People are all too optimistic. In fact, until interest rates are cut, I think it will be difficult to break through historic highs
I don't know how others judge it. My opinion is that US stocks will soon usher in a big wave of correction, and the overall decline will be more than 15%. Of course this isn't a bad thing; it's just preparing for a huge bull market after the rate cut.
The reason for this is very simple. Currently, US stocks are once again approaching an all-time high. Let's assume that US stocks can easily reach a new high, so when the actual interest rate cuts arrive, will there be another huge impetus for it to reach a higher level. Since then, as interest rates continue to be cut, the stock price has continued to rise?
I think that is simply impossible. US stocks are not perpetual motion, so a pullback is an inevitable result. So if you think about it another way, is there a high probability of a pullback after interest rate cuts, or is there a high probability of a pullback now?
So everyone should calm down and reduce your positions in the next 2 months, so that more bullets can make a big difference after cutting interest rates
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All in everyday : Bears don't die, bulls don't stop
小目标一年一倍 : You don't have the right way of thinking. Trading stocks is speculating on expectations. What is speculating now is the expectation of interest rate cuts. If interest rates are cut soon or interest rate cuts are determined, the market will speculate on expectations of a recession, otherwise why cut interest rates? Moreover, buying is divided and selling is consistent. The more people think they want a pullback, the more US stocks will continue to pull back. A pullback will only begin until everyone feels that they are stock goers and no one says there will be a pullback. This is the market
Huat2u : I disagree, market hasn't even start to price in yet. Each time rate cuts, market will rally