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sTone83 Male ID: 102957487
Trade What you see Not What you think:)
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    $Macy's(M.US)$ The closing price falls below the stop loss, and the position is cleared;
    $BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings(BJ.US)$ Although it did not fall below the stop loss, there was a large trading volume distribution at the beginning of breaking through the price, so they chose to clear the position early;
    $CAVA Group(CAVA.US)$ After holding it for about 1 month, the weekly chart is currently overextended compared to 10MA. The current profit has already exceeded 25%. Choose to sell half and lock in some profits first;
    $NewAmsterdam Pharma(NAMS.US)$ 3T VCP broke through the purchase in about 2 months. The price was very tight, the trading volume was very dry, and the position ratio: 3.79%;
    $Vertex(VERX.US)$ After the pullback to a new high, the tight small base broke through purchases, accounting for 3.4% of positions;
    $TransMedics(TMDX.US)$ Under the good tone of the GOOG and AFRM weekly charts, trading around 30MA, which is still in an upward trend, bought TMDX around 30MA, which is still on an upward trend on the weekly chart. They are all characterized by extremely small stop losses, but they take time to take effect, so they will not use large positions. The ratio of positions is 4.35%;
    The first quarter of 2024 is over, the 3-day long weekend is right around the corner, have a nice weekend 🚴🏻
    Translated
    This week's clearance cuts added 👇
    This week's clearance cuts added 👇
    This week's clearance cuts added 👇
    +4
    sTone83 commented on
    Last week in review 👉🏻Market Review+Core Position Analysis (11/03-15/03 2024)
    “Letting the power of the market tell you where to put your money, rather than your personal opinion, is rarely a good substitute for market wisdom. Opinions are meaningless compared to market decisions.” -Mark Minervini
    A quick review of this week's market behavior:
    $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ Raise funds on Wednesday and distribute on Thursday;
    $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ Raise funds on Wednesday and distribute on Thursday;
    $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$ Draw money on Wednesday and Thursday.
    DJI > SPX > NDX
    The rotation continues, as shown by the alternating rise of SPX, RSP/QQQ, and QQQE.
    NDX and SPX weekly chart: NDX and SPX contracted and rose this week, showing minor differences. SPX has already crossed the upward trend line by a large margin. Currently, there is no intention at all, but it is difficult to be pessimistic in the face of new highs.
    In terms of market sentiment:
    The Fear & Greed Index and AAII are still fluctuating within the original range. It is worth noting that the AAII bear-watching ratio reached the highest value in nearly 4 weeks.
    Core holdings:
    $Palantir(PLTR.US)$ Nearly a week of trading...
    Translated
    Market Review+Core Position Analysis (18/03-22/03 2024)
    Market Review+Core Position Analysis (18/03-22/03 2024)
    Market Review+Core Position Analysis (18/03-22/03 2024)
    +19
    4
    sTone83 commented on
    $GigaCloud Technology(GCT.US)$ It fell below the stop loss on the next day. It seems that it was around 30MA at the time and decided to wait one more day. The closing day dropped even more and chose to clear the position.
    This is a typical negative trading scenario. The original 8% stop loss became 22%. For 3.5% positions, 0.7% of the account was lost, and for accounts with a 140% net worth, it regressed close to 1%. Such losses seriously affected the positive growth of the account.
    $Applovin(APP.US)$ Two 1/5 cuts were made at 66.03 and 70.66, respectively. The name did not have an early entry advantage. After the cut, positions accounted for 5.5%, so it was easier to use a weekly chart for defense, and it was also easier to ride for a long time after the cuts 🚴🏻
    $Reliance(RS.US)$ It is the name chosen in the top few places for strength in the steel industry. It was chosen only because of its small stop-loss ratio. The breakthrough in the small consolidation platform still has a big gap below, with a 3.5% position ratio
    $Affirm Holdings(AFRM.US)$
    Last week, the results were good in GOOG weekly chart 30MA trading. This week, I also tried AFRM on the weekly chart 30MA. The stop loss is small, but it takes time to take effect, so it is more appropriate to use small positions, accounting for 2.85% of positions
    Translated
    Clearing, cutting, adding 👇
    Clearing, cutting, adding 👇
    Clearing, cutting, adding 👇
    +1
    4
    sTone83 commented on
    Many novice market speculators believe that the larger the position size, the greater the profit
    In fact, the opposite is true
    Smaller position sizes can handle market fluctuations more effectively, which is likely to result in greater profits, while larger positions can cause heavy stock fluctuations
    This is especially true when traders want to keep increasing their purchases as profits grow. Through the pyramid method, the average entry price becomes easier to be removed from the transaction.
    Translated
    Dealing with volatile market positions 👇
    5
    sTone83 commented on
    Frankly speaking, I still can't figure out what the market is doing, but the VIX chart is definitely another advantage 👇
    On the side of positions: Currently, we still use cuts when strong, and use a 10-week moving average to keep in the comfort zone as much as possible 🚴🏻
    Translated
    Volatility 👇
    17
    sTone83 commented on
    $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ Since February 21, there has been no one-day trend of opening low and rising. The hidden message is: There has been a significant lack of recent buying behavior on dips 👇
    Translated
    NDX recent phenomenon 👇
    9
    sTone83 commented on
    Last week in review 👉🏻Market Review+Core Position Analysis (04/03-08/03)
    “In a trade that used to be profitable, you might think the balance of payments is stupid; but if you turn big gains into losses, you'll feel worse.” -Mark Minervini
    A quick review of this week's market behavior:
    $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ Dispatched on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday;
    $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ Funding is attracted on Tuesday, and distributed on Thursday and Friday;
    $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$ Funding is drawn up on Tuesday and distributed on Thursday and Friday.
    SPX>DJI>NDX
    Distribution dominated the market in the last two weeks: NDX had 5 distribution days in the past two weeks, SPX and DJI 4 times;
    NDX and DJI fell below 30MA. NDX will need to stand at 30MA for the next two days to continue this trend; otherwise, more distributions and liquidations will follow ~
    NDX and SPX weekly chart: NDX has been falling for two consecutive weeks for the first time since November, and both are distribution weeks, and SPX has almost lost the possibility of short-term climbing. Sooner or later, there is no need to wait until next week to end. If there is upward momentum in the future, it is likely that it will usher in more distributions.
    In terms of market sentiment:
    AAII and Fear & Gre...
    Translated
    Market Review+Core Position Analysis (11/03-15/03 2024)
    Market Review+Core Position Analysis (11/03-15/03 2024)
    Market Review+Core Position Analysis (11/03-15/03 2024)
    +19
    7
    “Market leaders are easy to spot, but most investors have psychological difficulties when deciding to buy them.” -Mark Minervini
    I believe many of the above names are likely to reappear in the rankings at the end of the year 🙂
    Translated
    Year to date leader (10B+ market capitalization) 👇
    sTone83 commented on
    $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US)$ Using traditional investor buying methods, the price moves upward through the 30MA, which is still rising, in the weekly chart. I'm not expecting a big deal here; it's just a temporary stop for cash, which can be taken out at any time.
    $GigaCloud Technology(GCT.US)$ Shortly after the stop-loss in the previous transaction came out, this time the financial report was targeted, and potentially huge fluctuations were anticipated in advance. The small profit was cut by about 1/4 within the previous hour, making it less difficult to manage risk. The trading volume after closing showed sufficient strength, and we will keep an eye on it next week.
    $Macy's(M.US)$ The teacup pattern, which is about 3 months old, has not seen significant strength yet. I don't know if it works. It continues to be handled as usual: if it stays above the stop-loss line, it continues to be held; if it falls below the stop-loss line, it is sold for a claim.
    $Rocket(RKT.US)$ I bought a fake platform to break through. Currently, the price is on the verge of a stop loss. When the closing price falls below the red line, it is time to sell at a loss.
    $Squarespace(SQSP.US)$ After the previous major cycle consolidation failed, another attempt was made this week; in the pullback buying after reaching a new high, the gap below has already been tested twice, and the gap stop loss (about 1 dollar) was used to see if this works.
    Profit and loss and position ratio of this week's trade names: In addition to GCT, there are...
    Translated
    Some of this week's deals and a brief discussion on the trading normal 👇
    Some of this week's deals and a brief discussion on the trading normal 👇
    Some of this week's deals and a brief discussion on the trading normal 👇
    +6
    17
    sTone83 commented on
    copper
    Oil and gas refining and marketing
    steels
    You can search for individual stocks in it yourself
    Happy weekend~
    Translated
    Weekly chart for three industry segments 👇
    Weekly chart for three industry segments 👇
    Weekly chart for three industry segments 👇
    4