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February CPI is a little high: Will rates come down in March?
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CSOP USD Money Market Fund Wrap – 20240318

- Last week, CPI report came in stronger-than-anticipated where both headline and core CPI rose 0.4% MoM in February (vs. 0.3% and 0.4% prior, respectively), and headline CPI rose to 3.2% (vs 3.1% prior) and core CPI moved downwards to 3.8% (vs 3.9% prior). Nevertheless, it is important to note that owners’ equivalent rent (OER) indicated January’s surprise rise was just noise, and did not indicate rent inflation. Similarly,the headline PPI likely rose 0.4% month over month- up from 0.3% prior - amidst a rebound in energy prices.
- February’s headline retail sales was below expectations at 0.6% growth,against consensus expectations for a 0.8% rise. The weaker-than-anticipated rebound in headline retail sales where building materials and garden equipment made up majority of sales growth is an indication that consumers are running out of spending capacity as they run low on savings and stay wary about borrowing with high interest rates.
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending March 9 declined to 209k from 210k prior,and below the consensus estimate of 218k. While jobless claims have been indicative of very low layoff rates, the unemployment rate rose to 3.9% in February, and job cut announcements continue, foreshadowing future layoffs, according to a March 7 report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.
- The FOMC meeting on 20 March will be the most important event next week.
- We expect $CSOP USD Money Market Fund(SGXZ96797238.FD)$ to continue to deliver stable yield in the near term. As of 20240315, the fund has gross yield at 5.61%^ and net yield at 5.20%.
CSOP USD Money Market Fund Wrap – 20240318
CSOP USD Money Market Fund Wrap – 20240318
Source: CSOP, Bloomberg, as of 20240315. ^ Gross yield is based on annualized yield of underlying holdings. 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal.For illustrations only, not to be construed as recommendation to buy/sell securities in the above-mentioned sectors.
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CSOP Asset Management Pte. Ltd. (“CSOP”) which prepared this document believes that information in this document is based upon sources that are believed to be accurate, complete, and reliable. However, CSOP does not warrant the accuracy and completeness of the information, and shall not be liable to the recipient or controlling shareholders of the recipient resulting from its use. CSOP is under no obligation to keep the information up-to-date. The provision of this document shall not be deemed as constituting any offer, acceptance, or promise of any further contract or amendment to any contract. The information herein shall not be disclosed, used or disseminated, in whole or part, and shall not be reproduced, copied or made available to others without the written consent of CSOP.
Advice should be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment and/or investment product before making an investment. Investment involves risk. The value of investments, and the income from them, can go down as well as up and an investor may get back less than the amount invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Investor should read the prospectus and product highlights sheet, which can be obtained on CSOP website or authorized participating dealers, before deciding whether to invest. This document has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.”
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