May 15 important time window update:
The Federal Reserve officially changes leadership: Current Chair Powell's term ends on May 15, and Kevin Warsh is expected to complete the confirmation process and officially take office on the same day or before. Trump's visit to China concludes: President Trump will make a state visit to China from May 13 to 15. The most significant announcements, such as the outcomes of meetings with leaders and negotiation results, are likely to be released on the final day of the trip. Expiration date for US-China monthly options: The last trading day for the month’s stock index futures/options contracts is concentrated on May 15 (Friday).
Combined with the strong non-farm payroll data released this month, and the CPI and PPI confirming further strengthening of inflation, the yield on 30-year US Treasuries breaking through 5%, along with large IPOs like SpaceX going public, it is highly probable that Warsh’s first two months in office will involve balance sheet reduction. Liquidity is expected to tighten further. Beware of potential pullbacks triggered by subsequent lack of market liquidity.
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Important events this week!
US-China Competition and Security Dialogue
Expectations for high-level US-China meetings: Fundamental contradictions are not expected to be resolved; the core focus will be shifts in pace, such as the US approach to the Iran conflict. At best, some bilateral trade agreements might be reached, including Boeing aircraft, soybean orders, and easing of certain export restrictions. The US and China plan to establish an AI safety hotline to prevent crises caused by loss of AI control. The Trump administration is considering easing chip restrictions. AI competition has become a 'digital arms race,' with both sides competing in technology, military, and supply chains...

This moomoo option feature is my "must-check" before every trade, but I noticed few people use it
Do you ever feel like you're "blind-trading" options? You pick a strike, pay the premium, and hope for the best—only to find yourself confused when the stock moves in your direction, but your contract value barely budges
Recently, I went through the Options Challenge in the moomoo community. While most questions were straigh...

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Recently, market volatility has been significant, with many growth stocks experiencing extreme ups and downs. However, I believe that some stocks have started to reach a position suitable for long-term investors to gradually build their holdings. Lately, I’ve been paying close attention to TSLA and SOFI. On the surface, these two companies are in completely different sectors—one is involved in electric vehicles, AI, and robotics, while the other focuses on fintech and digital banking. But I think they share one commonality: the market is still analyzing them using traditional frameworks, while their true long-term value may already be shifting in another direction. Therefore, when I look at these two stocks now, I'm not betting on whether they will rebound tomorrow or solely focusing on short-term technical indicators. Instead, I feel that if we extend the timeline to the next two to three years, or even three to five years, the current divergence and volatility might present an ideal opportunity to slowly build positions.
Let’s start with TSLA. Many people still focus on Tesla's vehicle sales, gross margins, competition in the Chinese market, price wars, and similar issues. These factors are undoubtedly important because the automotive business remains Tesla’s core foundation—if car sales decline, cash flow and market confidence will both suffer. However, I believe that viewing Tesla purely through the lens of a traditional automaker can be overly limiting. What makes Tesla truly unique isn’t just its ability to produce electric cars; it’s that the company has already secured some of the hardest-to-obtain elements for real-world AI: real-road data, hardware terminals, a network of vehicle owners, manufacturing capabilities, energy systems, and AI training infrastructure. While many AI companies are still stuck within screens, processing text, images, videos, and office efficiency tools, Tesla is integrating AI into the real world—enabling AI to understand roads, spaces, movement, driving, energy, and mechanical actions. The complexity of this task far exceeds building a simple software application, but if successful, its commercial value would also be unprecedented.