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BHP's Half-Year Earnings: No, Profits Didn't Drop By 90%

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rylar wrote a column · Mar 18 02:11
$BHP Group Ltd(BHP.AU)$ 's half-year earnings were on par with the prior year period but non-cash charges caused some confusion.
Nickel prices have indeed crashed, but the metal is a small contributor to the company's bottom line.
BHP's Half-Year Earnings: No, Profits Didn't Drop By 90%
BHP's principal commodities, which include copper, iron ore and met coal, remain steady.
The entire mining sector is undervalued and BHP will benefit as large investors start to pay attention.
Unfortunately for mining investors ( $SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF(XME.US)$ ), the sector has been negatively correlated to technology ( $The Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund(XLK.US)$ ) so far this year:
BHP's Half-Year Earnings: No, Profits Didn't Drop By 90%
To some extent, this makes sense as technology is a disinflation play while mining is an inflation hedge, but I think the algorithmic trading may be taking this correlation a bit out of proportion. Nvidia ( $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ ) making new highs every day seems to be interpreted as bearish for the mining sector, and I don't think that will continue for very long.
Smart money also appears to have been adding mining stocks. For example, Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne seems to have added Barrick Gold ( $Barrick Gold(GOLD.US)$ ), Freeport-McMoRan ( $Freeport-McMoRan(FCX.US)$ ) and Newmont ( $Newmont(NEM.US)$ ):
BHP's Half-Year Earnings: No, Profits Didn't Drop By 90%
I am not saying Mr. Druckenmiller is bearish on tech as he clearly bought Nvidia too, but I think it could be a sign the bigger players are taking notice of the mining sector's undervaluation.
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