進擊的血牛
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進擊的血牛
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Here’s the top-level thinking behind the underlying logic of US stocks 🔥
1. At its core, US stocks are structurally bullish.
The long-term trend, intraday movements, and capital flows are all biased towards bullishness,
Shorting goes against the dominant trend; buying Put options is inherently betting against the trend with extremely low room for error.
2. During strong upward trending waves, any declines are mostly fakeouts, shakeouts, or programmatic sell-offs.
→ After short-term selling pressure ends, there will inevitably be short covering + bottom-fishing buying,
→ A drop = temporary emotional selloff; a V-shaped rebound is the standard script,
→ Buying near-term Call options at the bottom is like picking up free money by following the trend.
3. Going long is always more comfortable than going short.
Call: Wrong dip leads to explosive rebound
Put: Real decline hard to sustain, slow bleed frustrating, rebound leads to direct losses
The US stock market has never been a market that’s easy to fall and hard to rise; it's the opposite—easy to rise and hard to fall.
4. The ultimate minimalist trading rule.
→ Never touch Puts, completely quit逆势(reverse trend) trades.
→ Only wait for high-probability windows of intraday sharp drops > 1%.
→ Only make one move per day,
High certainty > Only trade 0DTE (same-day expiry) Call options
Uncertain > Trade Call options expiring in over 3 months
→ Small positions, quick in and out, take profits immediately.
Maximize win rate, error tolerance, mindset, and returns.
Abandon all Put-related distractions, focus solely on going long—this is the optimal strategy for the average person trading US stock options.
1. At its core, US stocks are structurally bullish.
The long-term trend, intraday movements, and capital flows are all biased towards bullishness,
Shorting goes against the dominant trend; buying Put options is inherently betting against the trend with extremely low room for error.
2. During strong upward trending waves, any declines are mostly fakeouts, shakeouts, or programmatic sell-offs.
→ After short-term selling pressure ends, there will inevitably be short covering + bottom-fishing buying,
→ A drop = temporary emotional selloff; a V-shaped rebound is the standard script,
→ Buying near-term Call options at the bottom is like picking up free money by following the trend.
3. Going long is always more comfortable than going short.
Call: Wrong dip leads to explosive rebound
Put: Real decline hard to sustain, slow bleed frustrating, rebound leads to direct losses
The US stock market has never been a market that’s easy to fall and hard to rise; it's the opposite—easy to rise and hard to fall.
4. The ultimate minimalist trading rule.
→ Never touch Puts, completely quit逆势(reverse trend) trades.
→ Only wait for high-probability windows of intraday sharp drops > 1%.
→ Only make one move per day,
High certainty > Only trade 0DTE (same-day expiry) Call options
Uncertain > Trade Call options expiring in over 3 months
→ Small positions, quick in and out, take profits immediately.
Maximize win rate, error tolerance, mindset, and returns.
Abandon all Put-related distractions, focus solely on going long—this is the optimal strategy for the average person trading US stock options.
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進擊的血牛
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Now that I'm older, I still often think of a primary school classmate, and I am truly grateful to him.
I used to study at a primary school in Yuen Long (which has since closed down). My family’s financial situation was tough—although my parents were working, everything from electricity to daily necessities required money. My mother was very strict about my diet. Honestly, I was in the middle of a growth phase back then, but I was always so hungry that I felt dizzy. Every morning was hard.
But there was a classmate who was quite strange. Almost every day, he would share half of his breakfast with me—whether it was a pineapple bun, rice noodle rolls, or a sandwich. It wasn’t just once or twice; he did this consistently over a long period.
I always thought it was normal until one day I heard him whispering: 'I’m really hungry...'
That was when I finally realized.
I asked him: 'If you're so hungry, why do you keep sharing your breakfast with me?'
He answered simply: 'Because we’re good friends.'
At that moment, my heart truly trembled.
At this age, who would still act like that? The friendships from elementary school were truly pure.
Later, when I transferred schools in the sixth grade, he even specifically asked me for my home phone number, and he really did call once. But back then, we didn’t have WeChat, chat apps, or Facebook, so gradually we lost contact.
Sometimes when I think about it, I feel really sorry. I also wonder how he is doing now.
But no matter what, I will always remember the days when he shared his breakfast with me. That kind of pure goodness without expecting anything in return is really hard to come by when you grow up.
I used to study at a primary school in Yuen Long (which has since closed down). My family’s financial situation was tough—although my parents were working, everything from electricity to daily necessities required money. My mother was very strict about my diet. Honestly, I was in the middle of a growth phase back then, but I was always so hungry that I felt dizzy. Every morning was hard.
But there was a classmate who was quite strange. Almost every day, he would share half of his breakfast with me—whether it was a pineapple bun, rice noodle rolls, or a sandwich. It wasn’t just once or twice; he did this consistently over a long period.
I always thought it was normal until one day I heard him whispering: 'I’m really hungry...'
That was when I finally realized.
I asked him: 'If you're so hungry, why do you keep sharing your breakfast with me?'
He answered simply: 'Because we’re good friends.'
At that moment, my heart truly trembled.
At this age, who would still act like that? The friendships from elementary school were truly pure.
Later, when I transferred schools in the sixth grade, he even specifically asked me for my home phone number, and he really did call once. But back then, we didn’t have WeChat, chat apps, or Facebook, so gradually we lost contact.
Sometimes when I think about it, I feel really sorry. I also wonder how he is doing now.
But no matter what, I will always remember the days when he shared his breakfast with me. That kind of pure goodness without expecting anything in return is really hard to come by when you grow up.
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進擊的血牛
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Is anyone not yet in the small group? If there are many people, I'll create another one.
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進擊的血牛
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