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SpaceX IPO Countdown: Can the space-AI narrative support a $100 billion valuation?
jjuniverse2050
joined discussion · Dec 11, 2025 11:33
If SpaceX reaches a valuation of $1.5 trillion, the value of SATS’s SpaceX shares will be as high as 154% of the company's current total market capitalization.

Deep Value: If SpaceX truly achieves a $1.5 trillion valuation, the value of SATS’s SpaceX shares alone ($41.6 billion) would already be 1.5 times the current value of the entire SATS company ($27 billion). 👉 The current price per share of SATS is $103.

Buy-one-get-one-free concept: This means that if one buys SATS now at its market capitalization of $27 billion, not only are they acquiring future SpaceX shares at a 65% discount, but they are also getting SATS’s satellite communications business, spectrum assets, and cash flow for free.

🀑 The market has yet to fully reflect this: Although the current stock price (market cap of $27 billion) has risen sharply from previous lows, it appears to only reflect a SpaceX valuation of around $800 billion to $900 billion. If the market becomes convinced that SpaceX can reach a $1.5 trillion IPO valuation, SATS’s stock price 👉 theoretically still has significant room for a catch-up rally (at least rising to a level that reflects the $41.6 billion value of its stake plus the value of its core business).
If SpaceX reaches a valuation of $1.5 trillion, the value of SATS’s SpaceX shares will be as high as 154% of the company's current total market capitalization. Deep Value: If SpaceX truly achieves a $1.5 trillion valuation, the value of SATS’s SpaceX shares alone ($41.6 billion) would already be 1.5 times the current value of the entire SATS company ($27 billion). 👉 The current price per share of SATS is $103. Buy-one-get-one-free concept: This means that if one buys SATS now at its market capitalization of $27 billion, not only are they acquiring future SpaceX shares at a 65% discount, but they are also getting SATS’s satellite communications business, spectrum assets, and cash flow for free. 🀑 The market has yet to fully reflect this: Although the current stock price (market cap of $27 billion) has risen sharply from previous lows, it appears to only reflect a SpaceX valuation of around $800 billion to $900 billion. If the market becomes convinced that SpaceX can reach a $1.5 trillion IPO valuation, SATS’s stock price 👉 theoretically still has significant room for a catch-up rally (at least rising to a level that reflects the $41.6 billion value of its stake plus the value of its core business).
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