Premature
I am wondering if the market is prematurely pricing in a rate cut?
CPI and PPI are still a little hot and sticky. Retail sales and spending still strong.
What if rate cut doesn’t come in till a year later?
From YouTube
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US$ $Spenda Ltd(SPX.AU$ $Activision Blizzard(ATVI.US$ $Arm Holdings(ARM.US$ $Tesla(TSLA.US$ $Virtual Reality (VR)(BK2139.US$ $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US$ $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ $Alphabet-A(GOOGL.US$ $Amazon(AMZN.US$ $Streaming Service(BK2432.US$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(JUN4)(NQmain.US$ $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Trust(DIA.US$ $Meta Platforms(META.US$ $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK.US$ $Spdr S&P Bank Etf(KBE.US$ $Crude Oil Futures(JUN4)(CLmain.US$ $E-mini Dow Futures(JUN4)(YMmain.US$ $SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF(SPLG.US$ $ARK Genomic Revolution ETF(ARKG.US$ $PayPal(PYPL.US$ $Starbucks(SBUX.US$ $Target(TGT.US$ $Visa(V.US$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF(UVXY.US$ $NIO Inc(NIO.US$
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razo2 : hahaha... I like this thesis. my guess he will hike or put a higher dot plot for longer. JP needs to test oil strength today. JP pivot or pause oil will rally and JP will lose his job.
bullrider_21 : The market is already expecting a rate cut. That's why it has been rallying for most of the year. No rate cut for 1 year? Maybe market will crash.
70729741 : The market is manipulating the interest rate narrative. There is no rate cut in sight, yet they used that to artificially inflate the stock market. Now they will all take hefty returns while the retail investors get smoked.
Cow Moo-neyOP 70729741: Spot on buddy