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The FOMC is expected to leave interest rates at a 23-year high at their upcoming meeting, and their estimates of three rate cuts for 2024 may be revised to show fewer cuts, or potentially none at all. The reason for rate cuts will be more important than ti...

$Costco(COST.US)$
As a long-term Costco shopper, I had previously bought a lot of money in early June 2023, but after only about two months, I made a little profit and ran away. Looking back now, it was really naive back then. I wonder if any old friends bought it with me at the time, and it's almost doubled since they got it all the way?
The current price, I think, is a bit overestimated (friendly reminder: don't go short, no matter what). I sold it back then and haven't bought it again. But now I have it $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLP.US)$ It was transferred from xlu and pg (I sold both xlu and pg).
Stock trading is a continuous learning process. Over the past year, I feel like I've learned quite a few things. Let's work together.

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$
On the one hand, I hold some vclts, which are also long-term bonds, and the dividend rate is over 5%, so even if I get caught, I don't lose money. However, TLT's dividend ratio is lower than that of short-term treasury bonds. If it does not rise, it is a loss of opportunity cost.
On the other hand, I'm not afraid to go short. 88 didn't buy, 90 didn't buy, break through 92 didn't buy, all 93. Isn't that a lot of empty hands?
I used to be upset because I was taking time off. But after being bombarded by the market a few times, I'm no longer afraid to go short. Let's analyze it calmly:
If a soft landing is achieved, the economy is good, and interest rates are cut slowly, although TLT will also rise, it will definitely outperform the stock market. A soft landing is a double hit for the stock market, while TLT is 17 times the leverage of interest rates, which is not enough to outperform the stock market.
If it were a real hard landing, sooner or later the Federal Reserve would go out of its way to save the economy. TLT will even break through the all-time high. Even if you re-enter the market for 100, you will earn more than 50%. There's no need to be afraid to hold in such an uncertain environment.
Fish head has more thorns and less meat, so don't eat it.

$Lululemon Athletica(LULU.US)$
I haven't worn his clothes, but many people around me wear them, and they look pretty good. I've followed this before, but have never bought this stock. The stock price fell to a key support position of 300. If it falls a little further below, once it breaks the previous low, it's basically a bottomless hole. In this case, there is a high probability that the decline will stop.
But I haven't bought much either, because I'm better at doing the right side, and I often buy the left side in the middle of the mountainside But it doesn't matter, buy some first to ease the wait $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ Financial anxiety.
The anxiety mainly comes from positions. I'm in $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)$ with $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ The positions are all quite large. There is nothing you can do about it. Investing real money in the stock market is not playing games; your mentality will definitely be affected. Try to relax
However, I am still very optimistic about NVDA's performance. If unfortunately it actually falls, as long as it doesn't break 860-870, I will consider continuing to increase my positions. The reason I mentioned before is that big tech companies have good financial reports and will continue to increase AI spending this year. That's enough.

$Lululemon Athletica(LULU.US)$ Yoga-wear giant Lululemo unexpectedly announced layoffs because it wanted to close a warehouse in Washington and lay off 128 workers. A lot of people say that there aren't many people, wet, wet, and broken. If you look at Alibaba's 200,000 employees, they also laid off a few thousand people at the beginning.
The issue of layoffs is not a matter of too many people or fewer people; it is a trend issue, ah, the most important thing.
In the past, they were recruiting people and scavenging people with high salaries, but now not only are they not recruiting, but they are also reducing staff. What kind of environment? If you think about it a little bit, you'll know that expectations for the future have changed. You need to know that Lululemon's warehouse area increased from 1.12 million square feet to 4 million square feet in four years. The rapid expansion period has passed, and now it needs to be adjusted. Amazon has all laid off employees. What is Lululemon.
This is what we said in previous installments that Lululemon has entered a new era. Revenue surpassed 10 billion US dollars this year, and Lululemon has entered an era of exponential growth, and efficiency has become more important. Whether it is employee efficiency or warehousing and logistics efficiency, it is necessary to rectify. Not only must money not be wasted, but one penny must also be spent as two cents. This time, too, was the warehouse layoff; the two warehouses merged into one.
In fact, not only Lululemon, Nike, which has a lot of money, also announced a layoff plan last year. It will lay off a total of 2% of its employees, almost more than 1,600 people. It has just laid off 740 people. This layoff plan is to save 2 billion US dollars every year. Simply...

$Unity Software(U.US)$
A netizen asked me before why it fell to 21-22 and no one sold it This kind of obvious question probably doesn't need to be answered.
This stock is so annoying, so it's not particularly suitable for beginners to operate. I'm just having fun with Kokura. Today, GME is driving the retail concept higher collectively. Anyway, I definitely won't buy GME. This kind of stock cannot pass our company's fundamental screening.
The CPI and PPI will be announced soon. The big data one by one is really exciting.
$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)$ There was a slight retracement today, but do people who haven't gotten on the bus want to get on the bus? My opinion is that if CPI doesn't tell ghost stories, then TSM can see an all-time high of 155-157. Further up will depend on the chip brother $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ That's a performance. And NVDA continues to trade sideways, and my opinion remains the same: as long as it doesn't fall below 860, the sideways market has broken through and is accumulating energy. However, judging from the graph, we have to choose a direction this week; I'm afraid we won't be able to wait for next week's earnings day.

$Unity Software(U.US)$
I just bought a few days ago and it cost 25. The duvet was immediately covered. Luckily I only bought a few. With this thing and PLTR, you really can't open big positions.
But that's fine; when everyone is caught, there's no pressure After all, the U company still doesn't have any problems of principle, and there is no risk of bankruptcy. After falling 22 the first few times, they all went up, so if they came, they settled down; on the contrary, no one would cut meat at this time.
However, if there is another negative gap and the volume falls below 22, then it really is a bottomless hole
Just a comment. After all, today's stock holdings $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)$ It skyrocketed by 5%, and the one that just added a position $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ It has also risen a bit, which should confirm that the breakthrough was successful. $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU.US)$ It's been good lately, $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT.US)$ Yesterday, I also confessed to cutting meat and waited until it fell before buying it back. Anyway, I'm in a good mood, I can enjoy a nice weekend