交易学徒
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Is this large buying at the close intended to set up a big rally during the overnight session or early tomorrow morning, followed by dumping the shares onto us retail investors? The vast majority of trades occurred between 136 and 137, with extremely high volume.
Is this large buying at the close intended to set up a big rally during the overnight session or early tomorrow morning, followed by dumping the shares onto us retail investors? The vast majority of trades occurred between 136 and 137, with extremely high volume.
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交易学徒
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ What’s going on with the massive volume of aggressive buying at the current price level—and why is it all large and medium-sized orders?![]()
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交易学徒
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ 140 appears to be distributing heavily; the CVD has turned negative—and significantly so, at -28K.
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交易学徒
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交易学徒
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ Kudos to the bulls for holding the closing price at 135—despite massive sell orders, each in the tens of thousands, pounding the market, they somehow held the line. Now it’s pushed into after-hours trading, and the low-volume price formed after hours can more easily be reversed on Monday.
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交易学徒
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Wyckoff’s Effort vs. Result principle states: the greater the effort exerted in one direction in the market, the stronger the expected market response. If the opposite occurs, it likely indicates you are trading against the trend. This is precisely the current situation—bulls are exerting more effort than bears, yet their returns are significantly weaker than those of the bears, signaling that the market is moving in favor of the bears.
The order heat map clearly shows larger yellow bubbles for bulls (indicating higher aggressive buy volume), yet the market either rises only slightly or reverses downward. Meanwhile, the bears’ purple bubbles are visibly smaller (indicating lower aggressive sell volume), yet each one drives price down significantly. Note: Only orders with size >= 1,000 contracts are displayed.
Wyckoff’s Effort vs. Result principle states: the greater the effort exerted in one direction in the market, the stronger the expected market response. If the opposite occurs, it likely indicates you are trading against the trend. This is precisely the current situation—bulls are exerting more effort than bears, yet their returns are significantly weaker than those of the bears, signaling that the market is moving in favor of the bears.
The order heat map clearly shows larger yellow bubbles for bulls (indicating higher aggressive buy volume), yet the market either rises only slightly or reverses downward. Meanwhile, the bears’ purple bubbles are visibly smaller (indicating lower aggressive sell volume), yet each one drives price down significantly. Note: Only orders with size >= 1,000 contracts are displayed.
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交易学徒
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ Starting at 11:45 AM, SOXL's market Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) began gradually turning downward, suggesting that the primary driver behind the market's upward move has shifted from large institutional buy orders to retail limit buy orders. This trend warrants attention.
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交易学徒
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ if history has ever taught us anything, it is time to get out now =D This is no hollywood
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交易学徒
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135 is far too critical—bulls had to put up some resistance. Now it’s started pulling back, rallying up to 138, but trading volume hasn’t shown any significant change. That’s the problem with overnight sessions: nothing gets confirmed by volume.
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交易学徒
commented on
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ 60$ is the supply zone
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交易学徒 OP 略略略略略 : It's theoretically possible, but a very severe shakeout can be expected.
交易学徒 OP 略略略略略 : So my current approach is to do the opposite: wait for it to rally, and once it shows signs of stalling, go short. That's exactly what I did this morning.
交易学徒 OP 不追高 要止盈 : Because there are a large number of limit sell orders (passive orders) hanging above, and the volume of aggressive buy orders is smaller than that of passive sell orders, absorption occurs—meaning the price doesn't rise. This is what I mean by heavy selling pressure. However, passive sell orders only prevent the price from rising; they don't drive it lower, so the market is currently in a stalemate.