Welcome to the Casino Called Investing: How Do People Lose in the Market? | Horokuma, Chappy | Stock Investment | Kindle Store | Amazon
'Welcome to the Casino Called Investing' (Abbreviation: InvCasino)
The fact that I was able to reach the publication of this book is thanks to all of you.
After observing mobile securities × social bulletin boards for about three years, the initially scattered factors behind failures gradually converged into a single axis over time. I turned that into an entertaining read by adding black humor and entertainment elements.
Last year, I conducted interviews with about 30 people to understand what’s happening in users’ investment environments.
We explored what challenges they face.
This effort increased clarity, which motivated me to write this book.
If it weren’t for this, I probably wouldn’t have had the motivation to write a book.
To be honest, until I conducted the interviews,
I had a bias thinking, 'Moomoo is low-level, they don't get it—well, that’s what mobile trading apps are like.'
But in reality, after speaking with about 30 people, ...
'Welcome to the Casino Called Investing' (Abbreviation: InvCasino)
The fact that I was able to reach the publication of this book is thanks to all of you.
After observing mobile securities × social bulletin boards for about three years, the initially scattered factors behind failures gradually converged into a single axis over time. I turned that into an entertaining read by adding black humor and entertainment elements.
Last year, I conducted interviews with about 30 people to understand what’s happening in users’ investment environments.
We explored what challenges they face.
This effort increased clarity, which motivated me to write this book.
If it weren’t for this, I probably wouldn’t have had the motivation to write a book.
To be honest, until I conducted the interviews,
I had a bias thinking, 'Moomoo is low-level, they don't get it—well, that’s what mobile trading apps are like.'
But in reality, after speaking with about 30 people, ...
Translated
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Columns The most liquid explanation
- YouTube
If such a massive amount of bonds (coupons) are issued through AI investment, Bitcoin will likely drop and stocks won't be bought.
Liquidity black hole.
If such a massive amount of bonds (coupons) are issued through AI investment, Bitcoin will likely drop and stocks won't be bought.
Liquidity black hole.
Translated
6
Speculative stocks, all are hopeless.
Good earnings, but stocks with high expectations usually don’t pan out.
Loss-making companies focusing on revenue growth aren’t being valued in this environment.
Financial sector, facing headwinds.
Cryptocurrency-related stocks, pretty tough.
Players in the value chain with high profit generation capabilities, especially bottlenecks, look quite promising.
Solid companies with increasing backlogs are fairly decent.
Defensive value plays, could work out well.
The inflection point of Value >> Growth will only be clear after Value breaks down, so confirmation is acceptable.
This isn’t a period where you can make big profits.
If you stubbornly believe your opinion is right and the market is wrong, and can only play growth stocks, you’ll just get worn down.
An environment where giving up observation doesn't work. The difficulty level is high.
Good earnings, but stocks with high expectations usually don’t pan out.
Loss-making companies focusing on revenue growth aren’t being valued in this environment.
Financial sector, facing headwinds.
Cryptocurrency-related stocks, pretty tough.
Players in the value chain with high profit generation capabilities, especially bottlenecks, look quite promising.
Solid companies with increasing backlogs are fairly decent.
Defensive value plays, could work out well.
The inflection point of Value >> Growth will only be clear after Value breaks down, so confirmation is acceptable.
This isn’t a period where you can make big profits.
If you stubbornly believe your opinion is right and the market is wrong, and can only play growth stocks, you’ll just get worn down.
An environment where giving up observation doesn't work. The difficulty level is high.
Translated
13
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$Masonglory (MSGY.US)$
Stocks too (a plumbing company)
Charts too (classic pump & dump, 90% crash)
Investing without looking at them is rather...
Please take good care of your money.
Stocks too (a plumbing company)
Charts too (classic pump & dump, 90% crash)
Investing without looking at them is rather...
Please take good care of your money.
Translated
2
$Kubota Pharmaceutical Holdings (4596.JP)$
Let’s do our research on the company’s history before buying.
No serious capital will come in.
Let’s do our research on the company’s history before buying.
No serious capital will come in.
Translated
5
Columns First book completed
Since theoretical books take time, I’ve decided to start with 'casual reading material for forming beliefs.'
The first book will be a publication full of black humor, titled 'Welcome to the Casino Called Investing.'
I think this one has turned out quite well, even by my standards.
However, as I was writing it, I realized that when I write, the books tend to be rather subdued.
Fundamentally, winning in the markets is often just a byproduct of not losing.
If the overall market is good, anyone who can hold strong stocks for a certain period and take profits before a collapse can succeed.
So, the way to win doesn't really matter that much. But I think readers want it, so I'm thinking of writing a step-by-step guide anyway.
If we break it down,
In the early phase of a bull market, this time it was AI. It would have been ideal to capture the trend that started with NVDA each step of the way, that’s all. (Avoiding events like the Reiwa Black Monday, Trump tariffs, and the movements from late September to November would be wise. Avoid trading when the index is below the 200-day moving average.)
It’s tough to make money right now. We're in the mid to late phase of the AI-driven market. You need to rotate based on the flow of funds, which requires skill. I'm unsure whether I should introduce this, but at least setting expectations can help. If your expectations are misaligned, you’ll end up just giving away unrealized profits...
The first book will be a publication full of black humor, titled 'Welcome to the Casino Called Investing.'
I think this one has turned out quite well, even by my standards.
However, as I was writing it, I realized that when I write, the books tend to be rather subdued.
Fundamentally, winning in the markets is often just a byproduct of not losing.
If the overall market is good, anyone who can hold strong stocks for a certain period and take profits before a collapse can succeed.
So, the way to win doesn't really matter that much. But I think readers want it, so I'm thinking of writing a step-by-step guide anyway.
If we break it down,
In the early phase of a bull market, this time it was AI. It would have been ideal to capture the trend that started with NVDA each step of the way, that’s all. (Avoiding events like the Reiwa Black Monday, Trump tariffs, and the movements from late September to November would be wise. Avoid trading when the index is below the 200-day moving average.)
It’s tough to make money right now. We're in the mid to late phase of the AI-driven market. You need to rotate based on the flow of funds, which requires skill. I'm unsure whether I should introduce this, but at least setting expectations can help. If your expectations are misaligned, you’ll end up just giving away unrealized profits...
Translated
43
1
I'll extract the immediately useful book sections and turn them into a column.
If you're unsure about what's happening in the market every day, give this a read.
In fact, it can be explained using three timeframes (minute/ daily/ weekly charts) and four key concepts.
■ Introduction: The candlestick chart you’re looking at is a “record of battles.”
The market isn’t a gentle place.
Every day, similar price struggles repeat around the same levels.
Moreover, what’s happening there can actually be expressed in four words.
“Initiative,” “Absorption,” “Distribution,” and “Addition.”
Once you start imagining these four words as a battlefield for territorial control,
the 'shape' of the chart suddenly transforms into a 'log of battles.'
Today, I will turn that into a story organized by different timeframes.
Minute chart = Trench warfare. Daily chart = Struggle for hills. Weekly chart = National warfare.
Even though the candlesticks look the same, the groups fighting are different.
■The minute chart battle: The fight over 'trench lines' decided in minutes
Cast of characters (participating entities)
・High-speed scouts (HFT/Scalpers)
・Supply officers (Market makers: maintaining the battlefield with order books and spreads)
・Squad leaders (Day traders)
・Artillery (0DTE/Short-term options forces...)
If you're unsure about what's happening in the market every day, give this a read.
In fact, it can be explained using three timeframes (minute/ daily/ weekly charts) and four key concepts.
■ Introduction: The candlestick chart you’re looking at is a “record of battles.”
The market isn’t a gentle place.
Every day, similar price struggles repeat around the same levels.
Moreover, what’s happening there can actually be expressed in four words.
“Initiative,” “Absorption,” “Distribution,” and “Addition.”
Once you start imagining these four words as a battlefield for territorial control,
the 'shape' of the chart suddenly transforms into a 'log of battles.'
Today, I will turn that into a story organized by different timeframes.
Minute chart = Trench warfare. Daily chart = Struggle for hills. Weekly chart = National warfare.
Even though the candlesticks look the same, the groups fighting are different.
■The minute chart battle: The fight over 'trench lines' decided in minutes
Cast of characters (participating entities)
・High-speed scouts (HFT/Scalpers)
・Supply officers (Market makers: maintaining the battlefield with order books and spreads)
・Squad leaders (Day traders)
・Artillery (0DTE/Short-term options forces...)
Translated
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仏熊苦 OP : https://x.gd/BYyJ5