S&P Rebalancing + Apple Aiming for "Super Charge" + NVIDIA's New Strategy in China

First, a reflection and reminder: Do not chase high prices due to a single news item, nor should you sell at a loss because of one piece of news. Mindset is more important than timing; factors such as position sizing, stop-loss, and rhythm—these often-discussed concepts—are usually what can save you.

1) Major Adjustment by S&P: $Robinhood (HOOD.US)$ 、 $Applovin (APP.US)$ 、 $EMCOR Group (EME.US)$ Will be included on September 22

S&P officially announced that three companies will be included. $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Effective September 22. Following the news, Robinhood and AppLovin surged in after-hours trading—typical of the "passive fund expectations + index effect." Meanwhile, known for its substantial holdings of cryptocurrency, $Strategy (MSTR.US)$ (often referred to by the media as "Strategy") was not included this time, sparking considerable discussion (factors such as stability and business attributes may have been considered).

Brief commentary + operational perspective (just a thought, not investment advice):

$Robinhood (HOOD.US)$ : Being included means that passive index funds will be buying in, creating a short-term "index market." Operational inclination: holders may consider taking profits in batches; newcomers should avoid chasing the price, waiting for the news hype to subside before looking for lower entry points.

$Applovin (APP.US)$ : The certainty of the user/advertising ecosystem resembles a 'structural positive', but valuations have already reflected some expectations. Operational tendency: focus on transaction volumes and changes in institutional holdings; in the short term, one can follow the momentum, while in the long term, assess the sustainability of commercialization.

$EMCOR Group (EME.US)$ : The inclusion of industrial passive funds is more influenced by passive capital, and the volatility may be relatively small. Operational tendency: consider small position attempts, with a focus on earnings reports and profitability sustainability.

2) Apple Fall Event: Theme 'Awe Dropping', starting at 1 AM Beijing time on September 10; Apple Store officially launches on Douyin.

$Apple (AAPL.US)$ The official announcement of the event time (theme 'Awe Dropping') was released, which, according to the schedule on Apple's official website, is at 1 AM Beijing time on September 10. The market widely anticipates new products such as the iPhone, Apple Watch, and AirPods. Another move is the official flagship Apple Store's entry into the Douyin marketplace, clearly aiming to expand its traffic pool beyond offline and Tmall, targeting a younger audience.

Brief Commentary + Operational Perspective:

The impact of new product launches on sales and brand is a "layered realization": if the new device truly has upgrades (camera, battery life, differentiated experience), it will stimulate device upgrades; however, stock prices will be more influenced by whether expectations can be supported by data that exceeds those expectations.

The significance of Douyin's entry is greater than its immediate effects: while it can bring more reach and marketing rhythm in the short term, whether it can significantly reverse sales in China in the long term will depend on pricing, inventory, and channel promotions.

Operational inclination towards AAPL: It is common to see "buy the rumor, sell the fact" around events. If you are trading short-term, pay attention to the first day's trading volume and channel data; from a long-term perspective, the fundamentals still rely on the iPhone upgrade cycle and service revenue.

3) NVIDIA's new chess game in China: B30A (Blackwell-derived chip aimed at China) + local competitors accelerating their catch-up.

Multiple media outlets, including Reuters, have reported that NVIDIA is preparing a custom chip based on Blackwell for the Chinese market (codenamed B30A) with hopes of quickly delivering samples for testing. Meanwhile, local giants (such as Alibaba) are also accelerating the launch of AI chips that can replace or complement existing products, introducing more uncertainty into the market landscape—NVIDIA will have to navigate regulations, pricing, and local substitutes.

Key Points and Operational Perspective:

The technical and pricing details of B30A remain uncertain (media have estimated its price/performance), but the core fact is: NVIDIA wants to maintain its foothold in this large Chinese market. The short timeframe for sample delivery indicates quick action, but whether it can ultimately scale production will still be influenced by U.S. permissions and Chinese policies.

$BABA-W (09988.HK)$ Although local manufacturers are acting quickly, they may capture market share in certain inference/customization scenarios in the short term, but it will still take time to catch up in terms of software ecosystem and general applicability.

Yes $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Operational tendencies (thoughts, not recommendations):

Long-term: Ifyou are a player looking at the long-term value of AI infrastructure, NVIDIA's technological barriers and ecosystem remain attractive, but it is essential to factor in the valuation risks associated with the Chinese market and regulation.

Short-term:Pay attention to whether "regulatory approval is granted for B30A," NVIDIA's official delivery/license progress, and the procurement intentions of major Chinese clients (Alibaba, ByteDance, etc.); under news-driven circumstances, volatility will be significant, making it suitable for managing positions and stop-losses.

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