🔴 Hot Topic 1: US-Iran firing in the Strait of Hormuz — 'NACHO trade' takes shape, ceasefire becomes a nominal concept ★★★★★
▸ Core Logic: The US and Iran exchanged fire in the Strait of Hormuz, trapping 1,500 vessels and effectively blocking approximately 20% of global oil transportation routes. The most counterintuitive signal here is:USO plunged 3.80% pre-market but quickly rebounded to hit a new intraday high, only to fall again after-hours— fully enacting a three-act drama of 'optimism for a ceasefire → Trump's statement providing support → market skepticism resurfacing,' with single-day volatility exceeding 500 basis points. More concerning is thatXLE weakened unilaterally throughout the session, diverging from the mid-session rebound in oil prices— while the market was pricing in 'supply constraints,' it had already begun to price in 'war destroying global demand' (Whirlpool mentioned recession-level declines, Airbnb reported rising cancellations in the Middle East). Wall Street launched a specialized 'NACHO trade' strategy, marking the first time institutions publicly bet on a prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The event has escalated from a short-term geopolitical disturbance to a structural narrative.
▸ Key price:
$United States Oil Fund LP (USO.US)$ USO 133.95→128.86(-3.80%)→135.85(intraday high)→133.30(-1.24%) |
$SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ GLD 4...

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Nvidia has been trading sideways for months and struggling to break past 200. Do you see this as a normal consolidation after a big run, or an early sign that growth expectations are slowing?
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$  new here is nvidia still worth the buy

$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$  will it dip later ?

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ saw a massive wave of short-term options trading as speculators tested whether the stock of the dominant player in AI chips could break above a key psychological ceiling.
The most active segment of the market centered on zero-days to expiration (0DTE) call options that give their holder the right to buy Nvidia shares at $200 by the end of the trading day. More than 440,000 of those call option...