山顶资本李先生
voted
Microsoft barely moved yesterday at negative 0.52% but Trade Overview on moomoo shows something subtle and bullish. Net inflow of $117.81M with a fascinating order size breakdown. XL orders were actually net negative — $16.31M in versus $44.12M out — but large orders were dead even at $374M each way, and small orders drove the positive flow with $683M in versus $555M out. The donut chart makes this distribution immediately visible with th...
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山顶资本李先生
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Software stocks plunged yesterday, and the tech sector continued to lead losses in the U.S. market today.
Some are starting to waver: Did we get it wrong?
Hold on—let’s review the data once more.
🔍 What dropped today?
- The Nasdaq led the declines, with the tech sector posting the steepest losses among all U.S. market segments today
- Software and AI infrastructure stocks faced broad pressure
- Stocks that had rallied sharply earlier saw deeper pullbacks
But notably, there was no new sector-specific negative news today—no earnings blowups from major players, nor any reversal in the AI investment narrative.
📌 The three reasons mentioned yesterday still apply today
1. Profit-taking after gains: Software stocks rose 21% in May, and short-term funds continue to exit
2. Quant-driven selling: Mizuho's referenced 'illogical selling' may still be ongoing
3. IPO sentiment disruption: Concerns over massive IPOs like SpaceX haven’t fully dissipated yet
None of the above three points are related to the long-term fundamentals of the software sector.
🧠 Has yesterday’s core thesis been overturned today?
Yesterday we outlined three key points:
- AI is expanding the software market, not shrinking it ✅ Still holds true today
- Market leaders are evolving—Adobe now charges based on outcomes ✅ Still holds true today
- AI won’t fully replace software until at least after 2028 ✅ Still holds true today
A sharp one-day drop can shake sentiment, but it won't shake logic.
🎯 Conclusion
Two consecutive days of steep declines are indeed uncomfortable.
But if you...
Some are starting to waver: Did we get it wrong?
Hold on—let’s review the data once more.
🔍 What dropped today?
- The Nasdaq led the declines, with the tech sector posting the steepest losses among all U.S. market segments today
- Software and AI infrastructure stocks faced broad pressure
- Stocks that had rallied sharply earlier saw deeper pullbacks
But notably, there was no new sector-specific negative news today—no earnings blowups from major players, nor any reversal in the AI investment narrative.
📌 The three reasons mentioned yesterday still apply today
1. Profit-taking after gains: Software stocks rose 21% in May, and short-term funds continue to exit
2. Quant-driven selling: Mizuho's referenced 'illogical selling' may still be ongoing
3. IPO sentiment disruption: Concerns over massive IPOs like SpaceX haven’t fully dissipated yet
None of the above three points are related to the long-term fundamentals of the software sector.
🧠 Has yesterday’s core thesis been overturned today?
Yesterday we outlined three key points:
- AI is expanding the software market, not shrinking it ✅ Still holds true today
- Market leaders are evolving—Adobe now charges based on outcomes ✅ Still holds true today
- AI won’t fully replace software until at least after 2028 ✅ Still holds true today
A sharp one-day drop can shake sentiment, but it won't shake logic.
🎯 Conclusion
Two consecutive days of steep declines are indeed uncomfortable.
But if you...
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山顶资本李先生
voted
🕐 Market Recap | Monday, May 11, 2026
THE BIG PICTURE
The Iran peace trade just hit a wall. Hard. Stocks fluctuated while oil prices and bond yields advanced after the US and Iran failed to agree on terms to end the war. Brent advanced 2% to more than $103 a barrel as the Strait of Hormuz remained shut. Trump deemed Tehran’s latest proposals “totally unacceptable.”
That single headline just undid two weeks of peace optimism. Yet SPX $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ ...
THE BIG PICTURE
The Iran peace trade just hit a wall. Hard. Stocks fluctuated while oil prices and bond yields advanced after the US and Iran failed to agree on terms to end the war. Brent advanced 2% to more than $103 a barrel as the Strait of Hormuz remained shut. Trump deemed Tehran’s latest proposals “totally unacceptable.”
That single headline just undid two weeks of peace optimism. Yet SPX $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ ...
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$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ Pump and dump
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$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ Buy and increase position
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山顶资本李先生
commented on
$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ Microsoft fell by 4.7%, while Amazon dropped less than 1%. With only $1.2 billion in free cash flow, why are they hitting Microsoft instead of Amazon?
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山顶资本李先生
voted
The quarter was not weak. The proof standard has simply moved higher because the spending base is now enormous. Let us take a closer look.
Key Financial Highlights
Revenue was $56.31 billion, up 33% year-over-year, ahead of the $55.45 billion consensus. On a constant-currency basis, revenue grew 29%, which means FX helped, but did not fully explain the acceleration.
The ad engine remained very strong, but the drivers were mixed. Meta delivere...
Key Financial Highlights
Revenue was $56.31 billion, up 33% year-over-year, ahead of the $55.45 billion consensus. On a constant-currency basis, revenue grew 29%, which means FX helped, but did not fully explain the acceleration.
The ad engine remained very strong, but the drivers were mixed. Meta delivere...
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山顶资本李先生
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$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ It should be at least 450, right?
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山顶资本李先生
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$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ wtf reports are good azure growth is fine still what stopping you did a mistake at 440
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山顶资本李先生
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$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$From now on, just buy puts for any company dealing with AI when their earnings reports come out
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