Oil tanks as Israel-Iran ceasefire takes hold: What's next?

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Weekly roundup: Markets hold breath ahead of Fed decision & Geopolitical risks

Hello mooers!

Markets paused their advance last week, weighed down by renewed geopolitical tensions and cautious trading ahead of key central bank events. The $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ slipped 0.6%, $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ lost 0.39%, and $Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ lagged with a 1.49% drop as small caps bore the brunt of risk-off sentiment.

The backdrop? Inflation data continued to cool, supporting expectations for two Fed rate cuts by year-end. Meanwhile, AI optimism kept fueling select sectors: $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$’s May revenue beat forecasts, $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ projected 60% AI growth over FY25-26, and $Oracle (ORCL.US)$ sharply raised capex guidance. On the flip side, Friday’s selloff reflected growing concern over escalating conflict between Iran and Israel.

As always, let’s dive into some of the standout stories and strategies shared by our moomoo community last week.

📘 AI Morning Scan

@Kevin Matte shared an impressively deep dive scan into market sentiment, volatility, options flow, and institutional positioning. Read more>>

🚗 Tesla's Rally

@Shawnn nailed the timing on a $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ put, locking in a hefty $21,710 profit on a lucky reversal—proof that even in a rallying stock, sharp downside plays can deliver. Read more>>

Weekly roundup: Markets hold breath ahead of Fed decision & Geopolitical risks

@BigBeautifulStock celebrated a well-timed $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ call sale, enough to upgrade dinner with some chicken drumsticks—sometimes, small wins feel just as good. Read more>>

@104744589 demonstrated strategy finesse, pulling $751 profit from a $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ diagonal spread in just one day, showing how structured plays can capture gains in volatile names. Read more>>

🧠 Quantum Computing Volatility

@Visionary6733 played the downside across the quantum computing sector, locking in solid gains: 84.88% on $D-Wave Quantum (QBTS.US)$ puts, 75% on $Quantum Computing (QUBT.US)$ puts, 66.85% on $Rigetti Computing (RGTI.US)$ puts, and 68.18% on $Serve Robotics (SERV.US)$ puts. Read more>>

@MKHIJAUUUU banked a clean $1,100 profit on a $Quantum Computing (QUBT.US)$ put—showing that precision pays when volatility spikes. Read more>>

@101825933(Kim) scored big with a $5,500 profit on a $D-Wave Quantum (QBTS.US)$ put, perfectly timing the sector’s pullback. Read more>>

📊 Riding the Market Wave

@pootpoot hit it right with a $Target (TGT.US)$ vertical spread, locking in an impressive 255% gain while managing risk through partial exits. Read more>>

@AlexHeng booked a 98.92% return shorting $Strategy (MSTR.US)$ puts, expressing gratitude for steady weekly gains—discipline paying off. Read more>>

@SaintzBack shared a tense but ultimately rewarding $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ put trade, showing how patience through volatility can pay off. Read more>>

@kunoichi7 celebrated a $24,348.30 profit from a $Carvana (CVNA.US)$ call, describing the trade as an emotional release. Read more>>

@Seraphicall saw a huge 533.33% win on an $Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX.US)$ call, though he couldn’t help but wonder: “Was this the best you can do?” Read more>>

@Bubble Fish came home from dinner to a pleasant surprise—$1,490 profit on an $NEBIUS (NBIS.US)$ call amid unexpected volatility. Read more>>

@101825933(Kim) continued the streak with a $5,500 profit on a $Boeing (BA.US)$ put, timing the downside move perfectly. Read more>>

📓 Trading diaries

@arcb0 shared an inspiring and heartfelt story—accidentally discovering options in March and turning a “Hail Mary” into the best six weeks of his life! From a rocky financial start to booking $1,204.98 in daily gains across $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ calls, $CoreWeave (CRWV.US)$, $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$, and $Apple (AAPL.US)$, this new trader is embracing the learning curve with enthusiasm. Read more>>

@WeiTheSaint469 celebrated a breakout win, turning a small $250–$350 portion of his paycheck into $1.16K—a 358.24% gain on $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ puts. Read more>>

@Xie Xie Ni shared a $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ exit chart, illustrating timely decision-making in choppy tape. Read more>>

@BigBeautifulStock highlighted a “crazy option” trade on $Oklo Inc (OKLO.US)$, offering a glimpse into the fast-moving world of speculative setups. Read more>>

@SPY Tinkerbelle showed solid discipline, exiting a $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ put with profit and confidently calling it a day: “I am Done and out!!” A great example of knowing when to step back. Read more>>

As we head into a new week, markets are preparing for a critical stretch filled with geopolitical tensions and pivotal macro events. The spotlight will be on the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, with potential ripple effects on energy markets and broader risk sentiment.

On the data front, U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday could offer fresh clues on consumer resilience and inflation dynamics. But the main event will come late Wednesday: the Fed’s FOMC meeting. Markets will dissect the rate decision, the updated Summary of Economic Outlook, and Powell’s press conference for signals on the timing and pace of potential rate cuts, especially with expectations for two cuts already priced in for this year.

Let’s Keep the Conversation Going!

We’re a community of learners and strategists. As we head into another week, let’s continue to share and grow together:

💬 What lessons have you learned from last week’s market movements?

💬 Which strategies from our fellow mooers resonated with you?

💬 How are you positioning yourself this week?

🎁 Leave your answers below to earn 100 moo points!

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With the collective wisdom of the moomoo community and the tools at our disposal, we’re ready to tackle whatever comes our way. Let’s stay informed, trade smart, and make this week one to remember!

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Stay tuned for more, and happy trading! 🌟