151323736 : na looks low vol, not great for long options better wait tbh, or just have a merry christmas and don't trade

151323736 : how to believe this can maintain +2% with bank of japan tomorrow looming, probs drop a bit from here

151323736 : Na coreweave will drop until minimum thursday, first probability of green, but low. This friday will be green but uncertain how green, next week will be overall green. But expect coreweave to drop to the 60's today and on wednesday

151323736 : According to my estimation, depending on how aggresive you went with your put, its mostly -2% to -4% for break even. if market is -5% you gonna make some money after IV crush (i factored this in, hence break even average is like -3% so yeah)

151323736 Pewpewpie OP : what's your strike price? that's on the aggressive side but -4% you are 100% in the green and decent profit from -5% or more, my estimates are already quite conservative, exception would be if the strike price was very low, i would be able to give an estimate if you tell me strike price I personally are 2 week expiry 380 strike, middle of the road in terms of aggressiveness

151323736 : ok i just saw your post your strike is 400 which is very conservative you are definitely in the decent profit range, your breakeven is also low something like -2.5% is breakeven for you, right now broadcom is -5% enjoy

151323736 OP 狼来啦 : I had put option, can't sell yet, hopefully its still this negative tomorrow morning, I can sell with a small loss only :) like holy you don't understand me from accepting i lost 80% value of a 16dte 380p, to losing potentially like 20% value or even less, depending on the exact size of IV crush, i priced this from a 61% IV (my option) to 42% which is already more than usual and conservative. In best case scenario, if broadcom drops a bit more to -4%, i actually make a decent profit, but even a small loss is heaven for me at this point

151323736 OP 马斯朗普、 : 15dte 380 put. I break even at -3% broadcom roughly with a good IV crush estimation.

151323736 OP 狼来啦 : yeah no brain, MU would only go call, or even if you want something light like 2x etf (could be decent low risk bet) and you would go long there

151323736 OP 马斯朗普、 : -3% is roughly even, if -4% or -5% then small profit, big profit would require more

151323736 OP : If broadcom is +2% or below at market opening tomorrow, vast majority call options are actually slightly negative due to IV crush, i went with a reasonable 25% of existing IV. So 60% IV crushes to 45%. Again, its uncertain how high it will be tomorrow by pre market. Sorry for too many comments, i am contemplating my life right now after my put was destroyed. I did only invest what i can lose, and its not actually 0 either (like 20% of its original value after IV crush) but yeah

151323736 OP 虎哥论股 : I should have, i thought this stock was gonna crash (it would've if slightly beat or met), like broadcom is up only 3.5% despite insane beating, like crazy. My theory wasn't wrong, i was just greedy. But i only invested minimal, lost 1200USD i think, its something I can afford to lose, no loan or anything so yeah