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Palantir's Q2 Beats, Guidance Raised: A Proof of AI Software Demand
ProfitByFriday
joined discussion · Aug 4 21:57

Palantir Just Reported the Most Unusual Quarter in Enterprise Software History.

One of Silicon Valley's largest technology companies put $Palantir (PLTR.US)$ head-to-head against the frontier AI labs. OpenAI. Anthropic.
The big names with the billion-parameter models and the marketing budgets.
Palantir won.
The Silicon Valley company signed a $10 million annual contract. That one story tells you everything you need to know about what Q2 2026 actually means.
The Numbers
Revenue: $1.94B (+93% YoY) — highest growth rate in company history
US Commercial Revenue: $764M (+149% YoY)
US Government Revenue: $809M (+90% YoY)
EPS: $0.41 vs $0.35 estimate
Rule of 40 Score: 155
Adjusted Operating Margin: 62%
GAAP Net Income: $1.06B
Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $1.22B
Deals over $1M closed: 220 (record)
Deals over $10M closed: 70
FY2026 Revenue Guidance: $8.15B (+82% YoY)
Stock reaction: +12% after hours
The stock was down 29% before earnings.
What Sovereign AI Actually Means
This is the phrase everyone is quoting from Karp's statement. Nobody is explaining what it means.
When a bank uses a frontier AI model to find credit risk signals in its loan data, two things happen. The bank gets the answer. And the patterns it found potentially become training signal that improves the same model used by every other bank. The bank's proprietary insight becomes shared infrastructure.
Palantir's AIP platform solves this. The enterprise runs AI inside its own security perimeter, on its own data, without that data leaving its control. It can swap between underlying models. It can benchmark different models against its own use cases. Nothing leaves the building.
That is what enterprises are paying 149% more for year-over-year. Not the AI. The control over the AI.
The Fourth Data Point
Infrastructure layer confirmed:
$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$  $678B,
$Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ $514B,
$Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $496B.

Combined $1.688 trillion in signed enterprise AI cloud contracts.
Application layer confirmed: Palantir. 220 deals over $1M. US commercial TCV up 153%. Revenue growing 93%.
The hyperscalers lay the roads, the power grid, and the pipes. Palantir builds the buildings on top. Both layers building simultaneously. Both confirmed by signed contracts this week.
Is PLTR a Buy?
Long-term conviction investor: Yes, if you believe sovereign AI is structural and enterprise adoption sustains for five years. Rule of 40 at 155. 62% operating margin. $4.5-4.7B in guided annual free cash flow. Business quality is exceptional. Valuation is premium. Need conviction, not hope.
Value investor: No. No dividend. No margin of safety on traditional multiples. Business quality earns the premium. But a value framework cannot justify the entry price.
Buying because it went up 12%: Wrong thesis. The stock was down 29% because the market applied a deceleration thesis to an accelerating business. The 12% surge is correction, not new story. Start with the thesis, not the chart.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.Read more
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