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BIT Official
wrote a post · Feb 13 15:25

📢 Matrixport Weekly Report on Moomoo 📢 How to Identify Bitcoin’s True Cycle Bottom — And When to Buy with Confidence

🔹 Our cycle framework previously flagged the start of the bull market on Oct 28, 2022, and later pointed to a potential cycle top near $125,000 (as outlined in our July 6, 2023 report).
🔹 Into late 2024 and the Oct 2025 peak, Bitcoin showed signs of completing its fifth bull phase; the breakdown through the key levels we highlighted in the Oct 31, 2025 report formally confirmed a bear market.
🔹 With Bitcoin now firmly in a confirmed bear market that closely mirrors prior cycle declines, the real question is no longer “has the trend changed?” but “when will the next high-probability entry window appear?”
🔹 We rely on quantitative models to identify both timing and price zones for investable cycle lows, using technical indicators that historically signal downside exhaustion and when odds begin shifting toward a new bull market.
🔹 Quick regime check: Bitcoin still screens as a bear market based on the 21-week moving average signal.
🔹 Our cycle framework previously flagged the start of the bull market on Oct 28, 2022, and later pointed to a potential cycle top near $125,000 (as outlined in our July 6, 2023 report). 🔹 Into late 2024 and the Oct 2025 peak, Bitcoin showed signs of completing its fifth bull phase; the breakdown through the key levels we highlighted in the Oct 31, 2025 report formally confirmed a ...
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