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$Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$ Next week, there is a high probability of a rebound
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$Leverage Shares 2X Long ARM Daily ETF (ARMG.US)$ The night trading session should be your turn
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🔴 Hot Topic 1: US-Iran firing in the Strait of Hormuz — 'NACHO trade' takes shape, ceasefire becomes a nominal concept ★★★★★
▸ Core Logic: The US and Iran exchanged fire in the Strait of Hormuz, trapping 1,500 vessels and effectively blocking approximately 20% of global oil transportation routes. The most counterintuitive signal here is:USO plunged 3.80% pre-market but quickly rebounded to hit a new intraday high, only to fall again after-hours— fully enacting a three-act drama of 'optimism for a ceasefire → Trump's statement providing support → market skepticism resurfacing,' with single-day volatility exceeding 500 basis points. More concerning is thatXLE weakened unilaterally throughout the session, diverging from the mid-session rebound in oil prices— while the market was pricing in 'supply constraints,' it had already begun to price in 'war destroying global demand' (Whirlpool mentioned recession-level declines, Airbnb reported rising cancellations in the Middle East). Wall Street launched a specialized 'NACHO trade' strategy, marking the first time institutions publicly bet on a prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The event has escalated from a short-term geopolitical disturbance to a structural narrative.
▸ Key price:
$United States Oil Fund LP (USO.US)$ USO 133.95→128.86(-3.80%)→135.85(intraday high)→133.30(-1.24%) |
$SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ GLD 4...
▸ Core Logic: The US and Iran exchanged fire in the Strait of Hormuz, trapping 1,500 vessels and effectively blocking approximately 20% of global oil transportation routes. The most counterintuitive signal here is:USO plunged 3.80% pre-market but quickly rebounded to hit a new intraday high, only to fall again after-hours— fully enacting a three-act drama of 'optimism for a ceasefire → Trump's statement providing support → market skepticism resurfacing,' with single-day volatility exceeding 500 basis points. More concerning is thatXLE weakened unilaterally throughout the session, diverging from the mid-session rebound in oil prices— while the market was pricing in 'supply constraints,' it had already begun to price in 'war destroying global demand' (Whirlpool mentioned recession-level declines, Airbnb reported rising cancellations in the Middle East). Wall Street launched a specialized 'NACHO trade' strategy, marking the first time institutions publicly bet on a prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The event has escalated from a short-term geopolitical disturbance to a structural narrative.
▸ Key price:
$United States Oil Fund LP (USO.US)$ USO 133.95→128.86(-3.80%)→135.85(intraday high)→133.30(-1.24%) |
$SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ GLD 4...
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$Lumentum (LITE.US)$ It's definitely going up tonight, see you at 950
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102646102 OP 啊辉哥 : should be, also the inflow yesterday
102646102 OP SydLeon : I saw quite a few people buying in yesterday