Mastering Precision Trading & Counter Trend Trading - Post #4 - 2025 Oct 03 EST Short A Super Bull, $NVDA

Let me share my big loss today (big for just one day position) caused by ignoring my own advice—the very advice I had given others: "It’s dangerous to short $NVDA, a super bull." I tend to trade contrarian against the trend, but yesterday’s manipulated group of analysts triggered a sudden surge. I believe the reasons for its decline last week still exist, but they were overshadowed after many analysts upgraded the stock following the large investment in OpenAI.

2025 Oct 02 and 03 EST.

Shorting Against the Biggest Bull and Nasdaq’s Largest Fan Club Stock, $NVDA:

Realized a loss in pre-market today from yesterday’s one-day short swing position in $NVDA. Shorting against the super aggressive, overly exuberant upward pushes seen yesterday and during today’s pre-market and opening range was a huge mistake—I failed to check the news. Refusing to exit at a small loss turned it into a much larger loss of USD $11,635.

However, I managed to recover USD$5400 within 2 hours today, about 48% of the earlier swing loss today by shorting again from OBR breakout. The market makers tried to shake me off at least five times but the moves and reaction were weak, before it finally plummeted over 2.98% from the high of day (HOD) yesterday to today’s low of day (LOD), and recovered back 30% from LOD.