Day 192: Rate Cuts + Trump 2.0 Day 156
Market Wrap | Thursday, June 26, 2025
Markets are pushing upward again, led by tech and AI chip strength.
• META $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ +1.53%, AMZN $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ +1.03%, NVDA $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ +0.84%, GOOGL $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ +0.65% continue to climb.
• S&P $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ +0.59% clears 6100, riding bullish chip sentiment.
• VIX $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ -2.45% shows declining fear as Fed expectations remain dovish.
• AAPL $Apple (AAPL.US)$ -0.62% and MSFT $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ +0.20% show mixed reactions, with Microsoft off highs.
• S&P $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ +0.59% clears 6100, riding bullish chip sentiment.
• VIX $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ -2.45% shows declining fear as Fed expectations remain dovish.
• AAPL $Apple (AAPL.US)$ -0.62% and MSFT $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ +0.20% show mixed reactions, with Microsoft off highs.
🔋 Micron’s upbeat guidance and Nvidia’s momentum are keeping growth names in charge.
💼 Economic data remains mixed, but traders are eyeing soft-landing odds and upcoming PCE inflation data.
🛞 Key Drivers
• Fed-watch: Traders are eyeing ~63 bps in Fed cuts priced in for 2025, first likely in September .
• Earnings wave: Micron leads chip enthusiasm, with Nike and other big names in focus after-hours .
• Geopolitics & oil: Ceasefires in Middle East risk zones are easing market unease, while oil has pulled back .
🔮 Strategy Insight: Stick with strong names showing earnings resilience, especially in AI and chips. Trim weaker performers like AAPL if trend breaks below $200. Use VIX dips to plan protection trades.
🚗 $XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$ latest launch will it pull even more takeups from $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ ?
📊 Momentum leans bullish but Friday’s inflation print could be a game changer.
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