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Practical Insights: Stop Gambling at High Levels, Learn to Align with Market Makers
Early 2026, the market is still hovering at high levels. Many friends have asked me: 'Is it still safe to add shares of NVDA now? AI is so powerful!'
Every time I pour cold water on the idea: NVIDIA at $190 isn’t really any more 'AI-driven' than NVIDIA at $170.
Don’t laugh—this is a harsh reality. For a trillion-dollar giant, fundamentals don’t suddenly skyrocket within weeks. Earnings reports haven’t changed, orders haven’t surged, and there’s been no technological breakthrough—so where does that extra $20 premium come from?
The answer lies in two words: structure.
It’s the change in option structures, liquidity, and sentiment giving it a higher valuation. The stock price rises not because the company suddenly became amazing overnight, but because of gamma squeezes, dealer positioning, and retail investors aggressively buying call options, which push prices up artificially.
Once you see through this, you won’t stubbornly cling to “value investing” at high levels. You’ll shift your focus away from earnings reports and toward the real battleground—the options chain and dealer positioning.
My core advice: Put away the one-sided gambler's mindset and switch to a combination of 'Pair Trading + Calendar Strategy.'
I. Macro Layout: Survive Using Pair Trading
Many people say, 'Don’t short, it’s too risky,' but if you’re playing with options cycles, lacking a short-selling mindset is like dancing with one leg tied.
At high levels, I don't blindly stay bullish, nor do I stubbornly stay bearish. I use Gamma to choose my battleground:
When going long, I only pick the 'Positive Gamma King'
正GEX(Positi...
Early 2026, the market is still hovering at high levels. Many friends have asked me: 'Is it still safe to add shares of NVDA now? AI is so powerful!'
Every time I pour cold water on the idea: NVIDIA at $190 isn’t really any more 'AI-driven' than NVIDIA at $170.
Don’t laugh—this is a harsh reality. For a trillion-dollar giant, fundamentals don’t suddenly skyrocket within weeks. Earnings reports haven’t changed, orders haven’t surged, and there’s been no technological breakthrough—so where does that extra $20 premium come from?
The answer lies in two words: structure.
It’s the change in option structures, liquidity, and sentiment giving it a higher valuation. The stock price rises not because the company suddenly became amazing overnight, but because of gamma squeezes, dealer positioning, and retail investors aggressively buying call options, which push prices up artificially.
Once you see through this, you won’t stubbornly cling to “value investing” at high levels. You’ll shift your focus away from earnings reports and toward the real battleground—the options chain and dealer positioning.
My core advice: Put away the one-sided gambler's mindset and switch to a combination of 'Pair Trading + Calendar Strategy.'
I. Macro Layout: Survive Using Pair Trading
Many people say, 'Don’t short, it’s too risky,' but if you’re playing with options cycles, lacking a short-selling mindset is like dancing with one leg tied.
At high levels, I don't blindly stay bullish, nor do I stubbornly stay bearish. I use Gamma to choose my battleground:
When going long, I only pick the 'Positive Gamma King'
正GEX(Positi...
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$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
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The recent government shutdown complicated things further by delaying data that might clarify the economy's direction, leaving policymakers ahead of their December 9-10 meeting with fairly fixed and deepl...
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The recent government shutdown complicated things further by delaying data that might clarify the economy's direction, leaving policymakers ahead of their December 9-10 meeting with fairly fixed and deepl...
FOMC Press Conference, December 10, 2025
Dec 10 13:30
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$Broadcom (AVGO.US)$
Broadcom Q4 FY2025 earnings conference call is scheduled for December 11 at 5:00 PM ET /December 12 at 6:00 AM SGT /December 12 at 8:00 AM AEST. Subscribe to join the live earnings conference with management NOW!
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Broadcom Q4 FY2025 earnings conference call is scheduled for December 11 at 5:00 PM ET /December 12 at 6:00 AM SGT /December 12 at 8:00 AM AEST. Subscribe to join the live earnings conference with management NOW!
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Broadcom Q4 FY2025 earnings conference call
Dec 11 16:00
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兜兜の樂記
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Key Takeaways (AI-Generated)
Financial Performance:
- NVIDIA reported a record revenue of $57 billion in Q3 2026, marking an increase of 62% year-over-year.
- Data center revenue reached a record $51.2 billion, reflecting a 66% increase year-over-year, driven by the GB300 ramp and robust growth in networking.
- Gaming revenue increased by 30% year-over-year to $4.3 billion, with strong end market sell-through.
- Professional Visualization revenue grew 56%...
Financial Performance:
- NVIDIA reported a record revenue of $57 billion in Q3 2026, marking an increase of 62% year-over-year.
- Data center revenue reached a record $51.2 billion, reflecting a 66% increase year-over-year, driven by the GB300 ramp and robust growth in networking.
- Gaming revenue increased by 30% year-over-year to $4.3 billion, with strong end market sell-through.
- Professional Visualization revenue grew 56%...
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
Nvidia Q3 FY2026 earnings conference call is scheduled for November 19 at 5:00 PM ET /November 20 at 6:00 AM SGT /November 20 at 9:00 AM AEDT. Subscribe to join the live earnings conference with management NOW!
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What do you expect from Nvidia's Q3 earnings? Will the company beat or miss the estimates? Make sure to click the "Book" button to get what management has to say!
Disclaimer:
This presentation is for information an...
Nvidia Q3 FY2026 earnings conference call is scheduled for November 19 at 5:00 PM ET /November 20 at 6:00 AM SGT /November 20 at 9:00 AM AEDT. Subscribe to join the live earnings conference with management NOW!
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What do you expect from Nvidia's Q3 earnings? Will the company beat or miss the estimates? Make sure to click the "Book" button to get what management has to say!
Disclaimer:
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Nvidia Q3 FY2026 earnings conference call
Nov 19 16:00
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$NEBIUS (NBIS.US)$ Nebius Q3 2025 earnings conference call is scheduled for November 11 at 8:00 AM ET /November 11 at 9:00 PM SGT /November 12 at 00:00 AEDT. Subscribe to join the live earnings conference with management NOW!
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What do you expect from Nebius's Q3 earnings? Will the company beat or miss the estimates? Make sure to click the "Book" button to get what Nebius's management has to say!
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This presentation is for information...
Beat or Miss?
What do you expect from Nebius's Q3 earnings? Will the company beat or miss the estimates? Make sure to click the "Book" button to get what Nebius's management has to say!
Disclaimer:
This presentation is for information...
Nebius Q3 2025 earnings conference call
Nov 11 07:00
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U.S. stocks pulled back sharply last week as investors grew wary of stretched tech valuations and fading AI euphoria. $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$fell 3.04%, leading losses, while $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$dropped 1.63% and $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$declined 1.21%. Sentiment soured amid concerns over an extended government shutdown, signs of labor market weakness, and headlines surrounding Ope...
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Key Takeaways (AI-Generated)
Financial Performance:
- Figma reported Q3 2025 revenue of $274 million, achieving a 38% year-over-year growth, which surpassed the higher end of the guidance.
- The company has crossed a $1 billion annual revenue run rate.
- Non-GAAP operating margin was maintained at 12% despite significant investment in AI and M&A.
- Adjusted free cash flow margin stood at 18% for the quarter.
- A strong balance sheet with $1.6 billion in cash...
Financial Performance:
- Figma reported Q3 2025 revenue of $274 million, achieving a 38% year-over-year growth, which surpassed the higher end of the guidance.
- The company has crossed a $1 billion annual revenue run rate.
- Non-GAAP operating margin was maintained at 12% despite significant investment in AI and M&A.
- Adjusted free cash flow margin stood at 18% for the quarter.
- A strong balance sheet with $1.6 billion in cash...
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