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kensan5
commented on a stock · Sep 18, 2025 18:07

A sense of solemnity pervades the MetaPla community.

It seems that even the most committed long-term holders are feeling a mix of fatigue, frustration, resignation, anger, and other complex emotions.
This is hardly surprising.
The movement has been contrary to the expectations of the holders.
When shares are issued, dilution occurs, reducing the value per share, which in turn causes the stock price to fall. This is a basic principle.
However, the previous warrant was different. The stock price unexpectedly rose, presenting an opportunity.
In no time, it reached the 1900 yen level.
Now, it is just above 500 yen.
With the stock expected to fall into the 400 yen range by tomorrow, which holder can afford to be optimistic?
Even those holding the physical stock with a long-term perspective must not be feeling particularly positive.
To break this situation,
a reduction in margin buying
Reduction in short selling
Entry of new investors
Participation of investors who have been patiently waiting for the right opportunity
Increase in Bitcoin prices
Growing momentum in cryptocurrency-related activities domestically
Bitcoin adoption
And above all, the steadfast holding by true long-term investors, often referred to as 'Gachihodders.' This cannot be overlooked.
The price range between 400 and 250 yen is the most substantial.
Depending on how holders in this range act, a drop below 200 yen could occur. A true test of market resilience.
However, before falling below 300 yen, or more precisely, a stabilization around the 400-yen level is likely, leading to a sideways movement. This will allow energy to accumulate before an upward trend begins, according to my analysis. This view has not changed significantly since the price was at 1,600 yen. However, that represents my minimum scenario; I also thought it might stabilize around 700 yen.
Since I had anticipated this, I sold everything when the price was around 1,600 yen and 1,400 yen.
And yesterday, I re-entered the market.
I thought it might have been a bit too early, but I plan to counter the decline by averaging down. I intend to buy at levels in the 500-yen range, 400-yen range, and 300-yen range, financial institutions.
Institutions that are making substantial profits.
Struggling individual investors and Meta Platforms.
It’s not guaranteed that staying firm will lead to salvation, but it is true that those who remain steadfast may seize a brighter future.
To borrow a phrase from the owner of a well-known eel restaurant famous for its management philosophy:
Your stocks should be managed and operated by yourself.
Don’t meddle in others’ trading!
There are people in various situations, but let us all work hard to resolve our respective challenges.
By the way, I am currently holding unrealized losses, which makes me feel terrible...
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.Read more
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