仏熊苦
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仏熊苦
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仏熊苦
commented on
$Riot Platforms (RIOT.US)$
Relatively strong stocks like these, which are also tightening, are good choices.
Relatively strong stocks like these, which are also tightening, are good choices.
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仏熊苦
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Columns From Hawaii
We successfully rebounded from the end of the year, so it's a good start.
The people of Hawaii are bright, full of love, kind, and their warmth soothes the heart.
Last year, I was putting out content that I believed was valuable with high energy, but there were also complaints and some really foolish abusive comments.
I recommend that those who tend to act that way should visit Hawaii once.
Aloha represents love, compassion, and gratitude.
Pono stands for balance and harmony.
Everyone in Hawaii lives with Aloha and Pono spirits; they radiate positive energy and live happily.
In Japan, if you can’t keep yourself in a good mood, it might be difficult to feel happiness.
In Hawaii, just walking around the streets can make you feel happy.
This morning, I went for a barefoot walk on the beach and it felt wonderful.
The people of Hawaii are bright, full of love, kind, and their warmth soothes the heart.
Last year, I was putting out content that I believed was valuable with high energy, but there were also complaints and some really foolish abusive comments.
I recommend that those who tend to act that way should visit Hawaii once.
Aloha represents love, compassion, and gratitude.
Pono stands for balance and harmony.
Everyone in Hawaii lives with Aloha and Pono spirits; they radiate positive energy and live happily.
In Japan, if you can’t keep yourself in a good mood, it might be difficult to feel happiness.
In Hawaii, just walking around the streets can make you feel happy.
This morning, I went for a barefoot walk on the beach and it felt wonderful.
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仏熊苦
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Columns Chart Interpretation
Simply introducing the 'form' would be meaningless, so let me describe the underlying thought process.
This is probably the third time in the past year that resources have picked up. Last time, it turned into a major market rally, and it seems that when tensions with China/Russia rise, resource prices tend to increase.
The recent price movements are mostly in line with the overall market. The adjustment in the broader market has largely ended by the end of the year.
After CRML had a big market run, it triggered a series of stop-loss orders down to the 200-day moving average (MA). It attempted a rebound but was rejected near the 50-day MA, then rejected again at the 50-day MA before breaking below the 200-day MA.
Relatively savvy investors buy when the price breaks above the 200-day MA for the second time, placing their stop-loss just below the recent low.
In a downtrend, lower lows break the previous low, which defines the structure of the downtrend. This low point determines the downtrend's structure.
If the price forms a higher low relative to this key low point and rebounds, it could indicate a shift to an uptrend, making it a crucial turning point.
While aiming for profits with the expectation of breaking through the 50-day MA, if there’s no momentum to surpass it, it's best to sell immediately.
The market doesn’t always follow rigid definitions, which makes this part interesting.
This time, we're seeing a double bottom (or perhaps even a triple...
This is probably the third time in the past year that resources have picked up. Last time, it turned into a major market rally, and it seems that when tensions with China/Russia rise, resource prices tend to increase.
The recent price movements are mostly in line with the overall market. The adjustment in the broader market has largely ended by the end of the year.
After CRML had a big market run, it triggered a series of stop-loss orders down to the 200-day moving average (MA). It attempted a rebound but was rejected near the 50-day MA, then rejected again at the 50-day MA before breaking below the 200-day MA.
Relatively savvy investors buy when the price breaks above the 200-day MA for the second time, placing their stop-loss just below the recent low.
In a downtrend, lower lows break the previous low, which defines the structure of the downtrend. This low point determines the downtrend's structure.
If the price forms a higher low relative to this key low point and rebounds, it could indicate a shift to an uptrend, making it a crucial turning point.
While aiming for profits with the expectation of breaking through the 50-day MA, if there’s no momentum to surpass it, it's best to sell immediately.
The market doesn’t always follow rigid definitions, which makes this part interesting.
This time, we're seeing a double bottom (or perhaps even a triple...
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仏熊苦
commented on
$Figma Inc (FIG.US)$ It's dropped too far. This stock has been a real good lesson. I won’t make the same mistake twice.
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仏熊苦
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I've started writing a book, but my ideas are all over the place and it's turning into a big project, which has been giving me some trouble lately. I jotted down a few ideas in bullet points, and they turned into the following chunks. If there’s anything else you’d like to read about, let me know.
✅ Acquiring the perspective needed to succeed in the market
① US stocks have clear cycles, and I have a strength in capturing those cycles. I want to share how to identify them and techniques for navigating tricky situations.
A framework that divides stock price increase factors into three categories
1. Overall Market Conditions
2. Fundamental requirements (major changes)
3. Timing of the rise (supply-demand dynamics)
In terms of 1., it refers to the overall market.
② I want to introduce what constitutes significant change using many examples. I also want to show cases that seem like big changes but don't actually impact stock prices much.
③ I want to share the essential basics of chart analysis—knowing just these will be enough to score 80 points, which is sufficient.
④ By having these perspectives (frameworks) and applying this knowledge, I’ll explain how one could profit in the markets post-COVID...
✅ Acquiring the perspective needed to succeed in the market
① US stocks have clear cycles, and I have a strength in capturing those cycles. I want to share how to identify them and techniques for navigating tricky situations.
A framework that divides stock price increase factors into three categories
1. Overall Market Conditions
2. Fundamental requirements (major changes)
3. Timing of the rise (supply-demand dynamics)
In terms of 1., it refers to the overall market.
② I want to introduce what constitutes significant change using many examples. I also want to show cases that seem like big changes but don't actually impact stock prices much.
③ I want to share the essential basics of chart analysis—knowing just these will be enough to score 80 points, which is sufficient.
④ By having these perspectives (frameworks) and applying this knowledge, I’ll explain how one could profit in the markets post-COVID...
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仏熊苦
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Columns What can you learn from this?
Lately, I often say, let's observe the market.
It’s probably because I thought something like this might happen.
↓
✅ What is a trading method?
The mindset of people who only love money is mostly the same.
“He earned several hundred million yen” → “He made it using a certain method” → “I want to know that method” → (If I copy that method, I can probably earn hundreds of millions too).
Since I’m kind, I’ll teach you. I'll carefully explain the logic behind the “certain method.”
However, teaching up to 'belief change' would be too vast.
Regarding the 'environment,' no two environments are exactly the same, and attempting to categorize them would also become too extensive to teach.
That’s why that person will probably not make any money.
Moreover, even if I were to verbalize and teach everything, the volume would be so overwhelming that it likely wouldn't be learned.
Or, it might only result in remembering 5% of the 'form' I wrote about a few days ago.
This is because they want to make money without much effort.
It's because they think they can make money easily just by relying on 'methods'.
Let's say you can learn the method in three hours—well, it could be described in a few pages. However,
If that kind of world existed, all professionals would have already learned these methods.
As a result, they end up unable to make money...
It’s probably because I thought something like this might happen.
↓
✅ What is a trading method?
The mindset of people who only love money is mostly the same.
“He earned several hundred million yen” → “He made it using a certain method” → “I want to know that method” → (If I copy that method, I can probably earn hundreds of millions too).
Since I’m kind, I’ll teach you. I'll carefully explain the logic behind the “certain method.”
However, teaching up to 'belief change' would be too vast.
Regarding the 'environment,' no two environments are exactly the same, and attempting to categorize them would also become too extensive to teach.
That’s why that person will probably not make any money.
Moreover, even if I were to verbalize and teach everything, the volume would be so overwhelming that it likely wouldn't be learned.
Or, it might only result in remembering 5% of the 'form' I wrote about a few days ago.
This is because they want to make money without much effort.
It's because they think they can make money easily just by relying on 'methods'.
Let's say you can learn the method in three hours—well, it could be described in a few pages. However,
If that kind of world existed, all professionals would have already learned these methods.
As a result, they end up unable to make money...
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仏熊苦
commented on
$Montauk Renewables (MNTK.US)$
Does it seem reasonable to assume that there is a high possibility of a sharp rise from 1,480 yen??
Does it seem reasonable to assume that there is a high possibility of a sharp rise from 1,480 yen??
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仏熊苦
commented on
I mentioned that I don't really find 'Execution Analysis' very useful.
On the other hand, I think 'Market Position Distribution' could be quite useful.
Of course, since it's impossible to have exact individual position data, this is an estimation based on some kind of algorithm, but I still feel that we can get a general sense of the trend.
For example, let’s take IREN as an example.
The chart generally shows about one week intervals.
① 11/11 After the big market rally ended, most people who bought at the peak are holding losses. The overall market sentiment is also poor and a downturn is expected. Some people are still holding slight gains.
② 11/13 Including those who exited at break-even, there probably aren’t many left who bought at the lows. In the end, you can see that in these short-term surges, there are people on message boards talking about 'long-term investment holds,' but in reality, there are hardly any.
③ 11/25 Stop-loss orders are being executed, and while selling pressure has decreased somewhat, upside remains heavy. In this situation, sell-offs will likely continue, making it hard for prices to rise. However, dip-buying has come in to some extent, leading to some rebounds.
④12/09 Buy in the ceiling range...
On the other hand, I think 'Market Position Distribution' could be quite useful.
Of course, since it's impossible to have exact individual position data, this is an estimation based on some kind of algorithm, but I still feel that we can get a general sense of the trend.
For example, let’s take IREN as an example.
The chart generally shows about one week intervals.
① 11/11 After the big market rally ended, most people who bought at the peak are holding losses. The overall market sentiment is also poor and a downturn is expected. Some people are still holding slight gains.
② 11/13 Including those who exited at break-even, there probably aren’t many left who bought at the lows. In the end, you can see that in these short-term surges, there are people on message boards talking about 'long-term investment holds,' but in reality, there are hardly any.
③ 11/25 Stop-loss orders are being executed, and while selling pressure has decreased somewhat, upside remains heavy. In this situation, sell-offs will likely continue, making it hard for prices to rise. However, dip-buying has come in to some extent, leading to some rebounds.
④12/09 Buy in the ceiling range...
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仏熊苦 OP : Perfect, he might be a genius.