Day 188: Rate Cuts + Trump 2.0 Day 152
Market Wrap | Friday, June 20, 2025
Tension shifts to July - tariff relief spurs rotation and volatility, but eyes remain on the next deadline.
Tension shifts to July - tariff relief spurs rotation and volatility, but eyes remain on the next deadline.
📊 Market Snapshot
• VIX $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ +7.8%: Risk sentiment spiked sharply today.
• Tesla $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ +2.3%, Microsoft $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ +0.4%, NVidia $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ +0.6%: Mega-cap tech held steady, recouping earlier losses.
• Apple $Apple (AAPL.US)$ –0.9%, Google $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ –0.2%, Amazon $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ –0.3%: Select FAANG names lagged amid broader sector dispersion.
• S&P 500 $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ –0.5%: Consolidation underway as traders grapple with mixed signals.
• VIX $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ +7.8%: Risk sentiment spiked sharply today.
• Tesla $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ +2.3%, Microsoft $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ +0.4%, NVidia $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ +0.6%: Mega-cap tech held steady, recouping earlier losses.
• Apple $Apple (AAPL.US)$ –0.9%, Google $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ –0.2%, Amazon $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ –0.3%: Select FAANG names lagged amid broader sector dispersion.
• S&P 500 $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ –0.5%: Consolidation underway as traders grapple with mixed signals.
📰 Key Drivers
• Tariff pause relief: Washington paused reciprocal tariffs – notably 145% on Chinese goods and 11‑50% on various imports – covering a 90‑day reprieve starting mid‑May. This pause tempers some trade tensions, but investors are bracing for July turbulence when tariffs could return .
• Oil rebound momentum: Crude rallied after a U.S. inventory draw, helping energy and industrials find traction .
• Volatility surge: The VIX’s sharp jump highlights nerves, especially in response to the tariff timeline and upcoming macro events.
🎯 Market Implication
Markets are in “wait-and-see” mode: short-term relief is fueling rotation and volatility. But attention’s quickly shifting toward when tariffs might reapply - and what that means for Q3.
• Tariff pause relief: Washington paused reciprocal tariffs – notably 145% on Chinese goods and 11‑50% on various imports – covering a 90‑day reprieve starting mid‑May. This pause tempers some trade tensions, but investors are bracing for July turbulence when tariffs could return .
• Oil rebound momentum: Crude rallied after a U.S. inventory draw, helping energy and industrials find traction .
• Volatility surge: The VIX’s sharp jump highlights nerves, especially in response to the tariff timeline and upcoming macro events.
🎯 Market Implication
Markets are in “wait-and-see” mode: short-term relief is fueling rotation and volatility. But attention’s quickly shifting toward when tariffs might reapply - and what that means for Q3.
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Gold has rebounded to $3,300! It's time to get on board?
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