Evening War Room: Special Edition 🕗 Thursday, June 12, 2025...
Evening War Room: Special Edition
🕗 Thursday, June 12, 2025 — 8:00 PM ET
The Roman Sun Tzu Method™
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⚔️ Strategic Context
Today’s close confirms a critical juncture in market positioning—both macro and micro catalysts have converged.
• PPI data came in muted (+0.1% MoM), reinforcing yesterday’s CPI disinflation trend and putting rate cuts back on the table.
• A successful 30-year Treasury auction (4.844% stop-through, 2.43 bid-to-cover) cleared a key macro hurdle.
• Meanwhile, political energy surged after Trump’s auto tariff comments and direct praise of Elon Musk, boosting Tesla mid-session.
This backdrop laid the foundation for strategic flow alignment across key Mag 7 names—positioning bulls with renewed momentum.
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🧭 SPY & QQQ: Dealer Terrain Update
SPY closed at 603.75 (+0.40%), reclaiming positive gamma territory.
• Massive GEX support built between 600–605, with a clear path to 610 still viable.
🕗 Thursday, June 12, 2025 — 8:00 PM ET
The Roman Sun Tzu Method™
⸻
⚔️ Strategic Context
Today’s close confirms a critical juncture in market positioning—both macro and micro catalysts have converged.
• PPI data came in muted (+0.1% MoM), reinforcing yesterday’s CPI disinflation trend and putting rate cuts back on the table.
• A successful 30-year Treasury auction (4.844% stop-through, 2.43 bid-to-cover) cleared a key macro hurdle.
• Meanwhile, political energy surged after Trump’s auto tariff comments and direct praise of Elon Musk, boosting Tesla mid-session.
This backdrop laid the foundation for strategic flow alignment across key Mag 7 names—positioning bulls with renewed momentum.
⸻
🧭 SPY & QQQ: Dealer Terrain Update
SPY closed at 603.75 (+0.40%), reclaiming positive gamma territory.
• Massive GEX support built between 600–605, with a clear path to 610 still viable.
QQQ followed with a +0.23% close at 533.66, bolstered by semis and Big Tech rotation.
⸻
⚙️ NVDA: The Silent Strike
$NVDA closed at $145.00 (+1.52%) after a day-long consolidation. But one minute before the close…
💥 A $15 million call spike hit the tape.
• Net drift: +$31.44M in call premium, steady all day.
• GEX map shows call dominance at 143–145, balanced above.
This move raises questions: hedging ahead of a catalyst—or an institutional setup for tomorrow?
⸻
⚡️ TSLA: The Reversal and Breakdown
Tesla surged midday on Trump’s “I like Tesla” and “Musk is a friend” comments… then collapsed into the close.
• Closed at $319.11 (-2.24%)
• Net drift flipped violently bearish into final hour:
Puts: +$8.34M, Calls: -$14.41M
• Broke below 326, then flushed toward 314–315 support
The “political pump” was no match for aggressive premium outflows and clear dealer pressure.
⸻
🔐 PLTR: Quiet Pullback, Strong Foundation
Palantir closed at $135.19 (-0.88%) after early strength faded.
• GEX shows clear support below (132–135) and heavy puts stacked above 136–140
• Tactical setup remains intact for bulls—but tomorrow needs confirmation.
⸻
🧠 MSFT: Institutional Sweep Hits the Tape
Microsoft closed at $478.87 (+1.32%), boosted by:
• A $10.1M Jan 2026 $510 call sweep midday
• Rising call GEX at 475–480
• Net drift confirms bullish positioning
This is what quiet confidence looks like.
⸻
🧬 META & SMH: Key Observations
• META held just under $695. Net GEX neutralized price with puts dominant above.
• SMH closed at 263.15 (+0.48%), riding the NVDA-led semiconductor strength.
• GEX positioning is clean and tight between 260–265.
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📈 Macro Recap
• CPI and PPI are now both trending lower, unlocking dovish options for the Fed.
• 30Y Treasury auction successfully absorbed $22B, easing long-end fears.
• DXY dropped. Gold and equities rose. Risk appetite is positioned to expand.
Bulls now have a political bid, a bond bid, and a macro tailwind.
But remember: Dealer terrain remains in control.
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🎯 The Strategic Edge™
• NVDA: Eyes on $145 breakout or fakeout
• TSLA: Any retest of $312–314 is critical
• PLTR: Long thesis intact if it reclaims 136
• SPY/QQQ: Still grinding toward 610/535 on momentum and GEX alignment
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© 2025 Robert M. Musella. All rights reserved.
Disclaimer: I am an investor in the stocks discussed. This content is for informational purposes only and not investment advice.
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Thematic investing starts here.
Prepare. Adapt. Conquer. ⚔️ 🛡️ ♻️
Coming soon: The full War Room experience expands to Patreon this July.
Strategic playbooks. Thematic deep dives. No noise—just command-level clarity.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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Creator of The Roman Sun Tzu Method™ | Nov 2024
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Restitution Fund : Spam post . you are wrong
Robert Musella OP Restitution Fund : Spam post”? That’s cute. Meanwhile, the market just followed my map. You’re not disagreeing with me. You’re disagreeing with price action. Good luck with that.
– The Roman Sun Tzu Method
Zipperlips : I played $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ the exact opposite based on a 90% probability Israel would attack tonight... I have 16 put contracts
Robert Musella OP Zipperlips : You played puts.
Someone else dropped $10 million on Jan 2026 $510 calls.
That’s the difference.
One’s reacting to headlines.
The other’s positioning through them.
This isn’t about being right tonight.
It’s about who owns the field in 2026.
And the field just got bought. Quietly. Confidently. In size.
You’re trading noise.
They’re waging war.
Deals Gap 129 Robert Musella OP : So "clear path to 610" includes a massive dip to be bought. K, got it. Was written right there in your plan... I missed it somehow.
Robert Musella OP Deals Gap 129 : You misread it. I never said 610. I said Jan 2026 $510 calls. A $10M sweep.
There’s a difference between reacting to dips and tracking where real capital positions with conviction.
But if you’d rather argue with the tape than follow it. That’s your trade.
Zipperlips Robert Musella OP : I should have known better. I was 80% sure Israel would move on Iran. I did not count on them propping up the market like this today. We have war's everywhere and are RIOTING throughout the US. We will see if my theory is correct when the market closes, and then it drops like a rock! Then I'll know they were protecting the institutions again .