[Present]
To the 3 users whose predictions for the closing price of the S&P 500 index at the end of 2023 were close to the actual closing price,1000 yen Amazon gift cardI will give it as a present.
[How to participate]
Japan timeUntil 23:59 p.m. on 12/29On, 12/30'sPredict the closing price of the S&P 500, please post! (Example: the closing price is expected to be $5,000).
To all Moo users
While the US stock market in 2023 is facing complex changes such as the global economy and monetary policy,Effects of the generative AI boomIt was a year that greatly boosted the average stock price. On the delicate balance of inflation, interest rates, and economic growth, a strong upward trend was formed in the US stock market. While experiencing periods of optimism and pessimism throughout the year, going forwardFederal Reserve System (Fed)Attention is drawn to its actions and its impact on the economy as a whole.
Before the beginning of 2024, let's take a break and forecast the closing price of the S&P 500 in 2023. The new year is just around the corner. Everyone'sHopes and aspirations, and the year so farReflections I have looked back on, expectations for myself in the future, etc.Let's also share it with each other....

Japanese stocks rose on October 5. It is rising in response to high US stock prices.
The US market on the 4th was “stock prices declined due to falling interest rates in response to economic statistics showing deterioration in the employment market.” The day before, the 3rd, was “high interest rates and stock depreciation in response to a drastic increase in employment (number of job offers).” When it comes to that, the employment statistics figures announced on the 6th are “if bad content is announced, stock prices will rise.”
However, the reaction to the material is intense and I'm nervous, so it's better not to decide too much in advance. The situation where stock prices fluctuate greatly continues.
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The position of the closing price on October 4 compared to the stock price at the end of August is described below.
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Rate of change compared to the end of August (10/4)
NY Dow - 4.5%
Nasdaq Index — 5.6%
Nikkei average -6.4%
TOPIX -4.8%
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Compared to the end of August, there is no big difference between the decline rate of major indices of US stocks and Japanese stocks in the 4-6% range. Today's Japanese stocks are rising, so the rate of decline in Japanese stocks based on the 5-day closing price will shrink from what is shown.
Next, the stock price just before the September rights of Japanese stocks fell (end of 9/27...