My Investment Philosophy
My profits for this year have already reached X million. I frequently engage in various "small-scale challenges," where I consistently compound a few hundred or thousand dollars into exponential gains. Many are curious about my methodology.
To those who are struggling on this path despite long periods of diligent study: here are a few core keywords. If they resonate with you—if you truly "get it"—then congratulations.
My principle is firm: I do not offer hand-holding or personal mentorship. Do not expect me to provide detailed guidance to you individually.
1. Relativity is Universal: Strength is relative; volume is relative. Everything must be measured against the broader context or counterparts.
2. The Candle is Sovereign: The candlestick is the most vital indicator. I am indifferent to anything else; if others choose to obsess over complex metrics, that is their prerogative.
3. The Top-Down Hierarchy: The macro environment dictates the sector; the sector dictates the individual stock.
4. Momentum Persists: "The strong stay strong"—this holds true in the vast majority of cases.
5. The Paradox of Reversion: Seemingly contrary to the fourth point is "extremes must reverse". Yet, if you scrutinize the two, you will find vast opportunities in the space between them.
6. Indicators are Secondary: I believe most indicators are redundant. Candlesticks are the only true reflection of immediate market behavior, making them the most potent tool available.
7. Finite Liquidity: Within any specific timeframe, capital is a finite resource.
2. The Candle is Sovereign: The candlestick is the most vital indicator. I am indifferent to anything else; if others choose to obsess over complex metrics, that is their prerogative.
3. The Top-Down Hierarchy: The macro environment dictates the sector; the sector dictates the individual stock.
4. Momentum Persists: "The strong stay strong"—this holds true in the vast majority of cases.
5. The Paradox of Reversion: Seemingly contrary to the fourth point is "extremes must reverse". Yet, if you scrutinize the two, you will find vast opportunities in the space between them.
6. Indicators are Secondary: I believe most indicators are redundant. Candlesticks are the only true reflection of immediate market behavior, making them the most potent tool available.
7. Finite Liquidity: Within any specific timeframe, capital is a finite resource.
Many investors are obsessed with technical analysis and a myriad of indicators. From my perspective, this is putting the cart before the horse. Why does an index rise? Why does a sector rally, or a stock surge? What is the "will" of the capital? What is the "will" of the state, the institutions, and the market itself? These are the factors that truly matter.
In closing: though I made two consecutive errors today, I still walked away with a profit. I hope my latest "2K to X million" challenge reaches a magnificent milestone.
I have total confidence.
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我今年的收益已经X million了,平时也做各种小挑战,总是可以把几百几千翻很多倍。很多人都想知道我是怎么投资的。
简单的说一些关键词吧,如果你悟了,恭喜你。希望可以帮助到在这条路上挣扎,认真学习了很久的人。
我的原则是,我不带人。所以就不要怪我为什么不仔细的带任何人。
1. 任何东西都是相对的,强弱是相对的,量也是相对的。
2. 最重要的指标就是蜡烛,其他的我不在乎,你们爱看那就看吧。
3. 大环境会影响板块,板块会影响个股。
4. 强者恒强,大多时候是对的。
5. 和第五貌似相反的是,物极必反。但其实你仔细琢磨,这中间有很多空间。
6. 再说一下指标吧,其实我认为所有指标都不重要,只不过蜡烛体现了当下的市场行为,所以算是最有用的。
7. 在同一个时间段内,资金是相对有限的。
很多人都爱研究各种技术面,各种指标,在我看来都是本末倒置。指数为何涨?板块为何涨,个股为何涨?资金的意志如何?国家的意志如何,机构的意志如何,这些才重要。
最后,虽然今天连续犯了两次错误,但还是赚了。希望我这个小挑战2K to X million,会有一个很棒的结尾。
我有信心。
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72380358 : Thank you for sharing your insights! I’m still learning and struggling, but your posts have been extremely helpful. I hope to learn more from you in the coming year, and wish you happy holidays.
One last question: do you have any personal tricks or keys to distinguish a real price breakout from a fake one?
Prophet26 OP 72380358 : sellers exhausted at resistance = real breakout
貓咪愛榴槤 : Thank you very much
for taking the time to share your insights.
This is very important for a novice like me.
wai999 : Thank you for your sharing.
105128319 : Thank you very much.
BlackDogz : Keep it up! Keep it up! Keep it up!
Iori_Lai : I’d like to thank you for taking the time to share your insights
74547924 : i find piont number 6 interesting. Do you use any moving averages or just read the candles? less is more ? thank you. for your time.
Prophet26 OP 74547924 : MA 5/10/20 for ease of eye
103567578 : I'm a beginner, thank you Prophet26 for sharing your valuable opinions and experiences.
I will work hard to observe, learn, and grow. Keep it up!
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