The yen is at a 34-year low! Check out the list of stocks that will benefit now!
The Bank of Japan at the monetary policy meeting held on the 26thMaintaining the current state of monetary policyI decided on it. The negative interest rate policy was lifted at the March meeting, and the view was expressed that the accommodative financial environment continues. As interest rates are maintained low, the interest rate difference with the United States remains open,Dollars to yen up to 156 yen at one timeThe low price has been updated.
In part of the market, there was a view that 1 dollar = 155 yen was the government's “line of defense,” but the depreciation of the yen progressed to the latter half of the 156 yen range without any sign of exchange intervention. Mr. Okada Yusuke of Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking said, “I thought there would be an intervention for 155 yen. At this rate, it could go as high as 160 yen,” he said.
The rapid depreciation of the yen has boosted Japanese stocks and attracted the inflow of funds from overseas into Japanese stocks. The ongoing depreciation of the yen strengthens exports, particularlyBenefiting major exporters of automobiles, electrical equipment, precision instruments, machinery, etc.It is anticipated that there is a possibility that it will result.“Advantages of the depreciation of the yen”The stocks are as follows.
The rapid depreciation of the yen has boosted Japanese stocks and attracted the inflow of funds from overseas into Japanese stocks. The ongoing depreciation of the yen strengthens exports, particularlyBenefiting major exporters of automobiles, electrical equipment, precision instruments, machinery, etc.It is anticipated that there is a possibility that it will result.“Advantages of the depreciation of the yen”The stocks are as follows.
If you look at the 2023 net profit rankings of Japanese listed companies,The performance of Japan's top companies has a big relationship with overseas earningsI'm doing it. In particular, $Toyota Motor(TM.US$The automobile industry, which is represented by, is expected to increase net profit in fiscal 2023 to reach 2.9 trillion yen, accounting for 60% of the net profit increase in Japanese stocks. In fiscal 2023, due to the depreciation of the yen, Toyota's depreciation is expected to raise profits of approximately 540 billion yen.
According to Morgan Stanley, in a scenario where the depreciation of the yen is prolonged and the US economy remains steady, the performance of Japanese companies is driven by external demand,Performance led by external demand exceeds that of Japanese domestic demand-related companiesI'm looking forward to it.
Meanwhile, Morgan StanleyIf the exchange rate of yen falls below 152 yenThe Japanese stock market has begun to underperform the US stock market, and it was emphasized that there is a possibility that it will adversely affect the Japanese stock market. Excessive depreciation of the yen has three major adverse effects on the stock market.
1. real economy(personal consumption, etc.)
2. Businesses and Households(The gap between export companies and domestic demand companies widens, which is particularly disadvantageous for small and medium-sized enterprises)
3. Decline in foreign investors' profit margins
Governor Ueda has already announced policies for gradual interest rate increases in response to the underlying rise in prices, future reduction in government bond purchases, and balance sheet contraction. It is necessary to pay attention to the impact of statements and outlook reports published after the meeting, and additional disclosures at the presidential conference on financial markets, starting with exchange rates.
Furthermore, on the same day that the Bank of Japan announced the resolution, the inflation index personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index most preferred by the Federal Reserve will be announced in the United States.If PCE results exceed expectations, the Fed will delay the initial rate cut againmight。
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[Bank of Japan Decision Meeting Preview] Will monetary easing come to an end due to the depreciation of the yen for the first time in 34 years? Pay attention to whether policy interest rates induce interest rate increases even if left unchanged
Related stocks
Electric devices: $Tokyo Electron(8035.JP$、 $Hitachi(6501.JP$、 $Murata Manufacturing(6981.JP$、 $Mitsubishi Electric(6503.JP$、 $Fujitsu(6702.JP$、 $Canon(7751.JP$、 $Advantest(6857.JP$、 $Fanuc(6954.JP$、 $Nidec(6594.JP$、 $Panasonic Holdings(6752.JP$、 $TDK(6762.JP$、 $Kyocera(6971.JP$、 $Minebea Mitsumi(6479.JP$
machines: $Disco(6146.JP$、 $Daikin Industries(6367.JP$、 $SMC(6273.JP$、 $Mitsubishi Heavy Industries(7011.JP$、 $Komatsu(6301.JP$、 $Kubota(6326.JP$、 $Makita(6586.JP$
Transportation equipment: $Toyota Motor(7203.JP$、 $Honda Motor(7267.JP$、 $Denso(6902.JP$、 $Subaru Corp(7270.JP$、 $Mazda Motor(7261.JP$、 $Nissan Motor(7201.JP$、 $Shimano(7309.JP$、 $Yamaha Motor(7272.JP$
Shipping industry: $Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha(9101.JP$、 $Mitsui O.S.K. Lines(9104.JP$、 $Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha(9107.JP$
Precision instruments: $Hoya(7741.JP$、 $Terumo(4543.JP$、 $Olympus(7733.JP$
Wholesale trade: $Mitsubishi(8058.JP$、 $Sumitomo(8053.JP$
Chemicals: $Shin-Etsu Chemical(4063.JP$、 $Nitto Denko(6988.JP$
Glass/earthenware products: $Niterra(5334.JP$
Rubber products: $Bridgestone(5108.JP$
Source: moomoo, Asahi Shimbun, Bloomberg
This article uses automatic translation for some parts
ー MooMoo News Evelyn
According to Morgan Stanley, in a scenario where the depreciation of the yen is prolonged and the US economy remains steady, the performance of Japanese companies is driven by external demand,Performance led by external demand exceeds that of Japanese domestic demand-related companiesI'm looking forward to it.
Meanwhile, Morgan StanleyIf the exchange rate of yen falls below 152 yenThe Japanese stock market has begun to underperform the US stock market, and it was emphasized that there is a possibility that it will adversely affect the Japanese stock market. Excessive depreciation of the yen has three major adverse effects on the stock market.
1. real economy(personal consumption, etc.)
2. Businesses and Households(The gap between export companies and domestic demand companies widens, which is particularly disadvantageous for small and medium-sized enterprises)
3. Decline in foreign investors' profit margins
Governor Ueda has already announced policies for gradual interest rate increases in response to the underlying rise in prices, future reduction in government bond purchases, and balance sheet contraction. It is necessary to pay attention to the impact of statements and outlook reports published after the meeting, and additional disclosures at the presidential conference on financial markets, starting with exchange rates.
Furthermore, on the same day that the Bank of Japan announced the resolution, the inflation index personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index most preferred by the Federal Reserve will be announced in the United States.If PCE results exceed expectations, the Fed will delay the initial rate cut againmight。
RELATED ARTICLES
[Bank of Japan Decision Meeting Preview] Will monetary easing come to an end due to the depreciation of the yen for the first time in 34 years? Pay attention to whether policy interest rates induce interest rate increases even if left unchanged
Related stocks
Electric devices: $Tokyo Electron(8035.JP$、 $Hitachi(6501.JP$、 $Murata Manufacturing(6981.JP$、 $Mitsubishi Electric(6503.JP$、 $Fujitsu(6702.JP$、 $Canon(7751.JP$、 $Advantest(6857.JP$、 $Fanuc(6954.JP$、 $Nidec(6594.JP$、 $Panasonic Holdings(6752.JP$、 $TDK(6762.JP$、 $Kyocera(6971.JP$、 $Minebea Mitsumi(6479.JP$
machines: $Disco(6146.JP$、 $Daikin Industries(6367.JP$、 $SMC(6273.JP$、 $Mitsubishi Heavy Industries(7011.JP$、 $Komatsu(6301.JP$、 $Kubota(6326.JP$、 $Makita(6586.JP$
Transportation equipment: $Toyota Motor(7203.JP$、 $Honda Motor(7267.JP$、 $Denso(6902.JP$、 $Subaru Corp(7270.JP$、 $Mazda Motor(7261.JP$、 $Nissan Motor(7201.JP$、 $Shimano(7309.JP$、 $Yamaha Motor(7272.JP$
Shipping industry: $Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha(9101.JP$、 $Mitsui O.S.K. Lines(9104.JP$、 $Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha(9107.JP$
Precision instruments: $Hoya(7741.JP$、 $Terumo(4543.JP$、 $Olympus(7733.JP$
Wholesale trade: $Mitsubishi(8058.JP$、 $Sumitomo(8053.JP$
Chemicals: $Shin-Etsu Chemical(4063.JP$、 $Nitto Denko(6988.JP$
Glass/earthenware products: $Niterra(5334.JP$
Rubber products: $Bridgestone(5108.JP$
Source: moomoo, Asahi Shimbun, Bloomberg
This article uses automatic translation for some parts
ー MooMoo News Evelyn
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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yamacyan : Defend yourself by buying FX dollars. Of course, stop orders are adjusted frequently.
is this the main stock market? I don't write much, though?
181338057犬心久美子 : What happens when the depreciation of the yen exceeds the degree
yamacyan 181338057犬心久美子: Yes, we have entered the volatile zone due to intervention alert. Preparations from 153 to 154 had a reverse index due to a decline in vigilance. Swaps were also included, and the total profit was sufficient, so dollar purchases at the time of intervention shifted from 153 to 148 to diversified waiting.
181338057犬心久美子 yamacyan: Thank you very much for your comments. Intervene in, right? It was good to get profit
181312845 : YELLOW HAT Stock Price