Interest rates on 10-year treasury bonds, ranked by the bulls!
As the title says.
Although interest rates on 10-year treasury bonds have risen and fallen in the past two days, overall, they have maintained a good bullish ranking pattern.
The last time this trend occurred was in the summer of 2023.
At the time, US stocks had just gone through a beautiful wave of gains in late spring and early summer. TLT prices are also trending sideways.
No one has forgotten what happened since then.
If 10-year treasury bonds repeat this trend, then the long-term bond market will be very “exciting.” It's also the main reason I've been staying away from tlt lately.
As for the vclt I have, even though the dividend rate is over 5%, I plan to reduce my position when the price rises. It's just that there isn't that much pressure, because the dividends are good, which is about the same as holding cash; in the big case, they have survived until interest rates are cut. I didn't plan to invest in the stock market because of this money.
However, the stock side will be better. After all, it has already entered a bull market, so you can refer to the market adjustments from July to September last year. There may be a sharp retracement, but the overall outlook is positive.
All in all, I will keep a close eye on the trend of 10-year treasury bonds. When it ends its upward trend, the market is bound to usher in a beautiful wave of gains.
However, if interest rates continue to rise for too long, some countries with weak economies may collapse.
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高贵的阿德莱德OP : Until the 10-year treasury bond interest rate falls below 4.25, we must not let our guard down