Another absolute condition for buying a stockis that it must be breaking out from a correctly formed base or consolidation pattern.
Furthermore,Always buy at the pivot point (the right buy price)and never forget this.
Note: The term 'pivot' here literally translates as 'turning point,' but likely refers to a breakout above a consolidation area.
From my perspective on language usage, I tend to use 'pivot' (or turning point) when referring to negating a downtrend or an uptrend, so this is an unusual application of the term.
As mentioned before,you should avoid stocks that have risen 5–10% from their initial buy point.
If you adhere to this principle, you won't end up chasing stocks that have sharply risen in price, and even if a sudden market crash occurs, the likelihood of being shaken out will be lower.
※Even someone like O'Neil, who studied century-defining growth stocks, would avoid buying if they miss the optimal 5-10% entry window. In reality, it’s possible for a missed stock to rise by 160%. However, buying when volatility expands and deviation ratios are high means you can't set a stop-loss, resulting in trades with uncontrolled risk. At that point, the balance between risk and reward...

Risk aversion begins amid Trump's tariff threats.
(Mon/Tue) Concentrated buying in storage/resources/gold and silver as investors search for stocks worth holding. Amidst a majority of sold-off stocks, there is one-sided concentration.
(Wed) Right side of the V-shape on TACO.
(Thu) Reversal of weak stocks.
It was notable to see mean reversion movements in previously weak individual stocks, such as Arm and DDOG.
This is
✅Buy and if it drops below the lowest price, exit (-5% or so).
✅Take profit at 50% retracement from the highest price = Ideal scenario.
✅Taking partial profits (15-20%) in the initial momentum (3-5 days) adds stability = A countermeasure for sluggish scenarios.
So, the risk-reward ratio is quite good.
Generally, it's better not to buy stocks at low price ranges unless they're recent IPOs or fundamentally strong companies temporarily down due to external factors. However, algorithm-driven trends like this might not be short-lived. Since the risk is low, it could be worth following.
However, don't expect a new high or an uptrend to emerge after updating yearly highs. Weak stocks remain weak. Holding stocks without significant changes won't yield much benefit. A short-term approach is fine.
If I can capture about half of the move back to the previous high, that would be great. I'll follow with some leftover capital.
(Today, the trend in price movements at the beginning of the week...)

Lately, I often say, let's observe the market.
It’s probably because I thought something like this might happen.
↓
✅ What is a trading method?
The mindset of people who only love money is mostly the same.
“He earned several hundred million yen” → “He made it using a certain method” → “I want to know that method” → (If I copy that method, I can probably earn hundreds of millions too).
Since I’m kind, I’ll teach you. I'll carefully explain the logic behind the “certain method.”
However, teaching up to 'belief change' would be too vast.
Regarding the 'environment,' no two environments are exactly the same, and attempting to categorize them would also become too extensive to teach.
That’s why that person will probably not make any money.
Moreover, even if I were to verbalize and teach everything, the volume would be so overwhelming that it likely wouldn't be learned.
Or, it might only result in remembering 5% of the 'form' I wrote about a few days ago.
This is because they want to make money without much effort.
It's because they think they can make money easily just by relying on 'methods'.
Let's say you can learn the method in three hours—well, it could be described in a few pages. However,
If that kind of world existed, all professionals would have already learned these methods.
As a result, they end up unable to make money...

I've started writing a book, but my ideas are all over the place and it's turning into a big project, which has been giving me some trouble lately. I jotted down a few ideas in bullet points, and they turned into the following chunks. If there’s anything else you’d like to read about, let me know.
✅ Acquiring the perspective needed to succeed in the market
① US stocks have clear cycles, and I have a strength in capturing those cycles. I want to share how to identify them and techniques for navigating tricky situations.
A framework that divides stock price increase factors into three categories
1. Overall Market Conditions
2. Fundamental requirements (major changes)
3. Timing of the rise (supply-demand dynamics)
In terms of 1., it refers to the overall market.
② I want to introduce what constitutes significant change using many examples. I also want to show cases that seem like big changes but don't actually impact stock prices much.
③ I want to share the essential basics of chart analysis—knowing just these will be enough to score 80 points, which is sufficient.
④ By having these perspectives (frameworks) and applying this knowledge, I’ll explain how one could profit in the markets post-COVID...

One might ask if I am affiliated with a certain securities company. However, let me explain the concept of financial literacy (capital market 'hack').
When I explain this, I believe it will significantly enhance mathematical understanding.
First, to state the conclusion,
"a lump sum of funds"should be exposed to the market as early in life as possible,"by being placed in the market,"which is the key to success.
Let us examine the data to explain this concept.
This is a simulation of saving 50,000 yen per month at a 7% yield over 30 or 40 years.
(This is roughly what you can expect from index investing. Performance has been good since the pandemic, but this is a conservative estimate.)
Yield: 7% (Historically, Nasdaq has returned between 7-11% annually).
Initial investment amount: 50,000 yen.
Monthly contribution: 50,000 yen.
If continued for 30 years, financial concerns during retirement will be eliminated.
Age 30 to 60: 59 million yen.
Age 30 to 70: 125 million yen.
What I would like you to notice in this graph is that the amount increases significantly over the 10 years from age 60 to 70.
There is a substantial difference between 30 and 40 years of accumulation.
Buffett earned 99% of his wealth after the age of 50.
Buffett earned over 80% of his wealth after the age of 60.
Consolidated money into "time" × "market"...

As a final service at the end of the year, I have been conducting numerous lectures and interviews.
During an interview yesterday, I came across something that resonated deeply as a common issue.
Although I understand it in my head, my actual actions do not reflect this understanding. How can this challenge be resolved?
There was such a thing. This is a generalization of something that a certain person actually experienced, but
[Phenomenon]
・Despite having gains exceeding 100%, the stock price reversed, prompting heavy investment to recover losses, only for the price to drop further, resulting in withdrawal at a substantial loss.
Regarding this investment,
“What I understand intellectually”
"Actual behavior"
was described as being different.
[Butsu Kumagu's point of view]
A common reflection seen after trades resulting in such losses is
"One should not trade based on emotions."
"In the end, since the stock price has recovered, holding onto the stock was the right decision."
These are shallow or incorrect reflections.
When seeing such reflections, one might think, "This person is likely to face a tough time..."
It seems like an ordinary person who should probably buy index funds instead of trading individual stocks.
I think that’s fine as it is, and it's natural for people to simply have strengths and weaknesses in different areas...