$Hang Seng Index(800000.HK)$ ATTENTION! ATTENTION! The carnival party is over, it's time to be bearish

Every time, big and small non-agricultural data are in the opposite direction. ADP was upset on Wednesday, and today there was an explosion in the agricultural sector of Dafei.
Anyway, I believe in ADP; after all, ADP has no reason to falsify. The layoffs of large companies have spread from the technology industry to various industries, and the economy has reached the brink of recession. However, the expansion of small businesses is fragile, and may turn back at any time.
As for how the stock market is going, I think it has bottomed out and rebounded; the bottom is probably around 4,100 points. As long as the economy does not collapse, it will be difficult for the stock market to fall below 4,000. However, I think an economic collapse is inevitable. It is estimated that by the end of 2024, there will still be another year. It's probably too early to clear the stock market now. But the risk-free benefits are really good. Big money eats interest and protects principal. Play with stocks in small positions to find some excitement. It's not too late to wait until interest rates are cut and wait for an opportunity. If the economy actually collapses by the end of next year, then it will be possible to wait until 2025, when it hits the bottom of the market at 3,000 points.
$Tesla(TSLA.US)$ I just played around with the high band and lowered my breath; I think another chance to buy would come up. Also, I reduced my position $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US)$ , etc $Apple(AAPL.US)$ Let's talk about eliminating the risk with DuckDuckGo; let's avoid it first.
$Coca-Cola(KO.US)$ $PepsiCo(PEP.US)$ It suddenly fell apart yesterday. They say it was due to diet pills. I really don't believe this. But I think it's probably too expensive to buy,...

$Chewy(CHWY.US)$ The stock price was low in 52 weeks, and the bottom volume is worth paying attention to

$PayPal(PYPL.US)$ Interesting

$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(JUN4)(ESmain.US)$ 4250 next ?

Billionaire investor Bill Ackman says he is shorting US Treasuries.
In contrast, Warren Buffett has announced buying positions in 10y US Treasuries.
Who will be right?
$Berkshire Hathaway-A(BRK.A.US)$ $Berkshire Hathaway-B(BRK.B.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$ $SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF(BIL.US)$ $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield(US10Y.BD)$ $Apple(AAPL.US)$

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$
The market has been on a downward trajectory for the past two weeks, with value and defensive stocks performing relatively better than their peers. This is following a massive rally that has produced very nice gains for investors. Are investors taking a little profit after the rally? Or is this selloff just the beginning of more to come?
Feel free to leave a comment about why you think the market has been selling off for the past two weeks...