晴瓦林
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- YouTube "Chaos theory is a mathematical theory which explains how some kinds of systems behave in unpredictable ways."
- YouTube "You won't believe what this 150-year chart predicts for stock markets."
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $USD (USDindex.FX)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$
- YouTube "You won't believe what this 150-year chart predicts for stock markets."
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $USD (USDindex.FX)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$
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晴瓦林
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July 8, 2025
🧭 Part 1 – Full Timeline of Events (April–August 2025)
a) Step 1 – Initial Escalations (April–May)
In April 2025, President Trump reignited trade tensions with a "reciprocal tariffs" doctrine: matching any foreign tariff with an identical U.S. response. This strategy reflects the view that trade imbalances equal strategic injustice — a reprise of the 2018 logic.
Trump invoked the IEEPA (International Emergency Economic Powers Act), declaring ...
🧭 Part 1 – Full Timeline of Events (April–August 2025)
a) Step 1 – Initial Escalations (April–May)
In April 2025, President Trump reignited trade tensions with a "reciprocal tariffs" doctrine: matching any foreign tariff with an identical U.S. response. This strategy reflects the view that trade imbalances equal strategic injustice — a reprise of the 2018 logic.
Trump invoked the IEEPA (International Emergency Economic Powers Act), declaring ...
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晴瓦林
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$XAU/USD (XAUUSD.CFD)$ When their tp hits, they bark “I told you so”, when their setup fails, they cower behind their rocks.
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晴瓦林
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$Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ Over the last couple of days, we have all been asking the question "How is it dropping despite stellar earnings?". We see that institutionals have constandly been pulling money out while and support zone seem to be pushed back up by retail investors.
could there be something they know that we dont? One chart that could be spooking the institutional investors is the total returns of the Russell 2000 vs S&P500.
The chart is c...
could there be something they know that we dont? One chart that could be spooking the institutional investors is the total returns of the Russell 2000 vs S&P500.
The chart is c...
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晴瓦林
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$2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX.US)$ just checked, party haven’t end yet. Be patient, wait for 26 or lower. DT will celebrate his b’day on 14/6, so this week and next week most probably the US index will go up…..
My strategy: wait for 26 or lower, then is the best chance to load up. Party will end after 14/6 …. reminder: time to harvest after 15/6 😁 buy within these two weeks. cheers!
My strategy: wait for 26 or lower, then is the best chance to load up. Party will end after 14/6 …. reminder: time to harvest after 15/6 😁 buy within these two weeks. cheers!
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晴瓦林
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Greetings, mooers!
In this edition of Mooer's Stories, we're bringing you the motivating story of @Jaguar8, who has maintained a positive win rate in the past. He dives deep into the psychological strategies, risk management techniques, and daily routines that have kept this trader consistently in the green, even when life throws him into the red, to stage 4 cancer. This story is a bit long, but worth reading to the end. And don't ...
In this edition of Mooer's Stories, we're bringing you the motivating story of @Jaguar8, who has maintained a positive win rate in the past. He dives deep into the psychological strategies, risk management techniques, and daily routines that have kept this trader consistently in the green, even when life throws him into the red, to stage 4 cancer. This story is a bit long, but worth reading to the end. And don't ...
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晴瓦林
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ June 3, 2025
📊 1️⃣ GLOBAL CONTEXT & MARKET STRUCTURE
🧭 Equity Markets – SPY (S&P 500)
Current Price: $592.71 (+0.56%)
Structure: The market has clearly rebounded from the May low of $481.80. A sequence of higher lows indicates buyers are still in control for now.
Trend: Short-term trend remains bullish, but price is currently testing a major resistance zone between $592 and $595. A clean breakout above this zone could open the door to a new leg ...
📊 1️⃣ GLOBAL CONTEXT & MARKET STRUCTURE
🧭 Equity Markets – SPY (S&P 500)
Current Price: $592.71 (+0.56%)
Structure: The market has clearly rebounded from the May low of $481.80. A sequence of higher lows indicates buyers are still in control for now.
Trend: Short-term trend remains bullish, but price is currently testing a major resistance zone between $592 and $595. A clean breakout above this zone could open the door to a new leg ...
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$量化价值指数📈$ I was wrong, market maker 🥲, Gold and Bonds lost to Stocks 📉. Should not have shorted the Nasdaq. Kneeling to Trump now 🙇♀️.
Translated
![[empty]](https://static.moomoo.com/node_futunn_nnq/assets/images/folder.5c37692712.png)
![[error]](https://static.moomoo.com/node_futunn_nnq/assets/images/no-network.991ae8055c.png)
![[loading]](data:image/svg+xml;base64,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)
晴瓦林 OP : //@version=6
strategy("NDX-XAU Momentum Investing", "NXMI", initial_capital=100, pyramiding=0, margin_long=0, margin_short=0)
trading = input.string("Long Only", "Trading", options=["Off", "Long Only", "Short", "Short Cut Loss"])
cci_length = input.int(16, "CCI Length", [16, 49, 88])
performance_length = 251
if timeframe.ismonthly
performance_length := 12
else if timeframe.isweekly
performance_length := 52
ndx = request.security("NDX", timeframe.period, ohlc4)
xau = request.security("XAUUSD", timeframe.period, ohlc4)
period_ndx_return = ndx / (ndx - ta.change(ndx, performance_length)) - 1.0
period_xau_return = xau / (xau - ta.change(xau, performance_length)) - 1.0
ndx_xau_yield = period_ndx_return - period_xau_return
hline(0.0, "Middle Band", color=color.new(#787B86, 50))
upper_band = 0.2125
lower_band = 0.0
downturn_band = -0.3
band0 = hline(upper_band, "Upper Band", color=#787B86, linestyle=hline.style_dashed)
band1 = hline(lower_band, "Lower Band", color=#787B86, linestyle=hline.style_dashed)
band2 = hline(downturn_band, "Downturn Band", color=#787B86, linestyle=hline.style_dashed)
fill(band0, band1, color=color.new(#ffff00, 90), title="Warning Background")
fill(band1, band2, color=color.new(#0000ff, 90), title="Downturn Background")
plot(ndx_xau_yield, color=ndx_xau_yield > 0.0 ? #0000ff : #ff0000, title="NDX-XAU Excess Rate", precision=4)
plot(period_xau_return, color=period_xau_return > 0.0 ? #ff00ff : #ff0000, title="XAU Return", precision=4)
plot(period_ndx_return, color=period_ndx_return > upper_band ? #ffff00 : #ff0000, title="NDX Return", precision=4)
cci = ta.cci(ohlc4, cci_length)
if (trading != "Off")
stock_buy_entry = ta.crossover(ta.sma(ndx_xau_yield, 3), 0.0)
stock_sell_entry = ta.crossunder(ta.sma(ndx_xau_yield, 3), 0.0)
stock_short_close = ta.crossover(cci, 100.0)
if (stock_buy_entry)
strategy.entry("LE", strategy.long, comment="Long Entry")
if (trading == "Long Only" and stock_sell_entry)
strategy.close("LE", comment="Close Long Position")
if ((trading == "Short" or trading == "Short Cut Loss") and stock_sell_entry)
strategy.entry("SE", strategy.short, comment="Short Entry")
if (trading == "Short Cut Loss" and stock_short_close)
strategy.close("SE", comment="Close Short Position")