Mastering the art of trending stocks
Hey, mooers!
Were you tuned into our "Invest with Sarge" livestream which demystifies the art of trending stocks? If not, no worries — we've got a balanced recap to keep you in the loop and ready to tackle the market trends like a pro!
Insights into Trending Stocks
In our recent session, Sarge explored the dynamics of trending stocks such as $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ and $Tesla (TSLA.US)$. These stocks often gain significant attention and can present opportunities, but they also come with challenges. The key question discussed was how to assess whether it's the right time to engage with these stocks.
Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Sarge discussed his approach to incorporating both technical and fundamental analysis. The balance between these methods is helpful in identifying trends and making informed decisions.
Adapting to Market Changes
The importance of evolving investment strategies in response to market changes was emphasized. Sarge highlighted that while instincts can play a role, they should be supported by thorough analysis.
Long-term vs. Short-term
The session addressed the decision between holding stocks for the long term versus engaging in short-term trades. Sarge provided insights into using technical indicators for short-term strategies while also considering the importance of setting target prices for long-term investments.
For those leaning towards short-term trades, Sarge shared his approach of utilizing technical indicators to make informed decisions. He emphasized the use of minute-level candlestick charts, such as 3-minute, 2-minute, and even 1-minute charts, to capture rapid market movements. This granular analysis could help traders identify entry and exit points in a fast-paced environment, allowing them to potentially capitalize on short-lived trends.
Conversely, for long-term investments, Sarge highlighted the importance of setting realistic target prices. This involves a thorough analysis of a stock's fundamentals to evaluate its intrinsic value and potential for growth over time. By setting target prices, investors can establish a disciplined approach to managing their positions and more effectively pursue gains while managing risks.
Views on Meme Stocks
Sarge also shared his thoughts on meme stocks within both strategies. He advised caution with meme stocks, noting that while they may present exciting short-term trading opportunities due to their volatility, they often lack the fundamental backing necessary for long-term investments.
Mooers' Interactions
Question from @BelleWeather: "If a trending stock also has strong fundamentals (beyond a story or meme craze,) does it make sense to invest rather than trade? Or perhaps split the difference?"
Sarge emphasized the importance of aligning investment strategy with both the stock's volatility and the investor's risk tolerance. He explained that while trending stocks with strong fundamentals might seem appealing for long-term investments, it's crucial to assess whether the volatility aligns with the investor’s capacity to endure potential fluctuations. He noted that a mixed approach could be beneficial, where investors hold a core long-term position while also engaging in short-term trades to capitalize on volatility.
Question from @Lazy Cat Invests: "What are effective stop-loss strategies for high volatility trending stocks?"
Sarge said that he uses mental stop-losses rather than automated ones to avoid being prematurely stopped by market noise. He advised setting stop-loss levels based on technical analysis, such as support levels, and adjusting them as the stock's price moves. For highly volatile stocks, he suggested using wider stop-loss margins to accommodate larger price swings, thus preventing unnecessary exits.
Sarge advised investors to conduct thorough research before acting on rumors. He illustrated this with the example of Intel, which was subject to acquisition rumors involving Qualcomm and later Apollo Global Management. Many investors reacted to these rumors with speculative buying, hoping to profit from potential acquisition premiums. Sarge emphasized that without confirmed news, such moves could prove risky. He recommended waiting for official announcements before making significant investment decisions, as initial rumors can lead to temporary volatility without long-term impact. To help mitigate risks, Sarge suggested maintaining a diversified portfolio and considering both potential upsides and downsides.
Insights on Macroeconomic Impact
@102362254 expressed concerns about how macroeconomic factors like inflation and interest rates affect trending stocks. Sarge suggested that if investors anticipate higher inflation, they can consider investing in material stocks or precious metals. These assets tend to perform well in inflationary environments, allowing investors to "get along" with inflation. In response to interest rate concerns, Sarge mentioned that utilities and REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) are typical plays. These sectors are sensitive to interest rate changes, and investors can potentially leverage them to manage exposure to rate fluctuations.
Exploring Options Trading
During the session, Sarge addressed options trading as a strategy to navigate high-volatility environments. He discussed various approaches investors can take when dealing with trending stocks:
Bear Put Spread
Sarge suggested that if an investor owns a stock that's performing well but is concerned about potential downturns, they could buy a Bear Put spread. This strategy allows investors to set a specific exit price by a certain expiration date.
Bull Call Spread
To offset the cost of the bear put spread, Sarge discussed selling a bull call spread. This involves selling a call option at a certain price while also considering buying it back if the stock exceeds a second strike price. This combination (the bought Put and the sold Call) aims to reduce net risk and cost, creating a position where the net debit or credit is close to zero, thus lowering the risk compared to outright buying or selling options.
High Implied Volatility (IV) Environment
Sarge addressed a question about capitalizing on high IV when trading options on a trending stock without an existing position. He suggested considering strategies like long straddles or strangles. These approaches involve buying both call and put options to maximize gains from volatility without forecasting in a specific direction. A straddle, in particular, allows investors to benefit from significant price movements beyond the implied volatility priced into the options.
Mission complete, mooers! Thanks the following mooers again for their participation during the live stream: @leesk1, @Sabrina Fan, @BelleWeather, @Lazy Cat Invests, @mr_cashcow, @102362254, @KunalDalal.
Don't miss out on the full replay of the live stream to catch all the details and Sarge's keen insights. Remember, knowledge is power, and it's better to stay vigilant in investing.
Remember to tune in next live session with Sarge. Until then, keep your portfolios polished and your ratios razor-sharp! 💼✨
Disclaimer:
Please consider that users will have different risk profiles, financial understanding, financial objectives, investment time horizons and tolerance for potential losses and they should consider these factors when comparing performance, advice or recommendations from other users.
This presentation discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
Options trading entails significant risk and is not appropriate for all customers. It is important that investors read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before engaging in any options trading strategies. Options transactions are often complex and may involve the potential of losing the entire investment in a relatively short period of time. Certain complex options strategies carry additional risk, including the potential for losses that may exceed the original investment amount. Supporting documentation for any claims, if applicable, will be furnished upon request.
Please consider that users will have different risk profiles, financial understanding, financial objectives, investment time horizons and tolerance for potential losses and they should consider these factors when comparing performance, advice or recommendations from other users.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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meowz_meowz : lalala
XUNP : 500
102706332 : hooray
量能 : Bitcoin has surged, with high risk.
Andrew0904 : Wait for a larger pullback once, and then hold for the long term.
Lavelle Smith : thank you for opportunity too investment my moneylines
TANDOT : end of the year will downtrend
MingtongToh : From my past years of being in the stock market, the stocks that I held long term has given me consistently gains despite the volatility. Those stocks includes, Palantir, SoFi, Nvidia.
When I try to time the market buy trying to sell high and buy low, I often sell low and buy higher due to fomo. Although it may be due to my inexperience but this also proves that for people like me that have limited knowledge, long term hold may be the best.
So I usually DCA til an amount that I am comfortable, and sell 30% or half when grows 50% or 100% and leave the remaining til retirement.
Apart from that I can take some of the games to engage in riskier but high risk trades in options for thrills and potential exponential gains
104830837 : Long-term investors who hold will definitely profit!
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