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Trump Trade: Which sector will be the next?
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$MP Materials (MP.US)$ Having just reviewed the latest annou...

$MP Materials (MP.US)$ After reviewing the latest announcements and related interpretations from China regarding rare earth controls, the following conclusions can be drawn:
1. Extracting rare earth elements is not difficult; the challenge lies in how to extract high-purity rare earths in an environmentally friendly and cost-effective manner. Currently, it is estimated that, apart from China, which possesses the complete set of technologies, MP likely holds some technology as well. One of its shareholders is China’s Shenghe Resources, and previously, its concentrates were sent to China for processing, presumably allowing MP to gain substantial technical knowledge through exchanges and learning. Additionally, MP had a technological foundation for producing rare earths prior to the 1980s. It is now expanding its facilities and increasing production scale.
2. For strategic resource considerations, G7 countries have collectively raised the price floor for critical minerals. This move aims to avoid the impact of low-price dumping by China, which has made it difficult for Western mining companies to survive. Therefore, the minimum price protection strategy set by the U.S. Department of Defense for MP has already been adopted across the G7, and MP's future business is also expected to expand into the G7 markets.
3. To maintain its dominant position in rare earths, China's previous strategy was to engage in low-price dumping, making it difficult for high-cost Western enterprises to survive. Now, as the West begins to invest heavily in rare earths regardless of cost, China has shifted to strictly preventing the leakage of rare earth extraction technologies.
4. Many so-called rare earth mining companies in the West, despite their recent stock price activity, are still largely in the PowerPoint stage—far from achieving mass production in terms of investment scale or technological capability. At present, MP is almost the only reliable source of rare earths for the West.
5. In the fourth quarter, MP will deliver mass-produced automotive-grade neodymium-iron-boron magnets to General Motors. This will be a significant symbol of the U.S. breaking China Rareearth's monopoly. The stock price is expected to experience a notable upswing at that time.
6. In summary, the field of rare earth technology is highly complex. China spent decades refining its techniques, overcoming environmental damage along the way, to achieve its current status and accomplishments. This progress was driven by generations of relentless individuals who sacrificed everything for profit, accumulating mature expertise over time. Can Western politicians and financiers really replicate this with mere rhetoric? At this point, MP is essentially the sole candidate capable of breaking China's monopoly for the West.
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