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Memory chips' "supercycle" comes: supply shortage boosts price hike. Time to buy?
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Stick to Discipline, Trade Lightly: Act Only at Key Levels

$Applied Materials (AMAT.US)$ , the position I added around 198 was basically right on the pullback edge. I’ll hold it for now, with my stop still set at 195–196. If the stock can reclaim 200 and push toward 203–204, I’ll be looking to scale out gradually in the 206–212 range. But if it breaks below 196 on strong volume, I’ll cut it quickly—I’m not going to fight it.
$Oracle (ORCL.US)$ , it dropped to around 292 today, which is effectively a clean break below 300. In this situation, I’ll trim another part of my non-core position and just keep the core shares to watch. Any new buying would only happen if it can reclaim 305–308 with volume. If 289–290 doesn’t hold, I’ll step aside and wait for a lower setup.
$Western Digital (WDC.US)$ , it’s trading around 107 now, with a low of 105, stuck under 108. I won’t try to catch it here. I need to see it reclaim 111–112 with volume before I take a starter position. The rebound target would be 115–118. Until then, I’d rather stay flat and watch.
$Fair Isaac (FICO.US)$ , it dipped to 1515 today and bounced to 1540. That hit my 1520–1530 support zone almost perfectly, so I added a small position. I’ll hold that for now, and only add more if it breaks through 1560 with volume. But if it slips back into the 1520 area on weak action, I’d rather lock in profits early than get chopped up.
$Seagate Technology (STX.US)$ , it’s sitting around 218, and the key 228–229 support has been lost for several days. I won’t add here. I need it to reclaim and hold 228 before I consider stepping back in—otherwise, it stays just a defensive hold in my book.
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ , it’s back above 253 today, but 255 is still a resistance zone. I’ll try a small add around 253, with a stop under 251. If it can break and hold 255 on volume, I’ll gradually rebuild the shares I trimmed yesterday. But if it falls under 248, I’ll pretty much clear out the position without hesitation.
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