Why are US stocks bullish?
When I invest in US stocks, I only worry about US stock news, but the marketexternal factorsIt is also affected by
United StatesCPIThey are reluctant to drop, led by soaring housing costs.
In contrast to thisThai CPIThe current value peaked at 7.86% of the 2022/10 announcement0.19%There has been a big drop.
Inflation is seriousTurkey85.51% in 2022/11CPIThis is the peak of It fell once and added 38.21%, but then it rose again and the current value69.80%It is getting closer to its peak.
India CPIThe fluctuation was intense, and there were scenes where the high price of 7.44% to 7.79% was set 4 times after 2020. What is the current value4.85%It is.
German CPIpeaked at 10.4% announced in 2022/11 and fell steadily, and the current value2.2%It is.
United Kingdom CPIpeaked at 11.1% announced in 2022/11 and fell steadily, and the current value3.2%It is.
Japan CPIpeaked at 4.3% announced in 2023/3 and fell to 2.2%, but now it has rebounded2.7%It is.
Korea CPIpeaked at 6.3% announced in 2022/8 and fell to 2.3%, but it rebounded and the current value2.9%It is.
Vietnam CPIpeaked at 4.89% announced in January 2023 and fell to 2.00%, but it rebounded and the current value4.40%It has risen to
Indonesia CPIpeaked at 5.95% announced in 2022/10 and fell to 2.28%, but it rebounded and the current value3.00%It is.
It fell into deflationChinaofCPIhas risen from the negative zone and the current value0.3%It is.
EuropeYou can see that inflation has calmed down smoothly.
Asian countriesSo it can be said that inflation is being rekindled.
TurkeyInflation is numerically serious, but surprisingly, the public is reacting calmly. A downward trend is expected by the end of the year.
EuropeIf policy interest rates are maintained too high, the risk that the unemployment rate will skyrocket increases, so it can be determined that the interest rate cut period is close.
Asian countriesThen, if the inflation trend becomes stronger, a decline in consumption will occur, and the risk that the economy will become sluggish will increase.
Asian countriesIf policy interest rates are raised to suppress inflation, the risk of an increase in the unemployment rate will increase due to the double punch of high interest rates and high prices.
TurkeyIf inflation is successfully calmed down, there is a possibility that funds will flow into Turkey from weakened Europe.
US stocksWhen it starts to rise, priority will be given to US stocks rather than Turkish stocks.
TurkeyEven if the economy continues smoothly, Turkish stocks will not rise much if US stocks are strong.
US stocksThere are also people who are pessimistic about it, but there is a high risk that Asian countries that cannot move to cut interest rates and countries other than Europe and America, where interest rate cuts are close but there is a risk of economic recession, will fall into economic downturn.
This is for the US, which is suffering from subsidence in inflationtailwindIt is.
Interest rates are staying highdollarsThis is because funds will gather and push down import prices.
When the global economy deceleratesCrude oil pricesSince it will also fall, this is also positive for US stocks.
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麦マル : That's really true
Currently, it is thought that the majority of people are investing mainly in US stocks and Japanese stocks.
However, it is also true that stock prices may crash drastically due to various factors, such as the war between Ukraine and Russia, conflict issues starting with battles in the Gaza region, etc., when the global supply chain system collapses due to natural disasters such as earthquakes, etc., or when companies are exposed to fraud issues or when they are involved in various scandals.
It is also true that interest in newspapers and news programs related to the world situation has grown as individuals have begun to invest in stocks.
Also, I read with interest the notifications and live broadcasts of the Moomoo Securities App, and your opinions and opinions, and use them as a reference.
I really appreciate this app.
I would be happy if we could continue to exchange opinions with many users.
Thank you for your continued support