What can you learn from this?
Lately, I often say, let's observe the market.
It’s probably because I thought something like this might happen.
It’s probably because I thought something like this might happen.
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✅ What is a trading method?
The mindset of people who only love money is mostly the same.
“He earned several hundred million yen” → “He made it using a certain method” → “I want to know that method” → (If I copy that method, I can probably earn hundreds of millions too).
“He earned several hundred million yen” → “He made it using a certain method” → “I want to know that method” → (If I copy that method, I can probably earn hundreds of millions too).
Since I’m kind, I’ll teach you. I'll carefully explain the logic behind the “certain method.”
However, teaching up to 'belief change' would be too vast.
Regarding the 'environment,' no two environments are exactly the same, and attempting to categorize them would also become too extensive to teach.
However, teaching up to 'belief change' would be too vast.
Regarding the 'environment,' no two environments are exactly the same, and attempting to categorize them would also become too extensive to teach.
That’s why that person will probably not make any money.
Moreover, even if I were to verbalize and teach everything, the volume would be so overwhelming that it likely wouldn't be learned.
Or, it might only result in remembering 5% of the 'form' I wrote about a few days ago.
Or, it might only result in remembering 5% of the 'form' I wrote about a few days ago.
This is because they want to make money without much effort.
It's because they think they can make money easily just by relying on 'methods'.
It's because they think they can make money easily just by relying on 'methods'.
Let's say you can learn the method in three hours—well, it could be described in a few pages. However,
If that kind of world existed, all professionals would have already learned these methods.
As a result, they should no longer be able to make money.
As a result, they should no longer be able to make money.
If this game were one where you could make money easily, soon enough, it wouldn't remain easy to profit.
That's why it’s better if it's a game where the 'difficulty is high,' 'you don’t know how to approach it,' and 'it took considerable time to win consistently.'
And fortunately, for now, the market still happens to be that kind of game.
And fortunately, for now, the market still happens to be that kind of game.
✅ What’s wrong with just focusing on trading techniques?
What method-focused traders overlook is the perspective of, even assuming that the technique is valid, asking 'When did you actually make money using this method?'
These four charts represent that.
These four charts represent that.
・It's impossible to blindly hold (gachiho) small-cap stocks based solely on speculation without Sales/EPS showing an upward trend.
In the period when small caps rise, relatively strong stocks simply went up more significantly.
・The stock that rebounded earliest within the small-cap category has since shown tremendous growth (I posted about it at the time. After thoroughly reviewing small caps, I highlighted only one stock. Looking back, that post turned out to be quite valuable).
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In the period when small caps rise, relatively strong stocks simply went up more significantly.
・The stock that rebounded earliest within the small-cap category has since shown tremendous growth (I posted about it at the time. After thoroughly reviewing small caps, I highlighted only one stock. Looking back, that post turned out to be quite valuable).
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Well, we can learn a lot from this kind of analysis.
About three times a year, there were periods where I could make money by applying methods. If you catch the initial movement, there were three opportunities. You could buy various stocks with time differences, but in terms of timing, it was three.
For those three opportunities, every day or as part of a weekly routine, I check for initial movements or reversals. Even if you find patterns outside the right timing, most of the time they are short-lived. This is because overall, capital isn't flowing into small caps. Therefore, the expected value is low during quiet periods.
However, this is not my main strategy, so I haven't been doing it very seriously.
Unlike the typical FOMO crowd who might comment just because something doubled pre-market, I’d say I have the highest technical skill in that regard on this board.
Unlike the typical FOMO crowd who might comment just because something doubled pre-market, I’d say I have the highest technical skill in that regard on this board.
There's no need to bother with small-cap stocks when the overall market is doing well. The Russell chart has merely recovered from Trump's tariff cuts.
If you want to seize opportunities, a diligent routine is necessary. In that case, it’s better to buy the trending stock that’s been on a steady rise.
What I mean is, it’s not about the "method," right?
Stop jumping from one method to another like a 'method nomad,' and take the time to face the market, even if it's just little by little.
By observing like this and refining our market perspective, the accuracy of our decision-making improves.
By observing like this and refining our market perspective, the accuracy of our decision-making improves.
The market itself is the textbook. What’s written in books is only a small part of it.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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CPIF(シーピー) : I finally understand what I've been hearing all along. I'm grateful.
仏熊苦 OP CPIF(シーピー) : You can infer a lot of things from it.
Buying relatively strong stocks tends to be generally effective.
The method works in tandem with the overall market trend.
Stocks that keep growing are indeed companies meeting fundamental growth criteria.
It’s possible to trade based solely on speculation, but it will only work for short-term trading.
True, when interest rates fall, smaller-cap stocks tend to benefit, but the extent of the benefit varies by stock.
CPIF(シーピー) 仏熊苦 OP : Stop jumping from method to method, and little by little, face the market.
I apologize for being a bit unclear.
I was further impressed by the idea of facing the market and following routines. I believe this is another step forward in changing my mindset.
(It was also an eye-opener that I had been neglecting actions during times outside of the volatile trading hours)
仏熊苦 OP CPIF(シーピー) : Ah, I see.
On a day trading timeframe, you can't really make much, so capturing longer trends accounts for over 90% of your profits.