$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ my posts.are still being blocked by moo moo because I offended some Karen and Brad's that don't have the ability to take criticism. so for the few people that can read it I'll tell you what I think is going on and on where I think we're going and why.
everything is about oil if you haven't realized that right now you've been living under a rock
as oil goes so goes the stock market
we were told a week ago that the us is going to backstop the insurance industry because lloyds of London is not going to provide insurance for the oil tankers anywhere in the strait as they enter or exit.
so the US set up a $20 billion dollar reserve through the treasury in a separate entity to provide reinsurance to these oil tankers in any ships transporting through the strait of Hormuz and then once they get into international waters lloyds of London's policy can kick back in and protect them through the duration of their journey to Port of destination.
this reinsurance has done absolutely nothing to the markets we are down significantly more in terms of equity prices
simultaneously we were told last week that the US Navy is going to accompany those ships the oil tankers and the ships that are caring fertilizer throughout their trip through the straight to provide protection.
this too has not happened now we're being told by the Secretary of Energy Chris wright that this type of protection from us ships is not going to be coming really anytime soon the earliest will be the end of this month.
that means 2 weeks in plain English for those that don't understand.
purely coincidentally last week the USS George Bush which is stationed in Norfolk Virginia was given a mission to load up and begin its trip to the Gulf Waters where our other US Navy ships that are carrying out the mission right now.
it's been a week now and the USS George Bush based off of current information is still dry docked in Norfolk if you do a search you'll see that they were preparing for departure and as soon as they wrap up their current mission they will depart that's what I've been able to gather.
I think they're being loaded up with all of the weapons that are needed to restock the ships that are carrying out this mission right now as they fired an immense amount of offensive strike weapons missiles and their offensive strike capability gets depleted for every shot that's fired they don't have the ability to restock it these ships can't go to a port in any area near and reload what they have depleted so they need massive amount of ordinance to be brought into them.
that's why you're seeing this delay in the USS George Bush fleet from moving I think they're being stocked to the gills with every bit of weapons that are being depleted so that this fight can continue.
once they depart it's 10 to 12 Days according to any information online that you can find for them to arrive in the Gulf region.
purely coincidentally this matches the time frame of Secretary of Energy Chris wright saying that the US will begin a company oil tankers and ships that are transporting fertilizer whatever is needed through the straight by the end of this month.
what this means is the stock market is fucked plain and simple
Iran's not quitting they have engaged Hezbollah to accelerate their strikes against Israel and two days ago they launched in one wave 100 rockets ballistic missiles into Israel at the same time.
so while Iran's offensive strike has gone down 90% is what they're telling us and two days ago which is the most recent update that I have seen they were saying that in one 24-hour period the total amount of rockets fired so ballistic missiles fired from Iran towards the US ships or towards Israel was seven rockets that's it the number seven not seven waves of offensive firing but just seven rockets.
the US is decimating Iran we're kicking the living shit out of them but the problem is they're not quitting
so we've seen president Trump change his definition of unconditional surrender
everybody understands what it means and if you ever watched mixed martial arts fighting somebody is kicking the living crap out of somebody else to get them on the ground they're choking them out they tap out or they go to sleep they got them in an arm bar they're going to break their arm they tap out or their arm snaps like a chicken leg.
that tapout is your unconditional surrender
Iran's not tapping out
they've escalated it by bringing in Hezbollah to fire on Israel
so even while I ran's ability to strike is being reduced they still have an immense amount of drones and drones can be launched a variety of ways you don't need a launching pad like a ballistic missile needs to a mobile launcher.
now president Trump has changed in the Webster's dictionary what unconditional surrender means from what it used to mean what happened in Japan where the Japanese board of the US ship and the unconditionally surrendered in a ceremony and the war was officially over
the new unconditional surrender means we kick the living crap out of Iran did the extent that their ability to offensively strike and harm other regions has been virtually if not completely eliminated
this means they have no Navy which we destroyed over 60 vessels they have no Air Force they're pieces scattered all over the place
there state of the art Chinese made radar that failed in the first 5 minutes
launchers that are mobile used to deploy ballistic missiles and hypersonic missiles they're being taken out as soon as the launch is detected those launchers are being blown up
so the ability for Iran to continue to strike it's like a half life everything is being reduced by 50% every single day. you're never going to get to zero you just keep reducing their ability to strike and this is why president Trump is saying there's virtually no targets left for us to bomb you've got over 5,000 targets that have been hammered and destroyed up to Wednesday those were the numbers so that 5,000 is going up by now.
the definition of unconditional surrender by President Trump is Iran is no longer a threat to its neighboring countries to Israel and their nuclear development program is completely decimated their storage and stockpile of hypersonic and ballistic missiles is destroyed all this leaves Iran with is it's called Small arms and that's not a threat to any of its neighboring countries or Israel.
if you made it this far you'll understand that we've got minimum two weeks left before the USS George Bush fleet arrives in Gulf Waters and I believe these are the ships that are going to be restocking the vessels that are fighting right now and I believe some of these ships are going to be used to provide the protection in the straight to oil tankers and ships that are transporting fertilizer and other things so that the flow can commence
what this means is this stock market is headed marketably lower for the next two weeks we're not rallying we're going south and where are we going?
I think we're going to see sub 40,000 in the Dow
the reason why I say this is if you look back in history a geopolitical events or Market moving events that have created a systemic sell-off in the market it is traded down to the lower moving average of a Bollinger band and that would put this Market below 40,000

there's nothing that's coming from president Trump's administration that's reducing the price of oil not the 20 billion dollars of reinsurance not 57 0 collective million barrels of strategic reserve oil to be released not the United States permitting foreign vessels to enter us ports so it's easier for them to load and unload absolutely nothing that is coming from president Trump is reducing the price of oil.
has oil goes so does the stock market and it appears that we have at least two weeks before the USS George Bush fleet arrives offloads the munitions and commences providing protection to the ships to transport through the strait of Hormuz and I believe that puts the US Stock Market below $40,000
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