[Thursday, July 16 – Trading Strategy Reference for European and US Sessions]
① For the first gold long position taken this morning at 4025–30, place a protective stop at 4014. Initially monitor whether price can effectively trade above 4030 between 4:30–5:00 AM. If price remains persistently low, consider exiting near 4028–30 opportunistically.
② Today’s market action is expected to be weaker than yesterday’s. Should the support zone at 4010–14 be breached, bears may accelerate downward momentum, making it highly unlikely that the 4000 level will hold. Price could potentially test the 3980–90 range, where re-entering long positions could be considered.
③ If price directly breaks below 4012–14, watch for any retracement opportunities. Short positions can be initiated directly on rallies toward 4022–28.
④ Tonight’s monthly retail sales data is also critically important—it represents the biggest variable; always prioritize risk management.
[This analysis reflects Xiao Jiu’s personal view only, provided for reference purposes and not as investment advice. If you find it helpful, please follow for daily strategy updates.]
$XAU/USD (XAUUSD.CFD)$
① For the first gold long position taken this morning at 4025–30, place a protective stop at 4014. Initially monitor whether price can effectively trade above 4030 between 4:30–5:00 AM. If price remains persistently low, consider exiting near 4028–30 opportunistically.
② Today’s market action is expected to be weaker than yesterday’s. Should the support zone at 4010–14 be breached, bears may accelerate downward momentum, making it highly unlikely that the 4000 level will hold. Price could potentially test the 3980–90 range, where re-entering long positions could be considered.
③ If price directly breaks below 4012–14, watch for any retracement opportunities. Short positions can be initiated directly on rallies toward 4022–28.
④ Tonight’s monthly retail sales data is also critically important—it represents the biggest variable; always prioritize risk management.
[This analysis reflects Xiao Jiu’s personal view only, provided for reference purposes and not as investment advice. If you find it helpful, please follow for daily strategy updates.]
$XAU/USD (XAUUSD.CFD)$
Translated
2
酒哥
liked and commented on
[Tuesday, July 14 – Trading Strategy Reference for European and U.S. Sessions]
① Consider initiating a short position on the first intraday test of 4042 (±5);
② If price retests 4000 (±5), consider going long once (prior to data release);
③ Pay close attention to the CPI data release tonight; if the data triggers a breakdown below 3980, prices could accelerate downward toward 3940–3950;
④ If tonight’s CPI data comes in significantly cooler than expected, gold prices may experience a short-term rally. A breakout above 4040 could accelerate gains toward 4070–4080, and holding above 4040 would leave the door open for another near-term upside move.
[This analysis reflects Xiao Jiu’s personal view only, provided for reference purposes and not as investment advice. If you find it helpful, please follow for daily strategy updates.] $XAU/USD (XAUUSD.CFD)$ $USD/XAU (USDXAU.CFD)$
① Consider initiating a short position on the first intraday test of 4042 (±5);
② If price retests 4000 (±5), consider going long once (prior to data release);
③ Pay close attention to the CPI data release tonight; if the data triggers a breakdown below 3980, prices could accelerate downward toward 3940–3950;
④ If tonight’s CPI data comes in significantly cooler than expected, gold prices may experience a short-term rally. A breakout above 4040 could accelerate gains toward 4070–4080, and holding above 4040 would leave the door open for another near-term upside move.
[This analysis reflects Xiao Jiu’s personal view only, provided for reference purposes and not as investment advice. If you find it helpful, please follow for daily strategy updates.] $XAU/USD (XAUUSD.CFD)$ $USD/XAU (USDXAU.CFD)$
Translated
3
1
酒哥
reacted to and commented on
Gold prices surged and then pulled back during European and US trading hours on both Tuesday and Wednesday, with intraday volatility approaching 200 points. Traders who weren’t cautious over these two days may have incurred losses. Since this week is Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) week and US markets are closed on Friday, all market-moving news and price action will likely unfold before Friday—explaining the heightened volatility. Technical indicators may currently be distorted in the short term; it’s best to remain patient, await the data release, and let the market reveal its true direction.
Yesterday, Waller mentioned factors suggesting declining inflation risks. If tonight’s NFP report comes in strong and the unemployment rate shows a downward trend, bullish sentiment could reignite, potentially driving gold prices toward key levels such as 4,090 or even 4,120–4,130. Conversely, if the NFP data is solid, expectations for further rate hikes would also strengthen, effectively ending this week’s rebound. Should gold break below critical support zones like 4,020–4,000, it could trigger accelerated downside movement. However, the magnitude of these moves will largely depend on the actual data versus expectations—the larger the deviation, the greater the market impact.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows a bullish-biased consolidation, indicating a bullish rebound. After a strong rally on the 4-hour chart, prices pulled back—but only retraced to the 50% level of that bullish candle, signaling continued buyer dominance. Based purely on price action, bulls hold a slight edge, at least confirming a rebound within a bullish context. However, given the upcoming high-impact news event, technicals may temporarily lose reliability. Therefore, the best approach is to stay on the sidelines, wait for the data release, and then act accordingly.
No specific trading strategy today—just highlighting a few key levels: critical support below has gradually shifted up to...
Yesterday, Waller mentioned factors suggesting declining inflation risks. If tonight’s NFP report comes in strong and the unemployment rate shows a downward trend, bullish sentiment could reignite, potentially driving gold prices toward key levels such as 4,090 or even 4,120–4,130. Conversely, if the NFP data is solid, expectations for further rate hikes would also strengthen, effectively ending this week’s rebound. Should gold break below critical support zones like 4,020–4,000, it could trigger accelerated downside movement. However, the magnitude of these moves will largely depend on the actual data versus expectations—the larger the deviation, the greater the market impact.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows a bullish-biased consolidation, indicating a bullish rebound. After a strong rally on the 4-hour chart, prices pulled back—but only retraced to the 50% level of that bullish candle, signaling continued buyer dominance. Based purely on price action, bulls hold a slight edge, at least confirming a rebound within a bullish context. However, given the upcoming high-impact news event, technicals may temporarily lose reliability. Therefore, the best approach is to stay on the sidelines, wait for the data release, and then act accordingly.
No specific trading strategy today—just highlighting a few key levels: critical support below has gradually shifted up to...
Translated
8
1
酒哥
liked
$Apple (AAPL.US)$
Recently, Apple announced price adjustments for certain products, prompting the market to reevaluate the entire consumer electronics industry.
On the surface, this price hike appears to be a pricing change by a single company, but in essence, it signals three key developments.
First, cost pressures continue. Whether it’s chips, logistics, or high-end components, the price baseline has not significantly declined.
Second, demand is becoming increasingly segmented. Premium users are less price-sensitive, while consumer elasticity in the mid-to-low-end market is weakening—any price increase could impact sales volume.
Third, profit margin divergence across the industry is intensifying. Leading brands can absorb costs through brand premium, whereas smaller and mid-sized manufacturers face greater margin compression.
For the market, this indicates that the consumer electronics industry is gradually shifting from a focus on 'growth at all costs' toward prioritizing 'profitability' and 'structural optimization.'
In the short term, stock prices may fluctuate due to concerns over demand; however, in the long run, the true beneficiaries will remain those companies that command pricing power and control their ecosystems.
In one sentence: The price hike isn’t an endpoint—it marks the beginning of a period of industry differentiation.
Looking at Apple's recent price decline, the $270 level offers some support—it marks both the 61.8% retracement of this rally and the 200-day moving average. If this level is breached, the next support would be around $261. In my view, this could be a key defensive zone for bulls; we’ll have to wait and see how it plays out!
Want to catch critical turning points in US stocks第一时间? Follow me and let’s keep a close watch on the market together...
Recently, Apple announced price adjustments for certain products, prompting the market to reevaluate the entire consumer electronics industry.
On the surface, this price hike appears to be a pricing change by a single company, but in essence, it signals three key developments.
First, cost pressures continue. Whether it’s chips, logistics, or high-end components, the price baseline has not significantly declined.
Second, demand is becoming increasingly segmented. Premium users are less price-sensitive, while consumer elasticity in the mid-to-low-end market is weakening—any price increase could impact sales volume.
Third, profit margin divergence across the industry is intensifying. Leading brands can absorb costs through brand premium, whereas smaller and mid-sized manufacturers face greater margin compression.
For the market, this indicates that the consumer electronics industry is gradually shifting from a focus on 'growth at all costs' toward prioritizing 'profitability' and 'structural optimization.'
In the short term, stock prices may fluctuate due to concerns over demand; however, in the long run, the true beneficiaries will remain those companies that command pricing power and control their ecosystems.
In one sentence: The price hike isn’t an endpoint—it marks the beginning of a period of industry differentiation.
Looking at Apple's recent price decline, the $270 level offers some support—it marks both the 61.8% retracement of this rally and the 200-day moving average. If this level is breached, the next support would be around $261. In my view, this could be a key defensive zone for bulls; we’ll have to wait and see how it plays out!
Want to catch critical turning points in US stocks第一时间? Follow me and let’s keep a close watch on the market together...
Translated
6
Aggressive traders can initiate short positions near the current price of 4040, with resistance around 4045. Only aggressive traders should go short here initially, adding to their position upon reaching that level. Place a stop-loss at 4050, targeting 4012–4002.
Translated
1
Daily chart shows consecutive bearish candles with no clear signs of stabilization yet. The overall bias remains bearish, but the positive note is that prices haven’t made a new low. If today closes as a doji candle, attention will shift to whether a strong bullish reversal can occur tomorrow. Confirmation of a bottoming pattern would require at least three trading days or a decisive bullish candle. On the 4-hour chart, prices are consolidating near recent lows, and bullish momentum shows signs of continuing the rebound—for now, the short-term recovery trend appears intact.
The daily and 4-hour charts show conflicting signals. Given this divergence, chasing shorts isn't advisable—at least not before a new low is established. Instead, selling into rallies offers a safer approach. Tonight’s PCE data will be critical: will it trigger a reversal from the current lows, or fuel further downside? Further observation is needed. Key resistance lies between 4006–4040, while support sits at 3960. A break below this level could accelerate the decline by at least 30–40 points.
No specific trading strategy today—please wait patiently for clearer market direction!
The daily and 4-hour charts show conflicting signals. Given this divergence, chasing shorts isn't advisable—at least not before a new low is established. Instead, selling into rallies offers a safer approach. Tonight’s PCE data will be critical: will it trigger a reversal from the current lows, or fuel further downside? Further observation is needed. Key resistance lies between 4006–4040, while support sits at 3960. A break below this level could accelerate the decline by at least 30–40 points.
No specific trading strategy today—please wait patiently for clearer market direction!
Translated
酒哥
reacted to and commented on
[Wednesday, June 24 – Europe & US Session Trading Strategy]
① Intraday price initially tested around 4050, then rebounded to a high near 4097. Currently, monitor resistance at 4100. If holding short positions, secure profits and wait patiently.
② If price directly breaks above 4100, it will likely continue rising toward 4125. In that case, consider initiating short positions near 4125 (±5), with a stop-loss of 35 points and targets at 4100–4090.
③ If price fails to break 4100 and pulls back again, consider going long near 4055 (±5), with a stop-loss at 4040 and targets at 4080–4095.
④ If scenario ② is triggered first, consider moving the long entry up to 4085 (±5), with a stop-loss of 70 points and targets at 4100–4125.
[This analysis reflects Xiao Jiu’s personal view only, provided for reference purposes and not as investment advice. If you find it helpful, please follow for daily strategy updates.] $XAU/USD (XAUUSD.CFD)$ $USD/XAU (USDXAU.CFD)$
① Intraday price initially tested around 4050, then rebounded to a high near 4097. Currently, monitor resistance at 4100. If holding short positions, secure profits and wait patiently.
② If price directly breaks above 4100, it will likely continue rising toward 4125. In that case, consider initiating short positions near 4125 (±5), with a stop-loss of 35 points and targets at 4100–4090.
③ If price fails to break 4100 and pulls back again, consider going long near 4055 (±5), with a stop-loss at 4040 and targets at 4080–4095.
④ If scenario ② is triggered first, consider moving the long entry up to 4085 (±5), with a stop-loss of 70 points and targets at 4100–4125.
[This analysis reflects Xiao Jiu’s personal view only, provided for reference purposes and not as investment advice. If you find it helpful, please follow for daily strategy updates.] $XAU/USD (XAUUSD.CFD)$ $USD/XAU (USDXAU.CFD)$
Translated
10
5
酒哥
reacted to
When trading any product, you must understand its characteristics and volatility patterns; you must clearly distinguish between long-term and short-term strategies as well as leverage usage.
Historically, gold has consistently trended upward—its corrections are merely preparations for stronger rallies. Therefore, when the dominant trend features more gains than losses, your best move is always to wait for dips to go long.
With leveraged products, you must always trade with the trend, because going against it can be fatal. However, for unleveraged or very low-leverage trading, you should wait for the product’s inherent patterns to emerge. Gold is a buy-and-hold asset, so you can choose to go long on dips.
Many traders make two common mistakes when trading gold:
1. They think big but trade small. They constantly ask whether the long-term trend is bullish or bearish, yet execute over 20 intraday trades—actions that have absolutely nothing to do with the trend;
2. They never separate leverage from capital size. If you're trading with small capital and high leverage, simply follow the trend: buy when the market rises, and sell short when it falls;
3. This is the key distinction: your trading approach must vary across different products depending on your position size and psychological tolerance.
Currently, if gold breaks below USD 4,000, the only visible prior low would be the one set on October 28, 2025—which is exactly 170 trading days away from today. Thus, a break below USD 4,000 would clearly signal weakness.
As mentioned in our analysis two days ago, Strategy #4 was successfully triggered—price pulled back to around 4168 before rising to 4198...
Historically, gold has consistently trended upward—its corrections are merely preparations for stronger rallies. Therefore, when the dominant trend features more gains than losses, your best move is always to wait for dips to go long.
With leveraged products, you must always trade with the trend, because going against it can be fatal. However, for unleveraged or very low-leverage trading, you should wait for the product’s inherent patterns to emerge. Gold is a buy-and-hold asset, so you can choose to go long on dips.
Many traders make two common mistakes when trading gold:
1. They think big but trade small. They constantly ask whether the long-term trend is bullish or bearish, yet execute over 20 intraday trades—actions that have absolutely nothing to do with the trend;
2. They never separate leverage from capital size. If you're trading with small capital and high leverage, simply follow the trend: buy when the market rises, and sell short when it falls;
3. This is the key distinction: your trading approach must vary across different products depending on your position size and psychological tolerance.
Currently, if gold breaks below USD 4,000, the only visible prior low would be the one set on October 28, 2025—which is exactly 170 trading days away from today. Thus, a break below USD 4,000 would clearly signal weakness.
As mentioned in our analysis two days ago, Strategy #4 was successfully triggered—price pulled back to around 4168 before rising to 4198...
Translated
10
The drop has been too sharp—follow the trend and be cautious about抄底
Translated
酒哥
reacted to
Technical Analysis: Gold has posted three consecutive daily bearish candles, weakening bullish momentum and showing signs of turning bearish. This morning’s sharp rally injected some short-term strength into bulls, but further observation is needed to confirm the trend. On the 4-hour chart, prices found support near 4122 and rebounded, currently maintaining a bullish recovery rhythm. Bulls are now approaching the zero axis; we need to watch whether this rebound can evolve into a full reversal.
Summary: Daily chart leans bearish, while the 4-hour chart leans bullish. Given this divergence, we should initially treat the market as range-bound—possibly with a slight bearish bias—for now. Intraday short positions appear safer. This morning’s pullback tested support near 4136, which can serve as today’s reference support level; stronger support lies around the previous low near 4122. Resistance is seen near 4221, which was this morning’s high and also the prior bounce point from the last decline. Stronger resistance sits in the 4240–4250 zone. For specific trade setups, hit follow and join our discussion!
[June 22 (Tuesday) European & U.S. Session Trading Strategy]
① If prices rise again intraday, consider a short position near 4220–4230; (aggressive)
② For a more conservative approach, consider a short near 4240 (±5), placing stops above 4255, targeting 4220 → 4202 → 4175;
③ If Strategy ① is triggered first, a long position can still be considered near 4180 (±5);
④ If prices decline directly without triggering Strategy ①, look to go long around 4160–4170. Should prices break below the 50-level, this morning’s low at 4136 might hold as valid support, in which case attention shifts to the prior low at 4...
Summary: Daily chart leans bearish, while the 4-hour chart leans bullish. Given this divergence, we should initially treat the market as range-bound—possibly with a slight bearish bias—for now. Intraday short positions appear safer. This morning’s pullback tested support near 4136, which can serve as today’s reference support level; stronger support lies around the previous low near 4122. Resistance is seen near 4221, which was this morning’s high and also the prior bounce point from the last decline. Stronger resistance sits in the 4240–4250 zone. For specific trade setups, hit follow and join our discussion!
[June 22 (Tuesday) European & U.S. Session Trading Strategy]
① If prices rise again intraday, consider a short position near 4220–4230; (aggressive)
② For a more conservative approach, consider a short near 4240 (±5), placing stops above 4255, targeting 4220 → 4202 → 4175;
③ If Strategy ① is triggered first, a long position can still be considered near 4180 (±5);
④ If prices decline directly without triggering Strategy ①, look to go long around 4160–4170. Should prices break below the 50-level, this morning’s low at 4136 might hold as valid support, in which case attention shifts to the prior low at 4...
Translated
3
![[empty]](https://static.moomoo.com/node_futunn_nnq/assets/images/folder.5c37692712.png)
![[error]](https://static.moomoo.com/node_futunn_nnq/assets/images/no-network.991ae8055c.png)
![[loading]](data:image/svg+xml;base64,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)