$Palantir (PLTR.US)$attracted a million dollar block trade in bullish options hours before the company reported quarterly earnings that beat analysts' estimates and painted a rosier outlook.
At 10:06:54 a.m. in New York Monday, a block trade of bullish put options was posted, with the seller collecting a $1.05 million premium for writing put options that give the holders the right to sell 142,000 Palantir shares at $81 each by Feb. 21.
(To see Palantir's options chain, click here. For the unusual option activities, click here.)
The transaction was recorded just hours before the software company that derives more than half of its sales from government contracts, reported earnings. The stock has more than quadrupled to $83.74 at the close on Monday, from $16.72 a year ago on optimism that the company will benefit from the boom in artificial intelligence applications. Its chairman Peter Thiel's close ties with President Donald is alsoanother angleboosting positive sentiment on the stock.
After the market closed Monday, Palantir reported adjusted earnings of 14 cents a share, beating the 11 cents expected by analysts, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Revenue climbed 36% to $827.5 million, surpassing the $775.9 million that analysts were anticipating.
"The momentum we are seeing across sectors, both commercial and government, is unlike anything that has come before," CEO Alexander Karp said in a letter to shareholders that accompanied the financial results. "The business we have built has now developed its own internal momentum and strength, its own interior life and forms of untamed organic growth, with the output that we are seeing far surpassing what we are investing."
For the full year, the company expects revenue to reach between $3.71 billion to $3.76 billion, the midpoint of which surpassed estimates. Commercial revenue is forecast to climb at least 54% to $1.08 billion, the company said in its earnings release.
"We believe we are in the early phases of an artificial intelligence revolution, where downstream software companies like Palantir disproportionately stand to benefit," Mark Giarelli, an analyst at Morningstar, wrote in a note last week.
While Giarelli quadrupled his estimate on the stock's fair value to $79, from $21, that still implies some downside potential for a stock that's currently trading at $82.72.
"We view the company as fairly valued despite the premium it trades at relative to other software companies," he said.
Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Mandeep Singh and Damian Reimertz said weakness in Palantir's international business and potential competition from companies with large language models (LLMs) could counter the growth momentum from its US government business and artificial intelligence platform pilots.
"New customer growth for Palantir could slow as incumbent database vendors roll out new generative AI products that integrate LLM functionality," they said. "Fewer deployments in public clouds may also limit any upward revisions for its Commercial segment, where we believe consensus for high-20% growth in 2025 is optimistic."
(To see the options ranking led by Nvidia, Tesla and Apple, click here. For the options market page, click here.)
Amid the share price rally, Palantir insiders already sold about $4 billion of their stocks in 2024, with most sales transacted around the last four months of the year, Bloomberg reported, citing the Washington Service.
CEO and Founder Alex Karp has already sold about 21% of his overall stake and his current trading plan, laid out in previous filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, allows for another 7 million in shares to be transacted through May 2025, report quoted Jefferies analyst Brent Thill as saying.
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Kris Chakravarthi : it's the government contracts that's a constant that will take the stock higher
73915326 : lfg. lucid needs positive momentum
Meme_Short_Queen : $5
71173552 : It's a solid company and continued growth