Last week, the US stock market experienced a breathtaking reversal. In the first half of the week, the market continued to adjust due to profit-taking in tech stocks and weak employment data, with gold and silver $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ plummeting in volatile trading, but on Friday, the broader market staged a sharp rebound led by heavyweight stocks, $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Trust (DIA.US)$hitting new highs, $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ with a weekly loss of 1.97% and a year-to-date decline of 0.76%. My personal account also followed the adjustment in AI tech stocks, ending the week down around 3%, though still up 1.8% for the year.
This week, pay close attention to the two most important data releases, which will determine the direction of the stock market in the next phase.
February 11 (Wednesday) at 21:30 (8:30 AM ET): January Nonfarm Payrolls Report (Rescheduled) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
February 13 (Friday) at 21:30 (8:30 AM ET): January Consumer Price Index (CPI) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
February 13 (Friday) at 21:30 (8:30 AM ET): Core CPI (Month-over-Month / Year-over-Year) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Key earnings reports to watch this week:
$Coinbase (COIN.US)$ : After market close on Wednesday (February 11). As a benchmark in the cryptocurrency space, Coinbase's trading volume and subscription revenue are directly tied to the price movements of Bitcoin...

Selling put options for Circle at year-end, with a strike price of 50 and a premium of 11.9. If assigned, the cost would be 38.1, which is great. If not assigned, earning 119,000 USD is also good. Everyone is overlooking the collaboration between Circle and Polymarket as well as the impact of this year's World Cup. If considering buying the underlying stock, it’s better to wait until next month since the lock-up period will soon expire.
$Circle (CRCL.US)$

I added to my position yesterday $iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT.US)$ , sold put options with a long-term expiration $Coinbase (COIN.US)$ ， $iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT.US)$ , fully liquidated my position $Fluence Energy (FLNC.US)$ ， $Bloom Energy (BE.US)$ I also exited 80% of my holdings. If BTC continues to decline 📉, I will keep buying and will build positions when appropriate $Strategy (MSTR.US)$ $Circle (CRCL.US)$ $Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR.US)$
Total position size remains around 65%. Everyone should be mindful of position risks; those unfamiliar with options should avoid blindly following, as the risks are substantial

Last week $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ fell by 0.2%, up 0.95% for the year, but the market experienced significant volatility, with most tech stocks posting sharp declines, $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ Earnings reports saw a rare drop of 10%, with the AI tech sector, especially the software segment, undergoing a major correction; gold and silver plummeted on Friday in an epic collapse. Although I reduced my positions, my portfolio is heavily weighted towards tech stocks, resulting in a substantial decline. My account fell 5.5% in a single week, leaving year-to-date gains at 4.11%. The account remains at a 65% position level. It’s essential to approach the market with caution and respect.
This week marks a critical turning point for US equities in the first quarter, referred to by the market as a 'super earnings report week' coinciding with the peak macroeconomic decision week.
The market has just digested the Federal Reserve (FOMC) interest rate decision at the end of January, and this week will bring two core challenges: first,a barrage of earnings reports from tech giants, and second, Friday'sNon-Farm Payroll data (NFP)。
Below is the forecast for this week's US stock market movements and analysis of major events:
I. Forecast for US stock market movements: Increased volatility, searching for a new direction
– Core rationale:The market is currently in a tug-of-war between 'strong earnings' and 'tightening concerns.' If this week’s $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ HE $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ tech giants’ earnings can justify their high valuations, and Friday’s employment data does not come in too hot, the broader market may continue to maintain its upward momentum; conversely, if the data triggers 'reflation' concerns...

Are you ready to seize the great opportunity brought by the BTC downturn?
https://x.com/i/status/2016902008964563313 Are you ready to seize the great opportunity brought by the BTC downturn?

Last week $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ Up 0.24%, with a year-to-date increase of 1.37%. My portfolio fell 2% last week but is up 9.96% for the year. Key news from last week includes: ① The sell-off in Japanese bonds put pressure on US stocks. ② Trump announced a framework for an agreement on Greenland, with the US set to participate in mining rights on the island, and withdrew the threat of new tariffs on eight European countries that was set for February 1st. ③ The US Q3 GDP annualized growth rate was revised up to 4.4%, the fastest in two years, while service spending growth hit a three-year high. US personal consumption expenditures have steadily increased for two consecutive months, with November goods spending seeing the largest rise since July. The core PCE price index showed a slightly higher year-over-year increase compared to the previous month. ④ Gold and silver continued to surge, while BTC faced noticeable pressure; no reversal signs between them were observed so far.
Key events to watch this week include: ① Market reaction to Canada’s 100% tariff threat. ② Market response to a 75% chance of a government shutdown. ③ January consumer confidence data - Tuesday. ④ Federal Reserve interest rate decision and press conference - Wednesday. ⑤ Earnings releases from Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla - Wednesday. ⑥ Apple’s earnings release - Thursday. ⑦ December Producer Price Index inflation data - Friday. The Greenland issue has been temporarily shelved, and the market is now focused on this week’s Fed interest rate decision and tech giant earnings reports. Before then, the market is expected to remain relatively calm. Currently, there is a 97% probability of no rate cut, with a 2.8% probability of a 25-basis-point cut. A rate hold is widely anticipated this time, while Wall Street will continue monitoring the likelihood of future cuts. Meanwhile, buyers will closely watch whether big tech companies’ earnings reports (exceeding expectations) influence sector fund rotation (e.g., funds flowing out of hardware/semiconductors into software). This week’s Nasdaq movement will likely determine direction. It’s recommended to maintain a 50-70% position strategy and keep a cautious and risk-control mindset.

Attended the Futu Securities creator event on Saturday. Thanks to Futu Securities for the invitation. Met quite a few old and new friends, including @孫子的末代傳人 @很大很大的橙子 @年頭旺到年尾 @富哥搞钱 @文主任 , discussing the wealth code for 2026 together. Wishing everyone continued success in 2026

Actually, I put a lot of effort into the report every Monday, reflecting and summarizing the past week, and looking ahead to the next week. It contains quite a few wealth codes; I suggest reading it slowly and thoroughly
$Intel (INTC.US)$ $Netflix (NFLX.US)$
$Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$