About 'Market Position Distribution'
I mentioned that I don't really find 'Execution Analysis' very useful.
On the other hand, I think 'Market Position Distribution' could be quite useful.
Of course, since it's impossible to have exact individual position data, this is an estimation based on some kind of algorithm, but I still feel that we can get a general sense of the trend.
Of course, since it's impossible to have exact individual position data, this is an estimation based on some kind of algorithm, but I still feel that we can get a general sense of the trend.
For example, let’s take IREN as an example.
The chart generally shows about one week intervals.
① 11/11 After the big market rally ended, most people who bought at the peak are holding losses. The overall market sentiment is also poor and a downturn is expected. Some people are still holding slight gains.
The chart generally shows about one week intervals.
① 11/11 After the big market rally ended, most people who bought at the peak are holding losses. The overall market sentiment is also poor and a downturn is expected. Some people are still holding slight gains.
② 11/13 Including those who exited at break-even, there probably aren’t many left who bought at the lows. In the end, you can see that in these short-term surges, there are people on message boards talking about 'long-term investment holds,' but in reality, there are hardly any.
③ 11/25 Stop-loss orders are being executed, and while selling pressure has decreased somewhat, upside remains heavy. In this situation, sell-offs will likely continue, making it hard for prices to rise. However, dip-buying has come in to some extent, leading to some rebounds.
④12/09 Most people who bought near the peak have disappeared, and there might be a slight advantage for buyers.
⑤12/15 It didn't work out again. Time to redo the relief of selling pressure.
⑥12/12 As expected, it dropped significantly, showing signs of exhaustion, leading to a relatively balanced state.
⑦12/29 The overall market was sluggish towards the end of the year. Selling pressure seems to be gaining the upper hand.
⑧1/05 It shot up quickly, eliminating people with unrealized losses. Of course, this situation suggests that profit-taking could happen soon, but it also implies that those who were stuck with cutting losses in the past are likely gone.
On January 8th, although there is some concentration at the top, which isn’t ideal from a supply-demand perspective, the upside resistance is light. If there’s favorable momentum pushing above the upper limit of the box around 50, it might establish an upward trend. On the other hand, given the concentration at the top, if it gets pulled down, it may just wander within the box again.
I wasn’t quite sure how many people who bought at the peak were left and to what extent there would be selling on rebounds, but even as a guess, visualizing it like this helps me realize, 'Oh, after this much time has passed, it’s highly likely that those with unrealized losses from the peak are mostly gone.'
It really feels like short-term surges are just profit-transfer games; stuff like ‘serious long-term investment’ often feels like a lie.
It really feels like short-term surges are just profit-transfer games; stuff like ‘serious long-term investment’ often feels like a lie.
The data on the sell-off days for scam stocks was pretty straightforward.
I’m starting to think that the 'market position distribution' is actually quite useful.
Market Position Distribution - moomoo Help Center
A ‘bottom-concentrated type’ is still easier to push up in terms of supply and demand.
The so-called 'top-heavy' structure tends to collapse easily.
Of course, while keeping an eye on the overall market trend, we should also be mindful of the winds blowing towards individual stocks and industries, as well as past developments.
A snapshot alone isn't enough to make a judgment.
I’m starting to think that the 'market position distribution' is actually quite useful.
Market Position Distribution - moomoo Help Center
A ‘bottom-concentrated type’ is still easier to push up in terms of supply and demand.
The so-called 'top-heavy' structure tends to collapse easily.
Of course, while keeping an eye on the overall market trend, we should also be mindful of the winds blowing towards individual stocks and industries, as well as past developments.
A snapshot alone isn't enough to make a judgment.
I think this is quite useful.
It's best to use what's usable, taking things for what they're worth.
It's best to use what's usable, taking things for what they're worth.
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仏熊苦 OP : It proved useful right away. The price rebounded from the upper limit of the box range.