$POP MART (09992.HK)$ Reading too much of Deutsche Bank's views might make you foolish, the analysts probably didn't even finish elementary school![]()
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羊羊的養老金
commented on
$POP MART (09992.HK)$
I've been holding you for 3 months, is it finally time for you to take off?
I've been holding you for 3 months, is it finally time for you to take off?
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$POP MART (09992.HK)$ The horse is finally running
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羊羊的養老金
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The core issue for Pop Mart at this time is not that the market lacks a story, but that the story can no longer immediately drive the stock price. On one hand, investors see long queues at stores, strong product sales, and continued buzz around Labubu and new IPs; on the other hand, they see the stock price stuck between 155 and 160, with weak rebounds as funds flow into other strong stocks. This disparity has shifted market sentiment from 'high growth belief' to questioning whether the valuation has peaked.
The first level of investor commentary reflects continued anticipation of product popularity. Some mention that stores are still crowded and demand remains strong, while others believe Pop Mart's P/E ratio is not high and that trendy toys are still a long-term trend. The logic of this group is: the company’s fundamentals are intact, the brand remains attractive, and valuations should not be excessively cut.
The second level is the disappointment caused by the lack of stock price momentum. Many comments focus on regrets such as 'regret not selling at 160', 'stuck around 155 for a long time', 'can't rise even in a bull market', and 'the weakest component stock'. These comments indicate that the market no longer blindly trusts product popularity and now demands proof through stock price movement that capital is still willing to chase the stock.
The third level reflects the pressure from trapped positions at higher levels. Some ask, 'Are there still holdings above 300?', while others express long-term losses and difficulty breaking even. This shows that Pop Mart faces significant psychological resistance above current levels, and once the stock rebounds towards 160-170, some funds will likely choose to reduce their positions.
The fourth level involves options and capital gaming. Comments mention active sell put strategies, investment banks suppressing prices to harvest profits, and large orders keeping the stock suppressed. Such commentary indicates the market has...
The first level of investor commentary reflects continued anticipation of product popularity. Some mention that stores are still crowded and demand remains strong, while others believe Pop Mart's P/E ratio is not high and that trendy toys are still a long-term trend. The logic of this group is: the company’s fundamentals are intact, the brand remains attractive, and valuations should not be excessively cut.
The second level is the disappointment caused by the lack of stock price momentum. Many comments focus on regrets such as 'regret not selling at 160', 'stuck around 155 for a long time', 'can't rise even in a bull market', and 'the weakest component stock'. These comments indicate that the market no longer blindly trusts product popularity and now demands proof through stock price movement that capital is still willing to chase the stock.
The third level reflects the pressure from trapped positions at higher levels. Some ask, 'Are there still holdings above 300?', while others express long-term losses and difficulty breaking even. This shows that Pop Mart faces significant psychological resistance above current levels, and once the stock rebounds towards 160-170, some funds will likely choose to reduce their positions.
The fourth level involves options and capital gaming. Comments mention active sell put strategies, investment banks suppressing prices to harvest profits, and large orders keeping the stock suppressed. Such commentary indicates the market has...
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羊羊的養老金
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$POP MART (09992.HK)$
The latest business update for the first quarter of 2026 should be out today
The latest business update for the first quarter of 2026 should be out today
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羊羊的養老金
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$POP MART (09992.HK)$
Pop Mart faces a dilemma: too few products lack diversity, while too many erode scarcity. The ideal scenario is to have 'both abundance and rarity.' It's like when a doctor tells you to lose weight because you're overweight, but once you start exercising, they warn you about joint damage from over-exercising, leaving you to ask, 'So am I supposed to live or not?' Fast growth is deemed unsustainable, slow growth disappoints expectations; perfection lies in being perpetually 'just right.' They aim to build an IP empire like Disney’s, yet every product must feel as exclusive as limited-edition sneakers. Ultimately, it boils down to this — money is made from economies of scale, but the narrative must revolve around the dream of exclusivity. With so many demands, why don’t you just fly to the moon?
Pop Mart faces a dilemma: too few products lack diversity, while too many erode scarcity. The ideal scenario is to have 'both abundance and rarity.' It's like when a doctor tells you to lose weight because you're overweight, but once you start exercising, they warn you about joint damage from over-exercising, leaving you to ask, 'So am I supposed to live or not?' Fast growth is deemed unsustainable, slow growth disappoints expectations; perfection lies in being perpetually 'just right.' They aim to build an IP empire like Disney’s, yet every product must feel as exclusive as limited-edition sneakers. Ultimately, it boils down to this — money is made from economies of scale, but the narrative must revolve around the dream of exclusivity. With so many demands, why don’t you just fly to the moon?
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