$Marvell Technology (MRVL.US)$
It's a $100 million (hypothetical) company, right...?
It's a $100 million (hypothetical) company, right...?
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$T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU.US)$ If it's pegged to the BTC price, it should be around $3 now...![]()
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ケンシロウX
liked
$Strategy (MSTR.US)$
Watch it hit $101 and aggressively short all the way down to $97 with everything I've got.
This position is so reckless that, in the worst case, it could bankrupt the firm.
In a normal scenario, once the price breaks above $100 and the trend turns upward, short sellers are supposed to cut their losses (buy back) immediately to prevent further damage—that’s standard practice. Yet, they’ve chosen instead to double down today by adding more shorts, knowingly increasing their unrealized losses.
Why are large players selling today, fully aware they’ll incur losses?
At this point, they only have two options left: **either sell now—accepting losses—to drive the stock price back below $100, or do nothing and face forced liquidation on Friday when the price expires above $100, wiping out the entire firm.**
‘The cost paid today (the loss)’ vs. ‘certain death on Friday’
The millions or even tens of millions of dollars they’re losing today by aggressively pushing the price down at the $99–$100 threshold is, for them, merely a necessary expense—a life-support cost—to avoid stepping on a hundreds-of-millions-dollar landmine and dying instantly on Friday.
Algorithmic runaway (irreversible autopilot)
Their system, when the stock price hits around $100...
Watch it hit $101 and aggressively short all the way down to $97 with everything I've got.
This position is so reckless that, in the worst case, it could bankrupt the firm.
In a normal scenario, once the price breaks above $100 and the trend turns upward, short sellers are supposed to cut their losses (buy back) immediately to prevent further damage—that’s standard practice. Yet, they’ve chosen instead to double down today by adding more shorts, knowingly increasing their unrealized losses.
Why are large players selling today, fully aware they’ll incur losses?
At this point, they only have two options left: **either sell now—accepting losses—to drive the stock price back below $100, or do nothing and face forced liquidation on Friday when the price expires above $100, wiping out the entire firm.**
‘The cost paid today (the loss)’ vs. ‘certain death on Friday’
The millions or even tens of millions of dollars they’re losing today by aggressively pushing the price down at the $99–$100 threshold is, for them, merely a necessary expense—a life-support cost—to avoid stepping on a hundreds-of-millions-dollar landmine and dying instantly on Friday.
Algorithmic runaway (irreversible autopilot)
Their system, when the stock price hits around $100...
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liked
$Strategy (MSTR.US)$
Immediately after passing the expiration date of the 10th, a fresh batch of options positions was established without delay.
Another tense battle is set to unfold this week.
On the 10th, market makers piled on massive short interest to prevent option exercises. They wanted to close these shorts by buying back and resetting their positions, but weren't allowed to—resulting in an alarming volume of call options now expiring on the 17th. We'll factor this into next week's positioning strategy.
For the July 17 expiry, the put side shows a prominent bid wall of **13,600 contracts at $80**. While that’s roughly 15% below the current share price ($94.64), combined with the call side’s $99 strike (31,000 contracts), a rigid trading range—or 'cage'—between $80 and $99 has now been clearly defined for next week.
Based on all this data, here is the **'foolproof strategy for next week'**:
① Calmly accumulate shares within the 'whale hunting zone' below $95
Market makers will go to extreme lengths—including deploying their massive accumulated short positions—to aggressively cap the price before it breaches the $99 defense line ahead of the 17th expiration. Therefore...
Immediately after passing the expiration date of the 10th, a fresh batch of options positions was established without delay.
Another tense battle is set to unfold this week.
On the 10th, market makers piled on massive short interest to prevent option exercises. They wanted to close these shorts by buying back and resetting their positions, but weren't allowed to—resulting in an alarming volume of call options now expiring on the 17th. We'll factor this into next week's positioning strategy.
For the July 17 expiry, the put side shows a prominent bid wall of **13,600 contracts at $80**. While that’s roughly 15% below the current share price ($94.64), combined with the call side’s $99 strike (31,000 contracts), a rigid trading range—or 'cage'—between $80 and $99 has now been clearly defined for next week.
Based on all this data, here is the **'foolproof strategy for next week'**:
① Calmly accumulate shares within the 'whale hunting zone' below $95
Market makers will go to extreme lengths—including deploying their massive accumulated short positions—to aggressively cap the price before it breaches the $99 defense line ahead of the 17th expiration. Therefore...
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ケンシロウX
liked
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Break above 65,000!
Break above 65,000!
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Wasn't the scenario supposed to be a massive surge on Samsung's earnings...?
Wasn't the scenario supposed to be a massive surge on Samsung's earnings...?
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reacted to
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ Strategy's plan was to crash the coin price and buy back shares at a low, but that's just how the stock market works—it never goes as planned. Got forced out at the bottom and ended up buying the top. Hoping I don't get stung while I'm already crying.
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