Tokyo Market Opening: Nikkei Average Continues to Fall, Selling Leads Amid US Stock Decline; Kioxia Up 13%, Net Profit Forecast Doubles on Strong AI Demand; Sanrio Shows Buying Interest Following Upward Earnings Revision; Inpex Faces Selling Pressure, Projected 16% Drop in Operating Profit This Fiscal Year; Rakuten Hit by Massive Losses
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Here is a summary of this morning's opening. Thank you for your attention.
Market Overview
On the 13th, the Tokyo stock market opened with the Nikkei Average falling by 442 yen from the previous day to 57,197 yen, continuing its downward trend.
In the previous day’s US stock market, the NY Dow fell by 669 dollars and the Nasdaq also declined. Selling pressure increased in IT and high-tech stocks. Following this downward trend in the US market, the Tokyo stock market started with a sell-off. Additionally, the exchange rate is hovering around 152.80 yen to the dollar. Impacted by the fall in US stocks, the market dropped over 400 yen at the opening. After fluctuating near the opening level for a while, it tested a further decline. Stocks that announced earnings were bought temporarily but then tumbled significantly, prompting broader declines as investors watched this movement cautiously. The benchmark 57,000-yen level has now been breached, leading to a nearly 700-yen drop. $SoftBank Group (9984.JP)$ Although there were moments when certain stocks were bought, they subsequently experienced significant drops, causing the market to extend losses while observing these movements. At present, the key 57,000-yen level has been broken, resulting in a near 700-yen decline.
On the 13th, the Tokyo stock market opened with the Nikkei Average falling by 442 yen from the previous day to 57,197 yen, continuing its downward trend.
In the previous day’s US stock market, the NY Dow fell by 669 dollars and the Nasdaq also declined. Selling pressure increased in IT and high-tech stocks. Following this downward trend in the US market, the Tokyo stock market started with a sell-off. Additionally, the exchange rate is hovering around 152.80 yen to the dollar. Impacted by the fall in US stocks, the market dropped over 400 yen at the opening. After fluctuating near the opening level for a while, it tested a further decline. Stocks that announced earnings were bought temporarily but then tumbled significantly, prompting broader declines as investors watched this movement cautiously. The benchmark 57,000-yen level has now been breached, leading to a nearly 700-yen drop. $SoftBank Group (9984.JP)$ Although there were moments when certain stocks were bought, they subsequently experienced significant drops, causing the market to extend losses while observing these movements. At present, the key 57,000-yen level has been broken, resulting in a near 700-yen decline.
By industry, sectors such as transportation equipment, rubber products, and insurance are rising, while mining, services, and construction are declining. The Q4 (January-March) outlook was well-received. $Kioxia Holdings (285A.JP)$ Surging. On the other hand, THK <6481.T>, which fell significantly short of its forecast and incurred a substantial final net loss in the first half, is plummeting.
Top News
Kioxia HD - Buying interest. Despite a 42% drop in Q3 cumulative net profit, positive outlook for Q4 supports sentiment.
$Kioxia Holdings (285A.JP)$ The stock is showing buying interest. The company announced on the 12th that its consolidated net profit (IFRS) for the third quarter cumulative period (April-December) was 14.68 billion yen, down 41.8% year-on-year. Market consensus was 15.55 billion yen.
Kioxia HD - Buying interest. Despite a 42% drop in Q3 cumulative net profit, positive outlook for Q4 supports sentiment.
$Kioxia Holdings (285A.JP)$ The stock is showing buying interest. The company announced on the 12th that its consolidated net profit (IFRS) for the third quarter cumulative period (April-December) was 14.68 billion yen, down 41.8% year-on-year. Market consensus was 15.55 billion yen.
In the same period last year, unit prices remained solid due to recovery from market stagnation. However, the impact of inventory adjustments by PC and smartphone customers that occurred in Q4 of the previous term caused a significant drop in selling prices, leading to weak pricing in the first half of this term. While recent selling prices have been rising, revenue declined because the average selling price for the cumulative period did not reach last year’s level. On the other hand, shipment volumes (on a memory capacity basis) increased year-on-year, driven by strong demand from data center customers primarily for generative AI applications.
Additionally, the company announced its forecast for consolidated net profit for Q4 (January-March) in the range of 30.7 to 36.7 billion yen (3.5 to 4.2 times Q3). Q4 is expected to see significant increases in selling prices across all applications due to robust demand from data centers, leading to anticipated revenue and profit growth compared to Q3. This positive outlook has led to buying pressure on the stock.
Rakuten Group - Sell-off mood prevails as last fiscal year's net loss reaches ¥177.9 billion, operating profit down 73%
$Rakuten Group (4755.JP)$ Selling pressure observed. The company reported a consolidated net loss (IFRS) of 17.79 billion yen for the full fiscal year (previous period: 16.24 billion yen loss). Market consensus was a loss of 13.49 billion yen.
$Rakuten Group (4755.JP)$ Selling pressure observed. The company reported a consolidated net loss (IFRS) of 17.79 billion yen for the full fiscal year (previous period: 16.24 billion yen loss). Market consensus was a loss of 13.49 billion yen.
Although sales revenue reached 2.4966 trillion yen (up 9.5% from the previous period), operating profit shrank to 1.44 billion yen (down 72.9%). The prior period included a revaluation gain on AST SpaceMobile shares, the reversal of which had an impact.
In the mobile business, the number of contracted lines exceeded 10 million, achieving EBITDA profitability. The fintech business also grew, particularly in cards, banking, and securities, but impairment losses weighed on the final net results.
No dividend was paid for the fiscal year. The dividend forecast for the next fiscal year remains undecided.
Sanrio - Buying interest. Full-year operating profit forecast revised upward; Q3 cumulative up 52%.
$Sanrio (8136.JP)$ Stocks are showing buying interest. The company announced on the 12th that it has upwardly revised its consolidated operating profit forecast for the fiscal year 26.3 from 70.2 billion yen to 75.1 billion yen (a 45.0% increase compared to the previous year). Market consensus was 72.47 billion yen.
$Sanrio (8136.JP)$ Stocks are showing buying interest. The company announced on the 12th that it has upwardly revised its consolidated operating profit forecast for the fiscal year 26.3 from 70.2 billion yen to 75.1 billion yen (a 45.0% increase compared to the previous year). Market consensus was 72.47 billion yen.
In the third quarter cumulative period, various strategies such as the multi-character strategy being pushed globally and other initiatives have been successful. Due to increased popularity of characters like 'Kuromi' and 'My Melody', performance has exceeded expectations. A solid sales trend is expected to continue into the fourth quarter, prompting a revision in earnings forecasts.
Consolidated operating profit for the third quarter cumulative period (April-December) of fiscal year 26.3 was 62.4 billion yen (a 51.8% increase compared to the same period last year).
Additionally, the company announced a revision to its forecast for the year-end dividend for fiscal year 26.3 from 31 yen to 35 yen (the previous year-end was 33 yen). The annual dividend forecast will be adjusted from 62 yen to 66 yen (the previous year was 53 yen).
SoftBank G - Buy and sell orders mixed; Q3 cumulative net profit up fivefold, gains from investment in OpenAI contribute
$SoftBank Group (9984.JP)$ Mixed buying and selling pressure. On the 12th, the company announced that its consolidated net profit (IFRS) for the third quarter cumulative period (April-December) of fiscal year 26.3 was 3.1727 trillion yen (5.0 times the amount from the same period last year). Market consensus was 3.3137 trillion yen.
$SoftBank Group (9984.JP)$ Mixed buying and selling pressure. On the 12th, the company announced that its consolidated net profit (IFRS) for the third quarter cumulative period (April-December) of fiscal year 26.3 was 3.1727 trillion yen (5.0 times the amount from the same period last year). Market consensus was 3.3137 trillion yen.
Investment gains from OpenAI, amounting to 2.7965 trillion yen, contributed significantly to the substantial increase in SVF business investment profits. SoftBank's cumulative investment in OpenAI through SVF2 reached $34.6 billion, with an ownership ratio of approximately 11%.
INPEX - Selling pressure; Operating profit for this term expected to decrease by 16%, following an 11% drop in the previous term.
$Inpex (1605.JP)$ Selling pressure. On February 12th, the company announced its forecast for consolidated operating profit (IFRS) for fiscal year 26.12 at 957 billion yen (a 15.7% decrease compared to the previous year). Market consensus was 1.1201 trillion yen. The annual dividend forecast for fiscal year 26.12 is set at 108 yen (interim 54 yen, final 54 yen).
$Inpex (1605.JP)$ Selling pressure. On February 12th, the company announced its forecast for consolidated operating profit (IFRS) for fiscal year 26.12 at 957 billion yen (a 15.7% decrease compared to the previous year). Market consensus was 1.1201 trillion yen. The annual dividend forecast for fiscal year 26.12 is set at 108 yen (interim 54 yen, final 54 yen).
While maintaining stable production at key projects including the Ichthys project, lower oil price assumptions compared to fiscal year 25.12 are expected to result in reduced revenue for the full year. Increased exploration expenses due to heightened exploration activities primarily in the Asian region are also expected to weigh on results.
Consolidated operating profit (IFRS) for the fiscal year ended December 2025 fell by 10.7% year-on-year to 1.1354 trillion yen. The drop in oil prices and the stronger yen led to a decrease in revenue, which had an impact.
Takasago Thermal Engineering - Shares fell after rising for six consecutive days. Despite upward revision of full-year operating profit forecast, profit-taking sales emerged.
$Takasago Thermal Engineering (1969.JP)$ Shares fell after rising for six consecutive days. On the 13th at 8:50 AM, the company announced it had raised its forecast for consolidated operating profit for the fiscal year ending March 2026 from 43.3 billion yen to 47.1 billion yen (a 45.3% increase compared to the previous period). This was due to improved profitability through efficient construction systems and cost reduction efforts, as well as solid performance both domestically and in overseas subsidiaries.
$Takasago Thermal Engineering (1969.JP)$ Shares fell after rising for six consecutive days. On the 13th at 8:50 AM, the company announced it had raised its forecast for consolidated operating profit for the fiscal year ending March 2026 from 43.3 billion yen to 47.1 billion yen (a 45.3% increase compared to the previous period). This was due to improved profitability through efficient construction systems and cost reduction efforts, as well as solid performance both domestically and in overseas subsidiaries.
Consolidated operating profit for the third quarter cumulative period (April-December) of fiscal year 2026 increased by 86.8% year-on-year to 39.1 billion yen. The year-end dividend forecast was raised from 62 yen to 69 yen.
In addition, given that shares were bought in anticipation before the earnings announcement, profit-taking sales have taken the lead.
Exa Wiz is under selling pressure. Despite posting over 1 billion yen in operating profit for the April-December period, short-selling pressure remains strong.
$ExaWizards (4259.JP)$ The stock, which has shown mixed views, is gradually being pushed down by selling pressure. Although it closed slightly lower the previous day, it had risen for eight consecutive sessions just prior, maintaining rapid upward momentum supported by the 5-day moving average line.
$ExaWizards (4259.JP)$ The stock, which has shown mixed views, is gradually being pushed down by selling pressure. Although it closed slightly lower the previous day, it had risen for eight consecutive sessions just prior, maintaining rapid upward momentum supported by the 5-day moving average line.
The company handles AI solutions and digital transformation (DX) consulting, implementation, and operations on an end-to-end basis. It is also focusing on generative AI services and utilizing AI agents to support corporate management reforms. In its Q3 results for the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April-December 2025), announced after the close of trading on the 12th, operating profit surged to 1.027 billion yen (compared to a loss of 238 million yen in the same period last year), leading to positive buying at the opening. However, near-term downward pressure has been building due to short selling via foreign securities firms through the securities lending market.
<Special Quotation> Kioxia, Sanrio, and Kokusai Electronics are seeing buy interest.
As of 9:03:38 AM on February 13, there are 71 special buy quotations and 100 special sell quotations.
It surged sharply the day before. $Kioxia Holdings (285A.JP)$ has gathered top buy orders worth 41.2 billion yen today (sell orders at 18.8 billion yen), pushing up the special buy signal. $Sanrio (8136.JP)$や $Trial Holdings (141A.JP)$ 、 $Unicharm (8113.JP)$ There are also substantially more buy than sell orders, raising the possibility that the stock could be bought up to its upper limit price.
In addition, $Kokusai Electric (6525.JP)$や $AMADA (6113.JP)$ This stock is also moving to a special buying quote.
On the other hand, it plummeted the previous day. $Recruit Holdings (6098.JP)$ has gathered top sell orders worth 27.2 billion yen today (buy orders at 18.6 billion yen), pushing down the special sell signal. $Toyo Engineering (6330.JP)$や $Inpex (1605.JP)$There are also significantly more sell orders than buy orders, raising the possibility that it could be sold down to its daily limit in a bearish streak.
In addition, $Hitachi (6501.JP)$や $NEC (6701.JP)$ 、 $Rakuten Group (4755.JP)$ This stock is also shifting to a special selling quote.
As of 9:03:38 AM on February 13, there are 71 special buy quotations and 100 special sell quotations.
It surged sharply the day before. $Kioxia Holdings (285A.JP)$ has gathered top buy orders worth 41.2 billion yen today (sell orders at 18.8 billion yen), pushing up the special buy signal. $Sanrio (8136.JP)$や $Trial Holdings (141A.JP)$ 、 $Unicharm (8113.JP)$ There are also substantially more buy than sell orders, raising the possibility that the stock could be bought up to its upper limit price.
In addition, $Kokusai Electric (6525.JP)$や $AMADA (6113.JP)$ This stock is also moving to a special buying quote.
On the other hand, it plummeted the previous day. $Recruit Holdings (6098.JP)$ has gathered top sell orders worth 27.2 billion yen today (buy orders at 18.6 billion yen), pushing down the special sell signal. $Toyo Engineering (6330.JP)$や $Inpex (1605.JP)$There are also significantly more sell orders than buy orders, raising the possibility that it could be sold down to its daily limit in a bearish streak.
In addition, $Hitachi (6501.JP)$や $NEC (6701.JP)$ 、 $Rakuten Group (4755.JP)$ This stock is also shifting to a special selling quote.
Source: MINKABU, Trader's Web, Fisco, Stock Newspaper, Jiji Press
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