring to the following![]()
![]()
👇
Predictions for next week 😮💨I received a comment (opinion) from Ranku-san on the post
Please use it as a reference for next week and summer rallies
I also commented on Ranku-san's point of view
👇 Let's do our best next week by referring to the following
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF(SOXL.US$
I think you should be careful on Mondays too![]()
I feel like I can't deny the possibility that the situation will be the same as Thursday and Friday![]()
The S&P 500 depreciated slightly, and risks were avoided with bonds, gold, and dollars![]()
The American economy was sluggish due to a decline in consumer confidence, leading to markets and companies
Analysts and economists are concerned that there is a possibility of adverse effects![]()
That is linked to Friday's decline![]()
I was on Friday morning, and I thought it would be an effect of bad news about interest rate cuts, but money
I checked the price movements of the dollar, and when I saw trends among American investors, I had a sense of alarm, so
I analyzed fear indicators, etc.![]()
As a result, global risk aversion movements led to stock depreciation, and the political situation in France in particular
I have concluded that it induces a sense of alarm![]()
There are also effects such as interest rate cuts and the unemployment rate, but I think they are limited![]()
The impact on the summer rally is expected to remain minimal if the market is optimistic![]()
Currently, there are no bad omens, and it is not a harbinger of something bad happening![]()
...
I think you should be careful on Mondays too
I feel like I can't deny the possibility that the situation will be the same as Thursday and Friday
The S&P 500 depreciated slightly, and risks were avoided with bonds, gold, and dollars
The American economy was sluggish due to a decline in consumer confidence, leading to markets and companies
Analysts and economists are concerned that there is a possibility of adverse effects
That is linked to Friday's decline
I was on Friday morning, and I thought it would be an effect of bad news about interest rate cuts, but money
I checked the price movements of the dollar, and when I saw trends among American investors, I had a sense of alarm, so
I analyzed fear indicators, etc.
As a result, global risk aversion movements led to stock depreciation, and the political situation in France in particular
I have concluded that it induces a sense of alarm
The impact on the summer rally is expected to remain minimal if the market is optimistic
...
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5
Next Monday is predicted to be the same or flat as yesterday, and we will wait and see. Depending on the French election, I think the risk of a financial crisis will increase, and at present, the stock market is no exception, and on Friday, the stock price index of the 40 major French stocks fell drastically from the stock price indices of Germany and Europe as a whole, and the euro also fell
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$Core Scientific(CORZ.US$
You're benefiting from it, aren't you? Here too.
It often ended at +4.87% in a falling market like yesterday![]()
Mr. Pinhane, I would like to share the following post.
You're benefiting from it, aren't you? Here too.
It often ended at +4.87% in a falling market like yesterday
Mr. Pinhane, I would like to share the following post.
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3
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ It's a bond that somehow broke from the decline and became a chart that seemed to be riding an upward trend! I'm happy ~ 😋
Bonds and stock prices are inversely correlated during major trend changes! This is a phenomenon everyone knows, and I think there are many people who hit Ishibashi and gradually increase bond investments while carefully protecting their funds 🤔
Naturally, risk and return are proportional to investment, but I think the only timing now is when volatility increases in bond investments!
Invest in bonds to move a lot of money while freaking out when the bridge will be dropped before the recession! Of course, I feel that the loss of opportunity is huge compared to stock prices, but first of all, I'm thankful for a reasonable return with a small risk 🙏
The timing for my bond investments now is to make solid savings at high interest rates! Let go of low interest rates and shift to stocks with good taste! Just wait for it 😁
The real intention is that I envy the taste of stocks 🤤
However, while adhering to my own rules and maintaining my mentality, I think I'll have a little more patience 🥰
Bonds and stock prices are inversely correlated during major trend changes! This is a phenomenon everyone knows, and I think there are many people who hit Ishibashi and gradually increase bond investments while carefully protecting their funds 🤔
Naturally, risk and return are proportional to investment, but I think the only timing now is when volatility increases in bond investments!
Invest in bonds to move a lot of money while freaking out when the bridge will be dropped before the recession! Of course, I feel that the loss of opportunity is huge compared to stock prices, but first of all, I'm thankful for a reasonable return with a small risk 🙏
The timing for my bond investments now is to make solid savings at high interest rates! Let go of low interest rates and shift to stocks with good taste! Just wait for it 😁
The real intention is that I envy the taste of stocks 🤤
However, while adhering to my own rules and maintaining my mentality, I think I'll have a little more patience 🥰
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