This Week's Market Watch (August 10-August 14)

Three Things That Decide the Week

1. Space — keeps its earnings beat (RKLB/AST Mon eve, low IV → buy-side defined risk)

2. NVDA — breaks to a new high (~$225 confirm, ~$236.5 next leg)

3. CPI — keeps the rate-cut window open (core ≤ 0.2 = soft; hot = stagflation)

Space taking off again | "Space re-launches" | SpaceX +22% on the week; RKLB won a $397M Space Force contract; RKLB/AST report Mon eve | Implied moves are low — the buy-side has room to run; defined-risk long calls | RKLB·SPCX·ASTS |

NVDA knocks on a new high | "Cheap, and breaking out" | Vera Rubin at full production + cloud pre-pays; 2027E P/E 15.7x vs Mag7 ex-NVDA 22.3x | Support ~$206, breakout confirm ~$225, next leg ~$236.5 | NVDA·SOXX·SMH·SOXL·QQQ·TQQQ |

Optics vs Neo-cloud duel | "Who takes the memory baton?" | 48h: LITE Tue / COHR Wed (orders & margins); CRWV Tue / NBIS Wed (bookings & capex) | Optics → defined-risk spreads; Neo-cloud → IV-crush risk, no naked calls | LITE·COHR·FN·AAOI·CRWV·NBIS |

CPI rate-cut test | "The tiebreaker for cuts" | Wed CPI + Thu PPI; soft needs core CPI m/m ≤ 0.2%; Sept cut slipped to 44% post-NFP | Hot = stagflation re-pricing, hits high-IV earnings; soft = long gold/silver/miners | SPY·QQQ·TLT·GLD·DXY·IWM·GDX·SLV |

$Questcorp Mining Inc (QQQ.CA)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$ $SpaceX (SPCX.US)$ $AST SpaceMobile (ASTS.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ $Lumentum (LITE.US)$ $Coherent (COHR.US)$ $Fabrinet (FN.US)$ $Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI.US)$ $CoreWeave (CRWV.US)$ $NEBIUS (NBIS.US)$

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