106614407
voted
🔴 Hot Topic 1: US-Iran firing in the Strait of Hormuz — 'NACHO trade' takes shape, ceasefire becomes a nominal concept ★★★★★
▸ Core Logic: The US and Iran exchanged fire in the Strait of Hormuz, trapping 1,500 vessels and effectively blocking approximately 20% of global oil transportation routes. The most counterintuitive signal here is:USO plunged 3.80% pre-market but quickly rebounded to hit a new intraday high, only to fall again after-hours— fully enacting a three-act drama of 'optimism for a ceasefire → Trump's statement providing support → market skepticism resurfacing,' with single-day volatility exceeding 500 basis points. More concerning is thatXLE weakened unilaterally throughout the session, diverging from the mid-session rebound in oil prices— while the market was pricing in 'supply constraints,' it had already begun to price in 'war destroying global demand' (Whirlpool mentioned recession-level declines, Airbnb reported rising cancellations in the Middle East). Wall Street launched a specialized 'NACHO trade' strategy, marking the first time institutions publicly bet on a prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The event has escalated from a short-term geopolitical disturbance to a structural narrative.
▸ Key price:
$United States Oil Fund LP (USO.US)$ USO 133.95→128.86(-3.80%)→135.85(intraday high)→133.30(-1.24%) |
$SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ GLD 4...
▸ Core Logic: The US and Iran exchanged fire in the Strait of Hormuz, trapping 1,500 vessels and effectively blocking approximately 20% of global oil transportation routes. The most counterintuitive signal here is:USO plunged 3.80% pre-market but quickly rebounded to hit a new intraday high, only to fall again after-hours— fully enacting a three-act drama of 'optimism for a ceasefire → Trump's statement providing support → market skepticism resurfacing,' with single-day volatility exceeding 500 basis points. More concerning is thatXLE weakened unilaterally throughout the session, diverging from the mid-session rebound in oil prices— while the market was pricing in 'supply constraints,' it had already begun to price in 'war destroying global demand' (Whirlpool mentioned recession-level declines, Airbnb reported rising cancellations in the Middle East). Wall Street launched a specialized 'NACHO trade' strategy, marking the first time institutions publicly bet on a prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The event has escalated from a short-term geopolitical disturbance to a structural narrative.
▸ Key price:
$United States Oil Fund LP (USO.US)$ USO 133.95→128.86(-3.80%)→135.85(intraday high)→133.30(-1.24%) |
$SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ GLD 4...
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Nvidia has been trading sideways for months and struggling to break past 200. Do you see this as a normal consolidation after a big run, or an early sign that growth expectations are slowing?
Also, with companies like Microsoft and Amazon developing their own chips, do you think this will materially reduce demand for NVIDIA Corporation, or just complement it?
Also, with companies like Microsoft and Amazon developing their own chips, do you think this will materially reduce demand for NVIDIA Corporation, or just complement it?
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106614407
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ new here is nvidia still worth the buy
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$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ will it dip later ?
106614407
voted
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ saw a massive wave of short-term options trading as speculators tested whether the stock of the dominant player in AI chips could break above a key psychological ceiling.
The most active segment of the market centered on zero-days to expiration (0DTE) call options that give their holder the right to buy Nvidia shares at $200 by the end of the trading day. More than 440,000 of those call option...
The most active segment of the market centered on zero-days to expiration (0DTE) call options that give their holder the right to buy Nvidia shares at $200 by the end of the trading day. More than 440,000 of those call option...
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